Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 24, 2018

What's News This Morning

Earnings, earnings, earnings. Here is a brief summary of the news – and all positive!

  1. China apparently decided to print more money, build more speed trains, wonderful airports, more freeways. This is their response to a possible trade war (or not?) 
  2. One of the largest European banks – UBS - just reported great earnings. 
  3. Manufacturing index out of Germany is much better than expected. 
  4. On this side of the pond, earnings continue to impress – Google yesterday was a pleasant surprise, but others (Verizon, Biogen, Eli Lily, Lockheed Martin) are doing very well.
  5. 10 year Treasuries yield is approaching 3% again and the gap between 2-year Treasuries and 10-years is increasing again.

Are we out of the woods?

Related Ticker: BIIB

BIIB's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BIIB moved out of overbought territory on May 09, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 20 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 16, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BIIB as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BIIB turned negative on May 12, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BIIB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BIIB advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BIIB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 128 cases where BIIB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BIIB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BIIB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.133) is normal, around the industry mean (6.199). P/E Ratio (13.908) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.267). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.661) is also within normal values, averaging (3.530). BIIB's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.027). P/S Ratio (4.297) is also within normal values, averaging (4.057).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), AstraZeneca PLC (NASDAQ:AZN), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 80.33B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 72.83K to 404.19B. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 404.19B. The lowest valued company is CRXTQ at 72.83K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. SNPHF experienced the highest price growth at 7%, while SCLX experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -5% and the average quarterly volume growth was 125%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 28
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 52
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: 17 (-100 ... +100)
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