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Nov 06, 2026
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Star Holdings (STHO) Reports Q3 Net Loss of $45.1 Million Driven by Safehold Adjustment

Star Holdings (STHO) Reports Q3 Net Loss of $45.1 Million Driven by Safehold Adjustment

Key Takeaways

  • Star Holdings reported a third-quarter 2026 net loss attributable to common shareholders of $45.1 million, or $3.74 per share.
  • The loss was driven almost entirely by a $53.1 million non-cash mark-to-market adjustment on its approximately 13.5 million shares of Safehold Inc. (NYSE: SAFE), which reduced earnings per share by $4.40.
  • Total revenues climbed to $39.9 million from $28.1 million a year earlier, led by a jump in land development revenue to $21.0 million.
  • The company sold its municipal debt portfolio for $50.2 million (a $4.5 million gain) and a Coney Island land parcel for $20.0 million (a $4.7 million profit).
  • Star Holdings voluntarily paid down its margin loan facility from $94.5 million to $46.5 million, strengthening its balance sheet.

Understanding the Earnings Context

Star Holdings operates as a real estate monetization vehicle that spun off from iStar. It holds interests in the Asbury Park Waterfront, the Magnolia Green residential development, other commercial properties and loans, plus a sizable stake in Safehold. Because the company's core mission centers on realizing value through asset management and sales, quarterly results focus less on recurring operations and more on the pace of disposals, debt reduction, and mark-to-market swings from its SAFE position. This report stands out because it illustrates how quickly management is converting assets into cash and de-risking the balance sheet, even as accounting-driven losses on its equity stake can obscure the underlying progress. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.

Reported Results

For the quarter ended September 30, 2026, Star Holdings reported a net loss attributable to common shareholders of $45.1 million, or $3.74 per share, compared with net income of $1.8 million, or $0.14 per share, in the prior-year quarter. The swing was driven by a $53.1 million non-cash adjustment tied to a mark-to-market valuation of its investment in roughly 13.5 million shares of Safehold, which reduced earnings per share by $4.40.

Total revenues reached $39.9 million, up from $28.1 million a year earlier, primarily reflecting $21.0 million in land development revenue versus $1.7 million in the prior-year period. On the monetization front, the company sold its portfolio of municipal debt securities for $50.2 million, realizing a $4.5 million gain, and sold a land parcel in Coney Island for $20.0 million, recognizing a $4.7 million profit. Star Holdings also voluntarily paid down its margin loan facility from $94.5 million to $46.5 million.

Balance-sheet metrics reflected the continued wind-down: total assets fell to $415.0 million from $570.2 million at December 31, 2025, while net debt obligations declined to $158.5 million from $268.7 million. Cash rose to $63.6 million from $50.1 million.

Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment

Shares of Star Holdings moved modestly higher following the November 6, 2026 release, as investors appeared to weigh the headline accounting loss against the tangible progress in asset sales and debt reduction. The stock closed near $7.68, up roughly 1.4% on the day. The muted reaction reflects a key distinction for this company: the $53.1 million SAFE mark-to-market charge is non-cash and tied to the value of its equity stake, while the municipal debt sale, Coney Island land disposition, and margin loan paydown represent concrete, cash-generating steps toward the company's stated goal of monetizing its portfolio for shareholders.

Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

Looking ahead, the central theme for Star Holdings remains execution of its portfolio monetization strategy. Investors should watch how quickly management converts its remaining assets, including the Asbury Park Waterfront and Magnolia Green residential development, into cash and realized gains.

The company's stake in Safehold remains the single largest swing factor in reported earnings. Because it is marked to market each quarter, fluctuations in SAFE's share price will continue to create volatility in Star Holdings' net income and earnings per share, even when underlying asset-sale activity is progressing well. From what I see, this volatility is something to track closely.

Debt management is another key area to monitor. The voluntary reduction of the margin loan facility from $94.5 million to $46.5 million lowers interest costs and financial risk, and further paydowns could signal continued progress toward a cleaner, cash-rich balance sheet.

Finally, cash deployment and capital returns will be important signals. With cash of $63.6 million at quarter-end and a shrinking asset base, any additional share repurchases, special distributions, or other shareholder-return actions would offer insight into how management intends to deliver value as the portfolio winds down.

Using Tickeron Tools for Deeper Analysis

In my view, tools like Tickeron’s AI-powered platforms can add useful perspective when reviewing names such as Star Holdings. I often turn to the AI Screener to filter real estate-related names by technical patterns, fundamentals, and performance metrics. This helps surface comparable setups and monitor shifting conditions across the sector without relying solely on manual review. The platform also offers customizable scans for volatility and AI-driven signals, which I find helpful for context on monetization stories like this one. Overall, it supports a more structured approach to identifying trade ideas and market opportunities.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: STHO

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for STHO turns positive, indicating new upward trend

STHO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 71 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 55 of the 71 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where STHO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 28 of 46 cases where STHO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STHO just turned positive on October 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where STHO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 34 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Following a +6.44% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STHO advanced for three days, in 128 of 199 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

STHO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for STHO moved below the 200-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STHO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Aroon Indicator for STHO entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. STHO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.325) is normal, around the industry mean (2.265). P/E Ratio (6.308) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.132). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.683). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.108) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.023) is also within normal values, averaging (5.807).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STHO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Industry description

Activities range from the renovation and re-lease of existing buildings to the purchase of raw land and the sale of developed land or parcels to others. Demand for land development business is driven by GDP growth, employment rates, interest rates, and access to/cost of capital. For individual companies in this industry, proper cost estimation and successful bidding play critical roles in their profitability. Large companies could potentially have greater access to capital, while smaller companies can specialize in a specific geographic area or market niche. CBRE Group, VICI Properties Inc and Brookfield Property Partners L.P. are some of the large companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Real Estate Development Industry is 2.87B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 487 to 63.76B. IRSPF holds the highest valuation in this group at 63.76B. The lowest valued company is SHIOF at 487.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Development Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15%. OMH experienced the highest price growth at 338%, while AIRE experienced the biggest fall at -47%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Development Industry was 48%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 47% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 82
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Industry RealEstateDevelopment

Industry
N/A
Address
1114 Avenue of the Americas
Phone
+1 212 930-9400
Employees
72
Web
https://www.starholdingsco.com
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