US initial jobless claims rises to 3-month high
Initial jobless claims for the US state unemployment benefits unexpectedly climbed to the highest level in three months, amid a surge in COVID-19 cases.
In the week ended Dec. 12, seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims rose by +23,000 to 885,000, according to Labor Department data. The figure is well above the 818,000 expected by economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
However, continuing claims for state programs fell by -273,000 to 5.51 million in the week ended Dec. 5, compared to 5.7 million forecast by Bloomberg survey.
The increase in initial claims includes increasing filings in California and Illinois, states that are experiencing particularly restrictive lockdowns. Additionally, the cooler weather also has a role to play in job losses.
SPY's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for SPY moved out of overbought territory on December 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 68 cases where SPY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on December 10, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 26, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPY as a result. In of 66 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 366 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 453 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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