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May 30, 2019
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Trade wars worrying U.S. homebuyers

Trade wars worrying U.S. homebuyers

The number of borrowers looking for a home loan fell to a one-month low, the Mortgage Bankers Association said.

The Washington-based group’s seasonally adjusted measure on mortgage applications for home purchase and refinancing declined by 3.3% to 411.5 in the week ended May 24. This was the lowest level since the week of April 26. 

“Concerns over European economic growth and ongoing uncertainty about a trade war with China were some of the main factors that kept mortgage rates low last week,” Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting, said in a statement.

Related Ticker: LGIH

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Allana's AvatarAllana|Expert

Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.


LGIH in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 30, 2026

LGIH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 36 of 41 cases where LGIH's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LGIH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 27 of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 63 cases where LGIH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LGIH as a result. In 58 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LGIH just turned positive on October 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where LGIH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Following a +6.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LGIH advanced for three days, in 167 of 245 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for LGIH moved below the 200-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LGIH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

The Aroon Indicator for LGIH entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 10 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 44 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.484) is normal, around the industry mean (1.826). P/E Ratio (15.460) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.881). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.090) is also within normal values, averaging (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.674) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LGIH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LGIH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 7.77B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 12.75K to 40.84B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 40.84B. The lowest valued company is BDCC at 12.75K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0%. CVCO experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while BXBL experienced the biggest fall at -34%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 55%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 32
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: 56 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of residential construction services

Industry Homebuilding

Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1450 Lake Robbins Drive
Phone
+1 281 362-8998
Employees
1056
Web
https://www.lgihomes.com
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