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Nov 23, 2018
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Oil Prices Plummeted -7% on Friday To Touch The Year's Nadir

Oil Prices Plummeted -7% on Friday To Touch The Year's Nadir

On Friday, oil prices dropped to their lowest level in almost a year. West Texas Intermediate crude briefly plunged about -7% to $50.60 a barrel, its weakest price since Oct. 12, 2017. International benchmark Brent crude price fell -4.9% to around $59.52 a barrel at 9:44 a.m. ET.

Oil prices are down around -20% so far this month. Reports of a possible production cut by OPEC in December is apparently failing to boost prices of crude futures.  Traders/investors are probably expecting the pace of oil demand growth to fall short of supply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) recently projected that non-OPEC output alone would climb to 2.3 million barrels per day (bpd) this year, while global supply has already been climbing so far in 2018.  The IEA expects demand in 2019 to grow at a rate of 1.3 million bpd, revising down its previous forecast of 1.5 million bpd. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump has been urging OPEC not to cut production next month as he is apparently in favor of lower oil prices.

 

Related Ticker: WTID

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


WTID's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for WTID moved out of oversold territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 27 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 50 cases where WTID's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WTID just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where WTID's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Following a +3.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WTID advanced for three days, in 157 of 194 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

WTID may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WTID as a result. In 54 of 57 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WTID declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for WTID entered a downward trend on October 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC), Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN).

Industry description

The investment seeks return on the notes is linked to a three times leveraged participation in the daily inverse performance of the Solactive MicroSectors™ Energy Index. The notes are designed to reflect a 3x leveraged inverse exposure to the inverse performance of the index on a daily basis, before taking into account the negative effect of the Daily Investor Fee, any negative Daily Interest, and the Redemption Fee Amount, if applicable. However, due to daily resetting leverage, the returns on the notes over different periods of time can, and most likely will, differ significantly from three times the return on a direct short investment in the index.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the MicroSectors Energy 3X Inverse Leveraged ETNs (WTID) ETF is 169.96B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 20.94B to 753.67B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 753.67B. The lowest valued company is EXE at 20.94B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the MicroSectors Energy 3X Inverse Leveraged ETNs (WTID) ETF was 3%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 23%, and the average quarterly price growth was 81%. FANG experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while VLO experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the MicroSectors Energy 3X Inverse Leveraged ETNs (WTID) ETF was -7%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 0% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 77
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 17
SMR Rating: 53
Profit Risk Rating: 23
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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Oil Prices Plummeted -7% on Friday To Touch The Year's Nadir