Penn National Gaming’s (PENN, $34.57) shares rating cut to sell by Deutsche Bank
Casino operator Penn National Gaming’s shares got downgraded to sell from hold, at Deutsche Bank.
Although Deutsche lifted its price target (citing "the margin profiles of regional gaming operators will be stronger post the pandemic." ) on Penn National to $22 a share from $12, the new target still represents an almost -40% potential downside from the stock's Friday closing price.
The investment bank also mentioned that Penn will face a challenge when it comes to improving its margins over its peers , since "prior margin disciplines and higher-than-peer blended gaming taxes” have compelled Penn, over time, to be “leaner than most", according to the bank.
PENN enters an Uptrend because Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 15, 2020
This indicator signals that PENN's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 52 of 72 cases where PENN's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.
Current price $34.51 is above $27.29 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 05/05/20 - 06/05/20, the price experienced a +129% Uptrend. During the week of 05/29/20 - 06/05/20, the stock enjoyed a +10% Uptrend growth.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 25 of 37 similar backtested cases where PENN's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.
The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed above its 50-day Moving Average on May 06, 2020, which can be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 9 of 16 similar cases where PENN's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 214 of 298 similar cases where PENN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 29 of 44 cases where PENN's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 66%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 31%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.19 to 1.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PENN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.35) is normal, around the industry mean (5.65). P/E Ratio (43.74) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.89). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.17) is also within normal values, averaging (1.44). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.17) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.29) is also within normal values, averaging (0.91).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
PENN in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on August 31, 2026
PENN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 40 cases where PENN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PENN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PENN as a result. In 68 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PENN just turned positive on September 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where PENN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +5.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PENN advanced for three days, in 176 of 260 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PENN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator for PENN entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.279) is normal, around the industry mean (20.698). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (81.690). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.394). PENN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.024). P/S Ratio (0.337) is also within normal values, averaging (1.053).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PENN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PENN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of gaming and pari-mutuel properties
Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines
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