Go to the list of all blogs
M. Benett's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 18, 2026
Planet Labs (PL) Stock Slides -24.9% in 30 Days Amid Valuation Reset

Planet Labs (PL) Stock Slides -24.9% in 30 Days Amid Valuation Reset

Key Takeaways

  • Planet Labs shares fell approximately 24.9% over the 30-day period ending mid-September, from a closing price of $22.62 to $16.99.
  • The decline extends a multi-month pullback driven primarily by a valuation reset rather than deteriorating fundamentals, as revenue and profitability continued to improve.
  • Fiscal Q2 FY2027 results reported September 3 beat estimates, with revenue of $116.1 million (up 58% year over year), but conservative third-quarter guidance and higher capital spending weighed on the stock.
  • The stock remains down more than 60% from its 2026 high, even as analyst price targets sit well above current levels.

Planet Labs (PL) Business Overview

Planet Labs PBC provides global daily satellite imagery and geospatial solutions. Founded in 2010 by three NASA scientists, the company builds and operates the world’s largest fleet of Earth-observation satellites that image the planet every day. Its data platform supports defense, intelligence, civil government, agriculture, forestry, energy, and finance clients. As a public benefit corporation listed on the New York Stock Exchange, PL offers exposure to geospatial intelligence and AI-enabled analytics.

Recent Stock Performance: 30 Days and the Quarter

Over the past 30 days, PL shares declined roughly 24.9%, moving from a close of $22.62 on August 19 to $16.99 on September 17. The drop occurred gradually rather than in one session, though an earnings reaction in early September accelerated the move. Looking back three months to mid-June, when the stock traded near $28.23, shares have fallen about 40% over the quarter. This places the recent decline inside a broader pullback that has erased most of the sharp gains recorded earlier in 2026.

What Moved the Stock in the Past Month

The main driver was the fiscal second-quarter 2027 earnings release on September 3. Planet Labs reported record revenue of $116.1 million, up 58% year over year and ahead of estimates, along with non-GAAP earnings of $0.02 per share versus an expected loss. Adjusted EBITDA reached $13.9 million, and the company raised the lower end of full-year revenue guidance to a range of $430 million to $441 million. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to compare the results against peers. Despite the beat, shares dropped more than 8% as investors focused on third-quarter guidance of $101 million to $105 million, which implied a sequential decline tied to the timing of a satellite handover. Higher capital-expenditure guidance of $100 million to $115 million and a sequential decline in backlog added to concerns about valuation and cash intensity.

Quarterly Drivers and Valuation Reset

The wider quarterly decline reflects a valuation reset more than any fundamental deterioration. After rallying roughly 160% through late May and pushing the market capitalization above $18 billion, PL traded at a forward price-to-sales ratio above 30x. When first-quarter results of $94 million revenue (up 42% year over year) did not match the market’s elevated expectations, the stock fell about 26% in a single session. Since then, investors have continued to reassess the still-high multiple, the concentration of growth in government contracts, and the capital needs of next-generation satellite programs. The result is a decline of more than 60% from the 2026 high, even as operating metrics have strengthened.

Key Factors to Monitor Going Forward

Attention now turns to the next earnings report in mid-December. Investors will watch whether third-quarter revenue falls within the guided $101 million to $105 million range and how the satellite-services pipeline, described by management as exceeding $4 billion in opportunity, converts into contracts. Progress on the Pelican, Owl, and Tanager programs, along with AI-enabled analytics monetization, will also matter. Additional items include defense-contract timing, backlog trends, capital-expenditure discipline, and the stock’s valuation relative to growth. Macro conditions, government procurement cycles, and competitive dynamics in Earth observation remain relevant external factors. From what I see, these elements will shape the near-term path for PL.

Using AI Tools for Deeper Analysis

In my own research process, I regularly review Tickeron’s AI Trading Bots to see how automated strategies are performing across similar growth names. The platform hosts hundreds of AI robots that trade thousands of tickers, and the trending section highlights those with the strongest recent consistency. Looking at these can surface additional data points that complement traditional fundamental work without replacing it.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: PL

PL's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PL turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where PL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 53 of 61 cases where PL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PL as a result. In 77 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

PL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for PL entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 43 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.811) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (14.104) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE).

Industry description

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aerospace & Defense Industry is 38.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.49 to 1.92T. SPCX holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.92T. The lowest valued company is BDRPF at 4.49.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14%. BYRN experienced the highest price growth at 36%, while NSTR experienced the biggest fall at -47%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -7% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
PL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry AerospaceDefense

Industry
N/A
Address
645 Harrison Street
Phone
+1 415 829-3313
Employees
1000
Web
https://www.planet.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) advanced roughly 18% over the trailing 30 days, closely tracking a sharp rally in Solana (SOL). The move extends a broader recovery, with BSOL up approximately 77% over the past three months from its mid-2026 trough.
MSTY is an actively managed single-stock option income ETF (exchange-traded fund) that writes call options on Strategy (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, to generate current income. The portfolio is anchored by U.S. Treasury bills and MSTR option contracts rather than a diversified basket of equities, concentrating exposure in one volatile underlying.
AMDL has surged roughly +64% over the past 30 days, from about $47.59 to $78.10, mirroring a powerful rally in its sole underlying stock, AMD . The fund is a leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund) designed to deliver 2x the daily return of AMD, amplifying both gains and losses.
TSMX, a 2x daily leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund), rose roughly +19% over the trailing 30 days, rebounding sharply from mid-September lows. The fund seeks 200% of the daily return of TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing), meaning its moves are roughly double the underlying stock's daily swings.
Contracted revenue anchor: A roughly $3.2 billion, seven-year LNG (liquefied natural gas) supply agreement with Puerto Rico has received final approval, providing multi-year cash-flow visibility if execution stays on track. Project pipeline inflection: Upcoming milestones include the Barcarena and PortoCem power plants in Brazil, a potential Gás Sul terminal restart, and optimization of the company's modular "Fast LNG" (FLNG) liquefaction fleet.
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) designs central processing units (CPUs), graphics processing units (GPUs), and AI accelerators, while LRCX (Lam Research) supplies the wafer-fabrication equipment used to build advanced chips. AMD has delivered strong double-digit revenue growth on AI data-center demand, but its shares trade with elevated expectations that can trigger sharp reactions around earnings.
Origination momentum: Velocity Financial enters 2026 off record annual originations of roughly $2.7 billion (up about 48%), positioning it to keep gaining share in a fragmented investor-loan market. Credit normalization is the central watch item: Nonperforming loans fell toward the 8.5% range of portfolio unpaid principal balance (UPB), but asset quality remains the primary swing factor for earnings.
Turnaround milestone ahead: Management has pointed to reaching cash generation in 2027, making the pace of cost discipline and margin recovery the central question for the stock forecast. Fresh capital supports execution: A recently announced $45.5 million equity financing, with participation from management and a single institutional investor, strengthens the balance sheet as the company funds its transformation.
NFE closed at $5.51, down -6.13% during Tuesday's regular session, extending a slide that has pushed shares near a 52-week low. Primary catalyst: the company disclosed its Fast LNG unit is offline after a gas-turbine mechanical failure, with return to service not expected until Q4.
The central $11 target is the arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets, rounded from roughly $10.75. With the stock near $2.06, reaching $11 would require an upside of more than 400%, an extremely large move.
The $23 central target is the rounded arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets, which average $23.25. The latest verified price is around $9.57, meaning the target implies roughly 140% upside—a very large move.
NXH closed down -11.17% (-$0.23) to $1.83 on Oct 6, the most recent regular session, extending a steep two-day decline. Selling continued as investors digested the mutual termination of the Fathom Holdings merger and a dilutive $45.5M registered direct offering of ~16.5M shares at $2.76.
AMD is a large-cap designer of CPUs (central processing units) and GPUs (graphics processing units) competing directly with Nvidia in the AI accelerator market, while FORM is a small-cap provider of semiconductor test and measurement equipment, primarily probe cards. AMD's narrative has been driven by multi-billion-dollar hyperscaler deals, while FORM's has been powered by record revenue and sharp margin expansion tied to high-bandwidth memory (HBM) demand.
AMD has surged roughly 200% year to date, crossing a $1 trillion market capitalization on AI data-center demand and a "CPU renaissance" narrative. KLAC has gained about 71% year to date, supported by record process-control revenue and rapid growth in advanced packaging for AI chips.
AMD is a large-cap semiconductor designer riding explosive AI compute demand, while ENTG is a mid-cap supplier of materials and purity solutions that feed the same AI-driven chip cycle. AMD recently crossed a $1 trillion market capitalization on surging data center revenue, whereas ENTG operates at a far smaller scale (roughly $23 billion) with steadier, double-digit growth.
VELO closed Tuesday at $9.57, unchanged (+0.00%) from the prior session, with the move occurring during regular market hours. The flat close marked stabilization after Monday's -14.5% plunge, when shares fell to $9.57 from $11.20 following disclosure of CFO James Suva's departure.
The $8 target used here is a technical, publicly discussed recovery objective — not an analyst consensus — because legacy analyst price targets were set before NFE's restructuring and reverse stock split. New Fortress Energy Inc. ( NFE ) trades near $5.51, so reaching $8 implies a roughly 45% advance.
AVBP plunged -46.98% during Tuesday's regular session, closing at $15.09 versus $28.46, marking its worst single-day decline on record. The catalyst was the Phase 3 FURVENT trial of firmonertinib failing its primary endpoint—progression-free survival—in first-line EGFR exon 20 insertion non-small cell lung cancer.
Upcoming catalyst: The company's next earnings release is estimated for November 6, 2026, which should offer fresh detail on its SKY token holdings, staking rewards, and treasury strategy. Strategic positioning: SDEV is an on-chain holding company providing public-market exposure to the Sky protocol ecosystem, with SKY as its core digital asset and a stated focus on the stablecoin economy.
Different roles in the chip ecosystem: AMAT is a materials-engineering and deposition leader, while KLAC dominates process control, inspection, and yield management. Momentum favors AMAT: AMAT shares have more than doubled this year, while KLAC has recently pulled back roughly 9% in a month on margin and execution concerns.