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ADP vs ROP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Automatic Data Processing (ADP) vs. Roper Technologies (ROP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ADP is a global leader in cloud-based human capital management (HCM) and payroll services, while ROP operates a diversified portfolio of vertical software and technology-enabled products serving defensible niche markets.
- ADP delivered roughly 7% revenue growth and double-digit adjusted earnings growth in its most recent fiscal year, supported by record bookings and high client retention.
- ROP reported about 8% revenue growth with 7% organic growth in its latest quarter, raising full-year earnings guidance on strong software momentum.
- Both companies are leaning into artificial intelligence (AI), but ADP embeds AI into payroll and HR workflows, while ROP monetizes AI agents across its software businesses.
- ADP offers a substantially higher dividend yield, whereas ROP leans on acquisitions and buybacks for shareholder returns.
- For additional context on each name, explore ADP Major News and ADP Today's Price Move, along with ROP Major News and ROP Today's Price Move.
- To see how algorithmic strategies are positioning across these and other tickers, visit the Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
Investors comparing ADP and ROP are weighing two very different expressions of a shared theme: durable, recurring-revenue businesses now accelerating their use of AI. Automatic Data Processing is a payroll and HCM giant tied closely to U.S. employment trends, while Roper Technologies is a decentralized acquirer of niche software and engineered products. This stock comparison is especially relevant for investors seeking stability and income versus those prioritizing compounding growth through mergers and acquisitions (M&A, the buying and combining of companies) and capital redeployment. Recent market activity has lifted both stocks from mid-year lows, making their relative performance and market positioning a timely focus for traders and long-term investors alike.
ADP Overview and Recent Performance
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) provides cloud-based HCM solutions spanning payroll, benefits, talent, time, tax, and compliance, alongside professional employer organization (PEO, a co-employment outsourcing model) services. Its scale is considerable, serving more than 1.1 million clients. In its most recent fiscal year, ADP reported total revenue of about $21.9 billion, up roughly 7%, with adjusted earnings per share growing at a double-digit pace. Employer Services bookings reached $2.2 billion, and client retention held near 92%.
Sentiment has been shaped by two forces in recent weeks. First, concerns that AI could disrupt payroll and HR workflows pressured the stock earlier in the year. Second, ADP has answered those concerns with its own AI investments, including its ADP Assist agents and "The Zone" service platform, while its Lyric HCM enterprise platform saw live clients rise sharply year over year. A rebound in hiring data has also supported the shares, though a softer one-year total return reminds investors that the name had lagged before its recent recovery.
ROP Overview and Recent Performance
Roper Technologies (ROP) is a diversified technology company operating three segments: Application Software, Network Software, and Technology Enabled Products. It serves heavily regulated, "defensible" niche markets such as healthcare, insurance, legal, and freight, and redeploys excess cash toward acquisitions. In its latest quarter, Roper reported revenue of about $2.17 billion, up 8% with 7% organic growth, and adjusted earnings per share up 15% year over year. Management raised full-year earnings guidance on the strength of these results.
Recent performance has been driven by accelerating organic growth across its software portfolio and tangible early monetization of AI agents, with a majority of its software businesses now offering agent-based solutions. The company also completed three bolt-on acquisitions in the quarter, reflecting its disciplined M&A approach. While some businesses, such as its Neptune metering unit, face subdued end-market conditions, the broader portfolio's recurring revenue and high customer retention have supported a rebound in the share price in recent weeks.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page highlights a curated selection of algorithmic trading strategies drawn from hundreds of available AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers. Because not every bot is suited to every market environment, only the strongest performers most aligned with current conditions earn a place in this section. The bots vary widely in trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance statistics, and the specific sets of tickers they trade, giving users a broad view of how automated systems are navigating names like ADP and ROP. For traders interested in supplementing their own analysis with data-driven signals, exploring the Trending AI Robots page offers a useful starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is their business model. ADP is a concentrated leader whose fortunes track employment, wage growth, and interest income on client funds. ROP is a diversified portfolio whose performance depends on acquisition integration and organic software growth across many niche end markets. ADP's income orientation is reflected in a dividend yield near 3%, while Roper's yield sits below 1%, with Roper favoring share repurchases and bolt-on deals to compound value.
On momentum, both names have rebounded in recent weeks. ADP's recovery has been aided by strong bookings and AI-enabled productivity, while Roper's has been supported by 7% organic growth and raised guidance. Risk profiles differ: ADP faces sensitivity to a softening labor market and the disruptive potential of AI in HCM, whereas Roper faces acquisition integration risk and leverage from its capital deployment. Sector exposure also diverges, with ADP concentrated in employment services and Roper spread across software, healthcare, and industrial technology.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward ROP in the current environment. Roper's combination of accelerating organic growth, rising earnings guidance, high-margin recurring software revenue, and tangible AI monetization suggests stronger and more consistent momentum. Its consensus analyst rating of "Buy," compared with a "Hold" consensus for ADP, reinforces this relative positioning. That said, ADP's higher dividend yield, exceptional client retention, and AI-driven margin potential offer a more stable, income-oriented profile. The verdict reflects a probabilistic view of trend consistency and catalysts rather than a definitive prediction, and relative positioning could shift as new data emerges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADP is a Buy and ROP is a StrongBuy.
ADP's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADP turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADP as a result. In 43 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
ADP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ADP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +0.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADP advanced for three days, in 157 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 112 of 252 cases where ADP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 44%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADP moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 41%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
ADP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ADP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (19.930) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.906). P/E Ratio (27.653) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.554). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.446) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.020) is also within normal values, averaging (70.383).
ROP in +0.72% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on November 12, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where ROP advanced for three days, in 143 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ROP as a result. In 44 of 104 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 42%.
ROP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ROP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 5 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 38%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 66 of 211 cases where ROP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 31%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ROP moved out of overbought territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 10 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 36%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 31 of 67 cases where ROP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ROP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
ROP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ROP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.521) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.906). P/E Ratio (19.776) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.554). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.393) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.782) is also within normal values, averaging (70.383).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ROP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.
ADP | ROP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 92 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 3 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 84 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ROP's Valuation (71) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as ADP (86) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that ROP’s stock grew similarly to ADP’s over the last 12 months.
ADP's Profit vs Risk Rating (47) in the Data Processing Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROP (92) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ADP’s stock grew somewhat faster than ROP’s over the last 12 months.
ADP's SMR Rating (17) in the Data Processing Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROP (61) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ADP’s stock grew somewhat faster than ROP’s over the last 12 months.
ROP's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as ADP (13) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that ROP’s stock grew similarly to ADP’s over the last 12 months.
ADP's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Data Processing Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ROP (84) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ADP’s stock grew somewhat faster than ROP’s over the last 12 months.
| ADP | ROP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 36% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 5 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 37% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 48% | 5 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 33% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 31% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADP’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while ROP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- ROP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADP’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ROP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ROP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ADP (@Packaged Software) experienced а +0.25% price change this week, while ROP (@Packaged Software) price change was -2.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was +0.94%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADP is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.
ROP is expected to report earnings on Feb 03, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (+0.94% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
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ADP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADP has been closely correlated with PAYX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADP jumps, then PAYX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADP | 100% | +0.51% | ||
| PAYX - ADP | 86% Closely correlated | -0.16% | ||
| PCTY - ADP | 78% Closely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| ROP - ADP | 67% Closely correlated | +0.04% | ||
| PAYC - ADP | 66% Closely correlated | +2.55% | ||
| MANH - ADP | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.96% | ||
More | ||||
ROP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ROP has been closely correlated with AME. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ROP jumps, then AME could also see price increases.