The Aroon Indicator for CENX entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 198 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 173 of the 198 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 87%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CENX as a result. In 73 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CENX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CENX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 51 of 60 cases where CENX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CENX just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where CENX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +10.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CENX advanced for three days, in 235 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
CENX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CENX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CENX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.314) is normal, around the industry mean (2.038). P/E Ratio (5.386) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.816). CENX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.070) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.345). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. CENX's P/S Ratio (1.497) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.849).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The 50-day moving average for CSTM moved below the 200-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CSTM as a result. In 68 of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CSTM turned negative on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 58 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 58 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 66%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CSTM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for CSTM entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for CSTM's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +5.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CSTM advanced for three days, in 219 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
CSTM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.505) is normal, around the industry mean (2.038). P/E Ratio (5.786) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.816). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.020) is also within normal values, averaging (0.345). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.380) is also within normal values, averaging (0.849).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CSTM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CSTM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
CENX | CSTM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 47 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 84 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CSTM's Valuation (47) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as CENX (75) in the Aluminum industry. This means that CSTM’s stock grew similarly to CENX’s over the last 12 months.
CENX's Profit vs Risk Rating (67) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as CSTM (84) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that CENX’s stock grew similarly to CSTM’s over the last 12 months.
CENX's SMR Rating (19) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as CSTM (19) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that CENX’s stock grew similarly to CSTM’s over the last 12 months.
CSTM's Price Growth Rating (61) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as CENX (64) in the Aluminum industry. This means that CSTM’s stock grew similarly to CENX’s over the last 12 months.
CSTM's P/E Growth Rating (95) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as CENX (96) in the Aluminum industry. This means that CSTM’s stock grew similarly to CENX’s over the last 12 months.
| CENX | CSTM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 81% | 10 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 4 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 85% |
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CENX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while CSTM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CENX’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CSTM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
CENX (@Aluminum) experienced а -6.55% price change this week, while CSTM (@Aluminum) price change was -7.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aluminum industry was -5.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -14.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was -37.67%.
CENX is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
CSTM is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
Aluminum is widely used in the industries like construction, packaging and automotive sector. The segment has seen increased demand for the lightweight variety in automobiles in improving fuel efficiency. The U.S. aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion a year in direct economic impact (according to The Aluminum Association). Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation are major aluminum companies in the U.S.
A.I.dvisor tells us that CSTM and AA have been poorly correlated (+29% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that CSTM and AA's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CSTM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSTM | 100% | -1.39% | ||
| AA - CSTM | 29% Poorly correlated | +2.76% | ||
| CENX - CSTM | -2% Poorly correlated | -1.59% | ||
| KALU - CSTM | -2% Poorly correlated | -6.23% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| PEVC | 29.34 | 0.54 | +1.87% |
| Pacer PE/VC ETF | |||
| TPSC | 47.69 | 0.77 | +1.63% |
| Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF (TPSC) | |||
| LCLG | 68.02 | 0.38 | +0.56% |
| Logan Capital Large Cap Growth ETF (LCLG) | |||
| CGSM | 26.21 | 0.04 | +0.15% |
| Capital Group Short Duration Municipal Income ETF (CGSM) | |||
| PALU | 46.19 | -0.46 | -0.99% |
| Direxion Daily PANW Bull 2X ETF (PALU) | |||