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Apr 25, 2019
Turkey’s lira takes another dive as central bank scares investors over interest rate plans - CNBC

Turkey’s lira takes another dive as central bank scares investors over interest rate plans - CNBC

Turkey’s troubled lira fell to its lowest level since October on Thursday after its central bank scrapped a pledge to raise interest rates if needed. READ MORE...

Related Ticker: TUR

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


TUR in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026

TUR moved above its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 37 of 41 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for TUR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Following a +3.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TUR advanced for three days, in 268 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

TUR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 249 of 304 cases where TUR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 82%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TUR moved out of overbought territory on August 20, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 38 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 88%.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TUR as a result. In 75 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TUR turned negative on September 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 46 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TUR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Turkey IMI 25/50 Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of the underlying index. The underlying index is designed to measure the performance of the large-, mid- and small-capitalization segments of equity market in Turkey. The fund is non-diversified.
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