GET DAILY SIGNALSNewMarket Corporation (NEU) Readies for Third-Quarter 2026 Results
Key Takeaways
- NewMarket Corporation (NYSE: NEU) is set to release its third quarter 2026 results in late October, after posting second quarter numbers on July 29, 2026.
- Second quarter 2026 earnings came in at $14.54 per share on revenue of $747.09 million, supported by solid performance in the specialty materials segment.
- Attention will center on whether petroleum additives shipments can stabilize following a 7% year-over-year drop in the first quarter linked to softer demand and a shift away from low-margin business.
- The specialty materials segment, encompassing aerospace and defense operations through AMPAC and Calca Solutions, has emerged as a primary growth and margin contributor and will draw close examination.
- Shareholder returns continue with a $3.00 quarterly dividend and an ongoing share repurchase program that helps support value.
- Additional detail is available through Major News, Today's Price Move, Price Targets, and Forecast on Tickeron's dedicated pages.
- Automated trading ideas can also be reviewed via Tickeron's Trending AI Robots.
Putting the Earnings in Context
NewMarket Corporation operates as a specialty chemicals holding company through subsidiaries including Afton Chemical, Ethyl, American Pacific Corporation (AMPAC), and Calca Solutions. Its petroleum additives business focuses on lubricant and fuel additives, while the specialty materials segment supplies components for solid rocket motors and high-purity hydrazine propellants for aerospace and defense applications. The upcoming third quarter report will help clarify whether recent pricing actions and cost controls are offsetting softer petroleum additives shipments and whether specialty materials momentum is holding up. With the stock near all-time highs and limited sell-side coverage, each earnings release takes on added importance for assessing margin durability and the pace of aerospace and defense expansion.
What the Numbers Show So Far
NewMarket does not issue formal quarterly earnings guidance, and analyst coverage remains relatively thin. Investors therefore focus on sequential and year-over-year trends. In the second quarter of 2026, the company posted net income of $133.75 million, or $14.54 per share, on net sales of $747.09 million, including $675.57 million from petroleum additives and $67.17 million from specialty materials. First quarter 2026 results showed $12.62 per share on revenue of $669.72 million. Metrics to monitor in the third quarter include petroleum additives shipment volumes, operating profit margins, specialty materials sales growth, and the Net Debt to EBITDA ratio, which stood at 1.0x at mid-year. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Market Sentiment Heading Into the Print
Investor sentiment ahead of the third quarter report has been generally positive, with shares trading near record levels reached in mid-2026 and carrying a consensus “Buy” rating from the limited analysts who follow the name. The stock has drawn support from enthusiasm around the specialty materials segment and its ties to aerospace and defense demand. Potential risks include any renewed softness in petroleum additives shipments, higher raw material and logistics costs, or geopolitical or tariff-related issues. Given NewMarket’s thin float and limited coverage, which can magnify price moves, the immediate post-release reaction will be worth watching closely for signals on shipment trends and margin sustainability.
Key Themes to Watch Going Forward
Several factors will likely influence NewMarket’s path after the third quarter. The first is the speed of any recovery in petroleum additives volumes. Management has noted a 7% decline in first quarter shipments due to market softness and a deliberate reduction in low-margin business, while pointing to improving shipment trends late in that period.
Second is capacity expansion in specialty materials. Additional production capacity for ammonium perchlorate and high-purity hydrazine is expected online toward the end of 2026, which could bolster future sales and margins in aerospace and defense.
Third is ongoing cost and pricing discipline. Surcharges and operational steps taken to address elevated raw material, utility, and logistics costs remain active, with adjustments continuing as conditions change. Capital allocation will also stay in focus given the dividend, buyback activity, and management’s efforts to keep the Net Debt to EBITDA ratio in check.
Using AI Tools to Refine the View
In my analysis, I turned to Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals to cross-check recent technical patterns and momentum signals around NEU. The platform helps surface data-driven ideas that complement traditional fundamental review, allowing a clearer picture of how the stock has behaved relative to peers. This approach keeps the research process efficient without replacing core earnings analysis.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
NEU in -0.54% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on October 28, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where NEU declined for three days, in 130 of 258 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NEU as a result. In 44 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NEU turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 48%.
NEU moved below its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NEU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 29%.
NEU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 35 of 53 cases where NEU's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +0.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NEU advanced for three days, in 197 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 191 of 289 cases where NEU Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NEU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.369) is normal, around the industry mean (2.411). P/E Ratio (18.792) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.460). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.430) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.024) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
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General Information
a manufacturer of petroleum additives
Industry ChemicalsSpecialty
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