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Feb 22, 2023
Nvidia (NVDA, $207.92) earnings preview: Expect softening gaming revenue to weigh on results

Nvidia (NVDA, $207.92) earnings preview: Expect softening gaming revenue to weigh on results

Nvidia will post its Q4 earnings after the bell on Wednesday, while analysts expect the semiconductor company’s adjusted EPS at $0.81 (versus $1.32 in the year-ago quarter). Revenue consensus is pegged at $6.02 billion (versus $7.64 billion in Q4 last year).

Wall Street is anticipating Nvidia’s gaming revenue to drop to $1.6 billion, compared to $3.42 billion in the year-ago quarter. Nvidia, much like its gaming peers, has been faced with a softening of gaming compared to same time last year when demand was high for gaming tools and software towards the end of the pandemic era.

Related Ticker: NVDA

NVDA in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026

The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NVDA as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NVDA just turned positive on September 03, 2026. Looking at past instances where NVDA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NVDA moved above its 50-day moving average on August 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 348 cases where NVDA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (24.272) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.279). P/E Ratio (29.123) is within average values for comparable stocks, (156.799). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.590) is also within normal values, averaging (1.628). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.001) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (18.553) is also within normal values, averaging (54.185).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 204.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 5.56T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.56T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 45%. CBRS experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while CRDO experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was -38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software

Industry Semiconductors

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Semiconductors
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2788 San Tomas Expressway
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42000
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https://www.nvidia.com
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