GET DAILY SIGNALSQuest Resource Holding Corporation (QRHC) Could See +132% Upside if Analyst Targets Hold
Key Takeaways
- The central $3.25 stock price target is the arithmetic mean of the two current analyst price targets reported in S&P Global consensus data ($2.50 and $4.00).
- With the stock near $1.40, reaching $3.25 implies roughly 132% upside — a very large move for a thinly traded micro-cap.
- Published targets span a wide $2.50 to $4.00 range, and coverage is thin; TipRanks currently shows only one active analyst, underscoring how little Wall Street attention the name receives.
- The strongest supports are improving gross margins, non-industrial revenue diversification, cost discipline, and pending large national-account wins.
- The biggest risks are a still-declining revenue base, industrial-volume softness, high leverage, and a weak balance sheet.
- For more detail, explore Major News, Today's Price Move, the Forecast, and Earnings pages.
- Explore Trending AI Robots for AI-driven market insight and trading ideas.
Understanding the Analyst Consensus
Quest Resource Holding Corporation (QRHC) provides environmental waste and recycling services to large, multi-location businesses. Its analyst coverage remains unusually light. S&P Global consensus data includes two price targets at $2.50 and $4.00, which average to $3.25. Craig-Hallum analyst Aaron Spychalla holds a Buy rating with the $2.50 target, last reiterated on August 7, 2026. The $4.00 figure marks the high end. TipRanks lists only one active analyst at $2.50, while Northland Securities shifted to a Hold rating with a $2.25 target in November 2025 after lowering it from $5.50.
The broad spread between $2.50 and $4.00 highlights differing views on whether the company’s turnaround can stick. More cautious observers point to flat revenue and ongoing industrial weakness, whereas optimistic ones highlight margin gains and improving earnings potential. With limited coverage, the consensus serves mainly as a directional signal rather than a precise forecast. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Where the Stock Stands Today
Shares recently closed near $1.40, producing a market capitalization of about $29.8 million. Reaching the $3.25 mean target would require roughly 132% upside, a substantial gain for this micro-cap name. The 52-week trading range spans $0.81 to $2.41, so even the lower end of the analyst range sits just above the prior high and would represent a multi-year breakout if achieved.
Third-quarter 2026 results showed a narrowed loss per share of $0.02 and a 150-basis-point sequential gross-margin increase to 17.8%. Revenue came in at $63.8 million, slightly below expectations and only modestly higher year over year. Management highlighted upcoming national-account deals as the key catalyst needed to restore stronger top-line growth.
Factors That Could Drive the Stock Higher
- Margin expansion and cost discipline: adjusted EBITDA rose sequentially while SG&A expenses declined materially.
- Revenue diversification: non-industrial segments such as food service and retail are expanding and helping offset softness in industrial volumes.
- Contract renewals completed without price concessions, along with a growing pipeline of national-account opportunities.
- Attractive valuation on a sales basis, with the stock trading near 0.12 times trailing revenue.
Key Risks to Consider
- Still-declining revenue: full-year 2025 revenue fell about 13%, and industrial volumes weakened again in Q3 2026.
- High leverage: roughly $64.8 million in debt against just $943,000 in cash, with interest coverage around 0.4x.
- Thin trading volume and micro-cap volatility: average daily volume of only a few tens of thousands of shares can magnify price swings.
- Weak Altman Z-score of approximately 0.58, indicating elevated financial-distress risk.
- Persistent net losses on a trailing basis, leaving the company unprofitable under GAAP.
Technical Picture
The stock has moved back above its 50-day moving average near $1.27 and its 200-day moving average near $1.34, a positive development after the recent climb to $1.40. The $0.81 level remains the 52-week low and important support, while $2.41 stands as the 52-week high and major resistance. A sustained push toward the lowest analyst target of $2.50 would require clearing that resistance and holding above it.
What to Watch Going Forward
Analyst price targets generally reflect a roughly 12-month horizon, though specific time frames vary. I am watching quarterly revenue trends, the sustainability of gross-margin gains, conversion of the national-account pipeline, debt reduction, cash generation, and any updates to analyst targets or ratings. From what I see, renewed coverage that narrows or widens the $2.50–$4.00 range could be particularly meaningful.
Exploring AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals
Tickeron's AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals apply artificial intelligence to track thousands of stocks and ETFs, producing Buy, Sell, or Hold signals based on shifting market conditions, technical patterns, and data-driven analysis. For a low-float name like QRHC, where news can drive sharp moves, these signals offer a practical way to identify opportunities, track positions, and spot trend changes without relying solely on manual chart review.
Final Assessment
The $3.25 central target, derived from the two available analyst estimates, sits about 132% above the current price near $1.40 and would mark a significant advance that depends on a sustained operational turnaround. The bullish case centers on margin improvement, revenue diversification, and pending contract wins, while the bear case rests on ongoing revenue declines, industrial softness, elevated leverage, and a fragile balance sheet. Limited coverage and the wide target range mean the figure should be viewed as directional guidance rather than a firm prediction. Investors should focus on revenue growth, debt metrics, and any analyst revisions instead of assuming $3.25 will be reached.
Disclaimer
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Momentum Indicator for QRHC turns positive, indicating new upward trend
QRHC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 12, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 110 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 86 of the 110 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for QRHC just turned positive on November 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where QRHC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
QRHC moved above its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +21.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QRHC advanced for three days, in 148 of 229 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QRHC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
QRHC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for QRHC entered a downward trend on November 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 25 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.882) is normal, around the industry mean (47.597). P/E Ratio (-1.366) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.657). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.706) is also within normal values, averaging (1.132). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.118) is also within normal values, averaging (72.867).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. QRHC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. QRHC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of recycling and resource management services
Industry EnvironmentalServices
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