Go to the list of all blogs
Allana's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 25, 2026
SILJ ETF Declines -21% in 30 Days: Analyzing the Junior Silver Miners Pullback

SILJ ETF Declines -21% in 30 Days: Analyzing the Junior Silver Miners Pullback

Key Takeaways

  • SILJ declined roughly 21% over the trailing 30 days, from about $29.22 to near $23.15, reflecting a sharp pullback in junior silver mining equities.
  • Over the broader three-month period, the decline was more moderate at roughly 6.5%, as a strong summer rally partially reversed into the autumn.
  • As a passive fund tracking the Nasdaq Junior Silver Miners Index, SILJ concentrates in small-cap silver miners and explorers whose shares tend to amplify movements in the silver price.
  • Top holdings Hecla Mining (HL), Coeur Mining (CDE), and First Majestic Silver (AG) together represent roughly a third of assets and drove much of the downside.
  • Principal drivers include silver price volatility, the high-beta nature of junior miners, and shifts in the U.S. dollar, real yields, and investor risk appetite.
  • For more detail on valuation and price levels, explore the fund's Price Targets and Forecast pages.
  • Investors seeking automated signals can also explore Trending AI Robots.

Understanding the Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ)

The Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ) is a passively managed fund that seeks to track the total return performance of the Nasdaq Junior Silver Miners Index, a modified market-capitalization-weighted benchmark of small-cap companies actively engaged in silver mining, exploration, and production. The fund, which launched in November 2012 and was previously known as the ETFMG Prime Junior Silver Miners ETF, invests at least 80% of its assets in index constituents and related depositary receipts.

SILJ holds roughly 70 securities and carries a net expense ratio of 0.69%. The portfolio is effectively fully allocated to the materials and metals and mining sector, giving it no meaningful diversification outside precious metals. Its largest positions include Hecla Mining (HL), Coeur Mining (CDE), First Majestic Silver (AG), Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM), SSR Mining (SSRM), Endeavour Silver (EXK), Pan American Silver (PAAS), and Perpetua Resources (PPTA), alongside non-U.S.-listed names such as Boliden AB and Aya Gold & Silver. Geographically, Canadian-listed miners account for the largest share of assets, with meaningful U.S. exposure as well. This concentrated, small-cap, single-sector structure is central to SILJ's elevated volatility: junior miners carry higher operational and financial leverage than diversified majors, so their share prices frequently move by multiples of the underlying silver price. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the fund compares to others in the industry.

Recent Price Movements in SILJ

Over the trailing 30 days, SILJ fell approximately 21%, declining from a closing level near $29.22 to about $23.15. The move was not a single-day shock but rather a steady, trend-driven slide through late September and October, punctuated by several down days exceeding 2%. Over the most recent quarter, the decline was comparatively mild at roughly 6.5%, with the fund slipping from about $24.77 three months earlier. The divergence between the two periods highlights the fund's path: a strong advance into late August carried SILJ toward multi-month highs before the trend reversed, leaving the shorter-term 30-day window to capture the steepest leg of the correction. The overall pattern was volatile and range-to-down, rather than gradual or sideways.

Factors Behind the Recent 30-Day Decline

The 30-day decline was primarily a function of the fund's outsized sensitivity to the silver price. Junior silver miners are high-beta instruments relative to bullion, meaning their shares tend to fall faster than the metal during corrections. With the three largest holdings representing a third of the portfolio, weakness in Hecla Mining (HL), Coeur Mining (CDE), and First Majestic Silver (AG) weighed heavily on the fund's net asset value (NAV).

Broader macroeconomic forces amplified the move. A firmer U.S. dollar and higher real interest rates tend to pressure non-yielding precious metals by raising the opportunity cost of holding them. Silver's dual role as both a monetary and an industrial metal, with significant demand from solar panels and electronics, also makes it sensitive to shifts in global growth expectations. A pullback in risk appetite and profit-taking after the summer rally contributed to selling pressure across the metals and mining complex, and concentrated, small-cap exposure magnified those headwinds within SILJ.

Performance Over the Past Quarter

Across the full three-month period, SILJ's roughly 6.5% decline reflected a round trip rather than a one-way trend. The fund advanced sharply through July and August as precious metals equities benefited from renewed investor interest and supportive supply-demand dynamics, reaching elevated levels before momentum faded. The subsequent retracement was consistent with sector rotation out of high-volatility, small-cap miners and back into more defensive and large-cap positioning as macro conditions shifted. Institutional flows into and out of precious metals ETFs, the performance of the fund's largest holdings, and the cyclical nature of mining equities all shaped the quarter. The net result was a market that gave back much of its earlier gains but remained above the levels seen at the start of the period.

SILJ ETF Outlook: What Investors Should Watch Next

Several factors are likely to shape SILJ going forward. The trajectory of the silver price remains the single most important driver, given the fund's concentrated small-cap exposure. Investors should monitor the U.S. dollar, real interest rates, and monetary policy expectations, all of which influence the opportunity cost of holding precious metals. Silver's industrial demand, particularly from solar energy and electronics, ties the fund to broader economic growth and clean-energy investment cycles.

At the company level, production costs, mine operating performance, and balance-sheet strength across the largest holdings will matter for junior miners, which are more sensitive to margin compression than diversified producers. Capital flows into and out of precious metals ETFs, shifts in investor sentiment, and geopolitical developments that affect safe-haven demand are additional catalysts. Regulatory and permitting developments in key mining jurisdictions, including Canada, the United States, and Latin America, also bear watching. These themes present both opportunities and risks, and none constitutes a price prediction or investment recommendation.

Using Tickeron’s AI Screener in My Research

In my own analysis, I frequently rely on Tickeron’s AI Screener to scan for technical indicators, volatility metrics, and industry-specific patterns. It helps me quickly compare holdings like those in SILJ against peers and spot potential momentum shifts without manual screening. This tool has become a regular part of my workflow for evaluating sector exposure and refining watchlists efficiently.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: SILJ

Contributor

Allana's AvatarAllana|Expert

Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.


SILJ in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026

SILJ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 34 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for SILJ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SILJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

The Aroon Indicator for SILJ entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +3.72% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SILJ advanced for three days, in 282 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SILJ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are SSR Mining (NASDAQ:SSRM).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that generally correspond (before fees and expenses) to the total return performance of the Nasdaq Junior Silver Miners™ Index. The index tracks the performance of the equity securities (or corresponding American Depositary Receipts (“ADRs”) or Global Depositary Receipts (“GDRs”)) of companies actively engaged in silver mining industry (“Silver Companies”). The fund invests at least 80% of its total assets in the component securities of the index and in ADRs and GDRs based on the component securities in the index. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ) ETF is 10.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 80.19M to 19.27B. RGLD holds the highest valuation in this group at 19.27B. The lowest valued company is PZG at 80.19M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ) ETF was -10%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25%. RGLD experienced the highest price growth at -4%, while CDE experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ) ETF was 11%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was 64%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 69
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
SILJ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category PreciousMetals

Category
Equity Precious Metals
Address
Amplify ETF Trust3250 Lacey Road, Suite 130Downers Grove
Phone
(630) 464-7600
Web
N/A
Interact to see
Advertisement
The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) advanced roughly 18% over the trailing 30 days, closely tracking a sharp rally in Solana (SOL). The move extends a broader recovery, with BSOL up approximately 77% over the past three months from its mid-2026 trough.
MSTY is an actively managed single-stock option income ETF (exchange-traded fund) that writes call options on Strategy (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, to generate current income. The portfolio is anchored by U.S. Treasury bills and MSTR option contracts rather than a diversified basket of equities, concentrating exposure in one volatile underlying.
AMDL has surged roughly +64% over the past 30 days, from about $47.59 to $78.10, mirroring a powerful rally in its sole underlying stock, AMD . The fund is a leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund) designed to deliver 2x the daily return of AMD, amplifying both gains and losses.
TSMX, a 2x daily leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund), rose roughly +19% over the trailing 30 days, rebounding sharply from mid-September lows. The fund seeks 200% of the daily return of TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing), meaning its moves are roughly double the underlying stock's daily swings.
Contracted revenue anchor: A roughly $3.2 billion, seven-year LNG (liquefied natural gas) supply agreement with Puerto Rico has received final approval, providing multi-year cash-flow visibility if execution stays on track. Project pipeline inflection: Upcoming milestones include the Barcarena and PortoCem power plants in Brazil, a potential Gás Sul terminal restart, and optimization of the company's modular "Fast LNG" (FLNG) liquefaction fleet.
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) designs central processing units (CPUs), graphics processing units (GPUs), and AI accelerators, while LRCX (Lam Research) supplies the wafer-fabrication equipment used to build advanced chips. AMD has delivered strong double-digit revenue growth on AI data-center demand, but its shares trade with elevated expectations that can trigger sharp reactions around earnings.
Origination momentum: Velocity Financial enters 2026 off record annual originations of roughly $2.7 billion (up about 48%), positioning it to keep gaining share in a fragmented investor-loan market. Credit normalization is the central watch item: Nonperforming loans fell toward the 8.5% range of portfolio unpaid principal balance (UPB), but asset quality remains the primary swing factor for earnings.
Turnaround milestone ahead: Management has pointed to reaching cash generation in 2027, making the pace of cost discipline and margin recovery the central question for the stock forecast. Fresh capital supports execution: A recently announced $45.5 million equity financing, with participation from management and a single institutional investor, strengthens the balance sheet as the company funds its transformation.
NFE closed at $5.51, down -6.13% during Tuesday's regular session, extending a slide that has pushed shares near a 52-week low. Primary catalyst: the company disclosed its Fast LNG unit is offline after a gas-turbine mechanical failure, with return to service not expected until Q4.
The central $11 target is the arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets, rounded from roughly $10.75. With the stock near $2.06, reaching $11 would require an upside of more than 400%, an extremely large move.
The $23 central target is the rounded arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets, which average $23.25. The latest verified price is around $9.57, meaning the target implies roughly 140% upside—a very large move.
NXH closed down -11.17% (-$0.23) to $1.83 on Oct 6, the most recent regular session, extending a steep two-day decline. Selling continued as investors digested the mutual termination of the Fathom Holdings merger and a dilutive $45.5M registered direct offering of ~16.5M shares at $2.76.
AMD is a large-cap designer of CPUs (central processing units) and GPUs (graphics processing units) competing directly with Nvidia in the AI accelerator market, while FORM is a small-cap provider of semiconductor test and measurement equipment, primarily probe cards. AMD's narrative has been driven by multi-billion-dollar hyperscaler deals, while FORM's has been powered by record revenue and sharp margin expansion tied to high-bandwidth memory (HBM) demand.
AMD has surged roughly 200% year to date, crossing a $1 trillion market capitalization on AI data-center demand and a "CPU renaissance" narrative. KLAC has gained about 71% year to date, supported by record process-control revenue and rapid growth in advanced packaging for AI chips.
AMD is a large-cap semiconductor designer riding explosive AI compute demand, while ENTG is a mid-cap supplier of materials and purity solutions that feed the same AI-driven chip cycle. AMD recently crossed a $1 trillion market capitalization on surging data center revenue, whereas ENTG operates at a far smaller scale (roughly $23 billion) with steadier, double-digit growth.
VELO closed Tuesday at $9.57, unchanged (+0.00%) from the prior session, with the move occurring during regular market hours. The flat close marked stabilization after Monday's -14.5% plunge, when shares fell to $9.57 from $11.20 following disclosure of CFO James Suva's departure.
The $8 target used here is a technical, publicly discussed recovery objective — not an analyst consensus — because legacy analyst price targets were set before NFE's restructuring and reverse stock split. New Fortress Energy Inc. ( NFE ) trades near $5.51, so reaching $8 implies a roughly 45% advance.
AVBP plunged -46.98% during Tuesday's regular session, closing at $15.09 versus $28.46, marking its worst single-day decline on record. The catalyst was the Phase 3 FURVENT trial of firmonertinib failing its primary endpoint—progression-free survival—in first-line EGFR exon 20 insertion non-small cell lung cancer.
Upcoming catalyst: The company's next earnings release is estimated for November 6, 2026, which should offer fresh detail on its SKY token holdings, staking rewards, and treasury strategy. Strategic positioning: SDEV is an on-chain holding company providing public-market exposure to the Sky protocol ecosystem, with SKY as its core digital asset and a stated focus on the stablecoin economy.
Different roles in the chip ecosystem: AMAT is a materials-engineering and deposition leader, while KLAC dominates process control, inspection, and yield management. Momentum favors AMAT: AMAT shares have more than doubled this year, while KLAC has recently pulled back roughly 9% in a month on margin and execution concerns.