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ADSK vs INTU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) vs. Intuit Inc. (INTU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ADSK and INTU are both large-cap software franchises, but they serve very different markets: design and engineering versus consumer and small-business finance.
- Both stocks have experienced pronounced sell-offs in 2026 despite delivering quarterly results above Wall Street estimates, reflecting broader unease about AI (artificial intelligence) disruption and growth durability.
- Autodesk has shown stronger near-term revenue momentum, while Intuit carries deeper investor concern over AI's impact on its core tax-filing franchise.
- Intuit trades at a notably lower forward valuation after its decline, whereas Autodesk retains a higher price-to-earnings multiple.
- Relative performance diverges sharply: Autodesk has been pressured by execution-transition concerns, while Intuit faces questions about its long-term competitive moat.
Introduction
Autodesk and Intuit are two of the most recognized names in business software, yet they occupy distinct corners of the technology sector. Autodesk powers design, engineering, and construction workflows, while Intuit owns household brands such as TurboTax, QuickBooks, and Credit Karma. Comparing the two is instructive for investors weighing different software business models, growth drivers, and risk profiles in an environment where AI is reshaping how software is built, priced, and consumed. This stock comparison examines recent market activity, relative performance, and market positioning, offering a balanced view of where each company stands today and what is currently influencing investor sentiment.
ADSK Overview and Recent Performance
ADSK, the ticker for Autodesk, Inc., is a leader in design-and-make software spanning architecture, engineering, construction (AEC), manufacturing, and media. Its products include AutoCAD, Fusion, and Forma. In recent market activity, Autodesk delivered solid fundamentals that have not always been reflected in its share price. Its most recent quarterly results showed revenue rising roughly 16% year over year, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS, a measure of profit divided by shares outstanding) also exceeding analyst expectations, alongside an increase in full-year guidance.
Despite the beat-and-raise, the stock has faced notable downward pressure in recent weeks, including an extended multi-day losing streak that erased much of its prior gains. Sentiment has been shaped by a sales-model transition, a channel reorganization that temporarily slowed new business generation, and the integration of the MaintainX acquisition into its operations segment. Management has emphasized a "project intelligence" strategy and the integration of AI across its platform, while some regions, particularly Western Europe, have lagged.
INTU Overview and Recent Performance
INTU, the ticker for Intuit Inc., provides financial management, tax, and accounting software through TurboTax, QuickBooks, Credit Karma, and Mailchimp. Intuit's most recent quarterly results also exceeded expectations, with revenue climbing in the low double digits and adjusted EPS rising sharply year over year, while the company raised its forward outlook and expanded shareholder returns.
Even so, Intuit has been one of the more heavily sold software stocks in 2026, with its shares down well over half from their highs. The central concern is whether AI-powered assistants could erode demand for do-it-yourself tax filing, a core part of the TurboTax franchise. Intuit has responded by leaning into assisted filing (TurboTax Live), pushing into money offerings and mid-market services, and announcing a workforce reduction of roughly 17% to simplify its organization. Strong underlying profitability and aggressive buybacks have not fully offset investor anxiety about the durability of its tax business.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge on several key dimensions. In business model, Autodesk relies on subscription licensing tied to design and engineering workflows, while Intuit monetizes financial tasks through subscriptions, transaction-based services, and advertising-linked offerings such as Credit Karma. Both enjoy strong recurring revenue, but their end markets and pricing power differ.
On growth drivers, Autodesk's momentum is concentrated in construction, manufacturing (Fusion), and AI-enhanced design tools, while Intuit is betting on assisted tax, mid-market accounting, and payments. Autodesk's growth has held up better in recent quarters, though it faces transitional friction from its sales-model changes. Intuit's growth is slowing, and its TurboTax outlook has been trimmed, amplifying AI-related concerns.
Risk factors also contrast sharply. Autodesk's near-term risks are execution-related—channel reorganization, acquisition integration, and regional softness. Intuit's risks are more existential in nature, centered on whether AI tools and lower-cost competitors structurally reduce demand for traditional tax preparation. In market sentiment and relative performance, both names are out of favor, but Intuit's de-rating has been more severe, leaving it at a much lower forward earnings multiple than Autodesk.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, momentum, and the nature of near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely lean cautiously toward ADSK in the current environment. Autodesk's revenue growth has been steadier, its earnings guidance is rising, and its pressures appear more transitional than structural. Intuit, by contrast, faces a deeper, slower-to-resolve question around its core tax franchise, even though its valuation is more attractive and its profitability remains strong. That said, both stocks are in confirmed downtrends, so any AI-driven assessment would remain probabilistic rather than definitive, emphasizing the need to monitor trend stabilization and forthcoming earnings before drawing firm conclusions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADSK is a StrongBuy and INTU is a StrongBuy.
ADSK's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADSK as a result. In 52 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
ADSK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ADSK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in 209 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADSK moved out of overbought territory on October 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 23 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 61%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 56 cases where ADSK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
ADSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ADSK entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.172) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.287). P/E Ratio (31.606) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.534). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.797) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.024) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for INTU turns positive, indicating new upward trend
INTU saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 53 of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for INTU just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where INTU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
INTU moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTU advanced for three days, in 190 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for INTU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
INTU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for INTU entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 69 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.718) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.287). P/E Ratio (20.284) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.534). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.855) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.108) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
ADSK | INTU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 89 | 92 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 49 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
INTU's Valuation (69) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (83). This means that INTU’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
INTU's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (100). This means that INTU’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's SMR Rating (19) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as INTU (41). This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to INTU’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as INTU (57). This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to INTU’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's P/E Growth Rating (89) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as INTU (92). This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to INTU’s over the last 12 months.
| ADSK | INTU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 68% | 23 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 79% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADSK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while INTU’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADSK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- INTU’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADSK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while INTU’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADSK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- INTU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ADSK (@Packaged Software) experienced Đ° +6.57% price change this week, while INTU (@Packaged Software) price change was +11.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -0.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADSK is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
INTU is expected to report earnings on Nov 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-0.97% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
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INTU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, INTU has been closely correlated with WDAY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if INTU jumps, then WDAY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To INTU | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTU | 100% | +2.97% | ||
| WDAY - INTU | 72% Closely correlated | +4.50% | ||
| ADBE - INTU | 70% Closely correlated | +3.90% | ||
| NOW - INTU | 68% Closely correlated | +2.88% | ||
| CLSK - INTU | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| ADSK - INTU | 64% Loosely correlated | +2.03% | ||
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