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Aug 19, 2020
TJX (TJX, $54.52) reports wider-than-expected Q2 loss

TJX (TJX, $54.52) reports wider-than-expected Q2 loss

TJX  reported a wider-than-expected fiscal-second-quarter loss.  

For the three months ended Aug. 1, the off-price department company’s loss came in at -18 cents a share, compared to loss of -10 cents that Factset analysts had expected. In the year-ago period, it raked in profit of 62 cents.

The company’s revenue fell -32% year-over-year to $6.67 billion, compared to the FactSet analyst forecast of $6.55 billion.

TJX had cash of $6.6 billion as of  the end of the quarter.

During the second quarter, TJX paid off the $1 billion it drew from its revolving-credit facilities in March 2020.

According to Tickeron, TJX's 10-day Moving Average broke above its 50-day Moving Average on August 10, 2020

This price move may be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 11 of 18 cases where TJX's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.

Current price $54.52 crossed the support line at $54.79 and is trading between $54.79 support and $53.51 support lines. Throughout the month of 07/17/20 - 08/18/20, the price experienced a +9% Uptrend, while the week of 08/11/20 - 08/18/20 shows a -0.10% Downtrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on August 03, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 56 of 95 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 59%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where TJX's MACD histogram became positive, in 29 of 52 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 27 of 55 similar backtested cases where TJX's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 107 of 273 similar cases where TJX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 39%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 16 of 38 cases where TJX's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 42%.

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 19 of 41 cases where TJX's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 46%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 74%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.33 to 1.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TJX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TJX's P/B Ratio (14.52) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.20). P/E Ratio (42.22) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.77). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.29) is also within normal values, averaging (6.43). Dividend Yield (1.56) settles around the average of (2.28) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.57) is also within normal values, averaging (0.72).

Related Ticker: TJX

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


TJX sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

TJX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 12, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TJX as a result. In of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TJX moved below its 50-day moving average on August 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TJX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TJX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TJX entered a downward trend on September 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 12 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 17 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

TJX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TJX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TJX's P/B Ratio (13.643) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.127). P/E Ratio (24.459) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.577). TJX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.579) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.666). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. TJX's P/S Ratio (2.376) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.707).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 8.79B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 179.95B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 179.95B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. DLTH experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while DBGI experienced the biggest fall at -44%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 167% and the average quarterly volume growth was 16%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a chain of retail apparels and home fashions stores

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
770 Cochituate Road
Phone
+1 508 390-1000
Employees
349000
Web
https://www.tjx.com
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