United States Antimony (UAMY) Analysts Target $11.30, Suggesting +259% Upside

Key Takeaways

• The central target of $11.30 represents the arithmetic mean of four verified analyst price targets for United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY), a NYSE American-listed critical minerals producer.
• With the stock trading near $3.15, reaching $11.30 would require roughly a 259% advance — an extremely large move by any standard.
• The four targets reviewed range from a low of $9.25 to a high of $13.50, and every covering analyst rates the stock a Buy, a "Strong Buy" consensus.
• The two most recent targets ($9.25 from H.C. Wainwright and $9.50 from Texas Capital Securities) sit far below the older $13.00–$13.50 targets, signaling that analysts have been cutting forecasts as the company's 2026 results weakened.
• Key supports include UAMY's status as the only significant U.S. antimony smelter and its defense-stockpile contract; the biggest risks are sliding revenue, operating losses, and antimony price volatility.
• For additional context, explore Major News, Today's Price Move, the Forecast, and Earnings pages for UAMY.

Analyst Price Targets and Consensus View

United States Antimony Corporation carries genuine but limited sell-side coverage. I reviewed four individual analyst price targets, each tied to a named firm and date: H.C. Wainwright (Heiko Ihle) at $9.25 (August 2026), Texas Capital Securities at $9.50 (October 2026), Alliance Global Partners (Jake Sekelsky) at $13.50 (May 2026), and B. Riley Securities at $13.00 (March 2026). The arithmetic mean of these four targets comes to roughly $11.31, which rounds to a central target of $11.30. The full range spans $9.25 to $13.50.

All four analysts rate the shares a Buy, producing a "Strong Buy" consensus with no Hold or Sell ratings. Dispersion remains meaningful, however. The two most recent targets — issued after UAMY's 2026 results deteriorated — cluster near $9.25–$9.50, while the $13.00–$13.50 figures predate the sharp decline and reflect earlier, more optimistic assumptions. H.C. Wainwright notably reduced its target to $9.25 from $11.75 in August 2026, while Texas Capital initiated coverage in October 2026 at $9.50. This downward revision pattern forms the central tension in the analyst view: bullish ratings persist, yet price objectives continue to be marked down. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.

Current Market Position and Path Toward the Target

The shares last traded around $3.15, near the low end of a 52-week range of roughly $2.53 to $14.05. Reaching the $11.30 central target implies a move of about 259%, which is a very large advance and would require a near-trebling of the current price. The path would have to run through several layers of prior supply, given that the stock traded at these higher levels earlier in 2026 before a prolonged selloff.

That gap reflects a changed fundamental picture. UAMY posted meaningful revenue growth in late 2025 on sharply higher antimony prices, but 2026 brought a reversal: second-quarter 2026 revenue of about $7.9 million fell roughly 25% year over year, with a negative operating income and continued net losses. Full-year 2026 EPS estimates have been revised down to roughly negative $0.07 from modestly positive figures earlier in the year. A move toward $11.30 would therefore depend less on current profitability and more on a renewed antimony price upcycle and execution of the company's expansion plans.

What Could Support a Move Toward the Target

UAMY's strategic position is its strongest asset. It operates the Thompson Falls smelter in Montana, described as the only significant antimony smelter in the United States, making it a rare domestic source of a critical mineral used in flame retardants, batteries, and ammunition primers. China dominates global antimony supply, and its 2024 export controls elevated antimony's strategic importance. UAMY has also secured a contract with the U.S. National Defense Stockpile — including an initial order for 315,000 pounds of antimony metal ingots — underscoring its defense relevance.

Beyond antimony, management is expanding into cobalt and tungsten and has added North American mining claims, while institutional ownership has grown, with BlackRock reported to have increased its stake above 5%. A sustained rise in antimony prices, successful smelter capacity expansion, or additional government orders could each re-accelerate the growth story that analysts originally cited for their higher targets.

What Could Prevent the Target From Being Reached

The principal obstacle is that the company is currently shrinking and unprofitable, even as analysts maintain Buy ratings. Declining revenue, negative operating income, and downward EPS revisions point to operational and pricing headwinds. The stock also trades at a premium valuation on a price-to-sales basis versus materials peers, leaving little cushion if sentiment cools further. Antimony prices are volatile and heavily tied to Chinese export policy; any normalization or relaxation of those restrictions could compress the price of UAMY's core product.

Recurring equity raises and shareholder dilution have historically weighed on the shares, and the company's modest market capitalization of roughly $450–570 million makes it prone to outsized swings. The wide spread between the older $13.00–$13.50 targets and the newer $9.25–$9.50 targets is itself a warning that the analysts' models remain in flux.

Technical Levels and Market Structure

The stock's decline from a 2026 high near $14 to the low $3 range leaves clear structural markers. The 52-week low near $2.53 acts as the primary support level, with the $2.64–$3.00 zone representing the next major floor. On the upside, resistance is layered: the recent trading band of roughly $3.20–$3.40 is the first hurdle, followed by the $4–$5 area and then far more distant levels associated with the earlier 2026 breakdown. The $10 psychological level sits just below the central target and would be a significant milestone. In short, the current price sits near long-term support, but the distance to the $11.30 objective is technically extreme.

Time Horizon and What Investors Should Monitor

Analyst price targets typically reflect a research horizon of about 12 months, though the four targets here were published across several months and should not be read as a synchronized forecast. Investors should monitor antimony spot prices and any change in Chinese export policy, quarterly revenue and operating income trends, and progress on the Thompson Falls expansion and defense-contract deliveries. Upcoming catalysts include UAMY's next earnings report and a scheduled B. Riley investor meeting in mid-November 2026. Further analyst target revisions — particularly whether the older $13.00–$13.50 figures are lowered — will be a key signal of conviction.

Final Assessment

Can UAMY reach $11.30? The question rests on an analyst-derived central target that is the arithmetic mean of four published price objectives, and it sits roughly 259% above the current price — a very large hurdle that would require a near-trebling of the stock. The bullish case is anchored in UAMY's unique domestic smelter, its defense-stockpile contract, and its exposure to a critical mineral dominated by China. The bearish case is anchored in declining revenue, ongoing losses, and a stock that has already given back most of its 2026 gains. The wide $9.25–$13.50 target range, and the fact that the newest targets are the lowest, suggests analysts remain constructive but are steadily tempering their expectations. Whether the stock can close that gap depends on antimony prices, execution, and government demand — none of which is guaranteed. The target is a reference point, not a forecast.

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Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk|Expert

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.

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