Analysis and predictions AA vs CENX
Loading...
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AA is a StrongBuy and CENX is a StrongSell.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCENX’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CENX’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CENX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CENX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AA (@Aluminum) experienced а +6.92% price change this week, while CENX (@Aluminum) price change was +3.99% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aluminum industry was +0.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.46%.
Reported Earning Dates
AA is expected to report earnings on Oct 18, 2023.
CENX is expected to report earnings on Nov 07, 2023.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aluminum (+0.57% weekly)Aluminum is widely used in the industries like construction, packaging and automotive sector. The segment has seen increased demand for the lightweight variety in automobiles in improving fuel efficiency. The U.S. aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion a year in direct economic impact (according to The Aluminum Association). Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation are major aluminum companies in the U.S.
| AA | CENX | AA / CENX | |
| Capitalization | 5.15B | 644M | 799% |
| EBITDA | -542M | -11.4M | 4,754% |
| Gain YTD | -38.728 | -17.115 | 226% |
| P/E Ratio | 7.32 | 6.33 | 116% |
| Revenue | 10.9B | 2.3B | 475% |
| Total Cash | 990M | 50.6M | 1,957% |
| Total Debt | 1.81B | 575M | 315% |
AA | CENX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 31 | 95 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AA's Valuation (16) in the Aluminum industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CENX (76). This means that AA’s stock grew somewhat faster than CENX’s over the last 12 months.
AA's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as CENX (100). This means that AA’s stock grew similarly to CENX’s over the last 12 months.
AA's SMR Rating (95) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as CENX (95). This means that AA’s stock grew similarly to CENX’s over the last 12 months.
CENX's Price Growth Rating (62) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as AA (80). This means that CENX’s stock grew similarly to AA’s over the last 12 months.
AA's P/E Growth Rating (87) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as CENX (94). This means that AA’s stock grew similarly to CENX’s over the last 12 months.
| AA | CENX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 80% | 6 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 77% | 6 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 80% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| TDSE | 21.64 | 0.01 | +0.07% |
| Cabana Target Drawdown 16 ETF | |||
| NDIV | 25.74 | -0.23 | -0.87% |
| Amplify Natural Resources Div Inc ETF | |||
| DJAN | 32.08 | -0.31 | -0.96% |
| FT Cboe Vest US Equity Dp Bffr ETF Jan | |||
| LVHI | 26.62 | -0.33 | -1.22% |
| Franklin Intl Low Volatility Hi Div ETF | |||
| ARKK | 37.97 | -1.07 | -2.74% |
| ARK Innovation ETF | |||
CENX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CENX has been closely correlated with AA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CENX jumps, then AA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CENX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CENX | 100% | -2.73% | ||
| AA - CENX | 80% Closely correlated | -4.13% | ||
| KALU - CENX | 66% Loosely correlated | -4.03% | ||
| CSTM - CENX | 58% Loosely correlated | -4.03% |