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ADSK vs PTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Autodesk (ADSK) vs. PTC (PTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Autodesk (ADSK) is an independent design-software leader riding strong cloud and AI momentum, with consensus analyst ratings at Strong Buy.
- PTC (PTC) has agreed to be acquired by Schneider Electric for $205 per share in cash (roughly $23.7 billion), reshaping its near-term investment thesis.
- ADSK has outperformed in recent periods, while PTC's stock now trades close to its takeover price, capping most upside.
- The two companies serve overlapping industrial and product-design markets but diverge sharply in business model momentum and capital-return trajectory.
- Autodesk carries a premium valuation, while PTC's valuation is anchored by deal terms rather than fundamentals alone.
Introduction
Autodesk and PTC are two of the most recognized names in design and product-lifecycle software, yet they are converging on a moment of unusual divergence. Autodesk is a pure-play software vendor scaling its subscription and AI offerings, while PTC is in the process of being acquired by Schneider Electric. For traders and investors comparing these tickers, the contrast is instructive: one represents an ongoing growth story with expanding margins, and the other represents a near-concluded corporate event. This stock comparison examines recent relative performance, market positioning, and what observable factors might steer an AI-driven verdict between the two.
ADSK Overview and Recent Performance
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK) develops design, engineering, construction, and manufacturing software, best known for products such as AutoCAD and Revit. The company operates a subscription-first business model with trailing-twelve-month revenue near $7.8 billion and gross margins above 90%, reflecting the high-margin economics of mature cloud software. In recent weeks, Autodesk has benefited from consistent execution, with analysts repeatedly raising price targets on the strength of its AI strategy, go-to-market improvements, and margin expansion. The stock has outperformed broader market benchmarks on a year-to-date and one-year basis, and its consensus rating stands at Strong Buy. Sentiment has been supported by steady low-teens revenue growth and confidence in multi-year durability, though a premium valuation means expectations are elevated.
PTC Overview and Recent Performance
PTC Inc. (PTC) provides industrial software for product design and lifecycle management, spanning computer-aided design (CAD), product lifecycle management (PLM), application lifecycle management (ALM), and service lifecycle management (SLM). The company has recently narrowed its focus, divesting its Kepware and ThingWorx businesses and emphasizing an "Intelligent Product Lifecycle" vision. The defining development of the recent period is the agreement for Schneider Electric to acquire PTC for $205 per share in cash, a transaction valued near $23.7 billion. Following that announcement, PTC's shares have traded in line with the deal price, and analysts largely moved ratings to Hold or Market Perform with price targets clustered around $205. This reflects a shift in sentiment from fundamental growth to deal completion and timing considerations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Autodesk and PTC overlap in the industrial-software space but differ in scale, model, and current catalysts. Autodesk is substantially larger, with a market capitalization above $50 billion versus PTC's roughly $21 billion, and it enjoys stronger top-line growth and higher gross margins. Autodesk's momentum is driven by organic cloud adoption and AI monetization, whereas PTC's near-term story is defined by its pending acquisition by Schneider Electric rather than organic growth. Risk factors also diverge: Autodesk faces execution and valuation risk as its shares trade at a premium multiple, while PTC's principal risk is deal-related — namely regulatory approval, financing, and the possibility the transaction is delayed or fails to close. On market sentiment, Autodesk's Strong Buy consensus contrasts with PTC's Hold rating anchored to the $205 cash offer. The trade-off is clear: Autodesk offers a growth-and-margin narrative, while PTC offers limited upside tied to a defined exit price.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative performance, and catalyst profile, Tickeron's AI would likely favor Autodesk in a pure momentum and trend framework. Autodesk exhibits steadier upward price behavior, constructive analyst revisions, and a clearer fundamental growth runway, which tend to align with AI signals that reward persistent trend strength. PTC's stock, by contrast, has been compressed toward its acquisition price, producing low volatility and limited directional signal — characteristics that typically reduce a bot's preference for trend-following or momentum strategies. That said, PTC's defined takeover price could appeal to strategies oriented toward event-driven stability, so the outcome is probabilistic rather than definitive and depends on the specific bot's rules and timeframe.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADSK is a Hold and PTC is a StrongBuy.
ADSK's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADSK as a result. In 52 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
ADSK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ADSK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in 209 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
ADSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ADSK entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.751) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.734). P/E Ratio (32.812) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.183). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.797) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.024) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
PTC's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PTC turned positive on September 24, 2026. Looking at past instances where PTC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 31 of 55 cases where PTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PTC as a result. In 51 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
PTC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PTC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.
The 50-day moving average for PTC moved above the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +0.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PTC advanced for three days, in 171 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 121 of 203 cases where PTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
PTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.067) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.402). P/E Ratio (18.726) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.914). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.308) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.072) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.263) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ADSK | PTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 94 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 60 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PTC's Valuation (74) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (83). This means that PTC’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
PTC's Profit vs Risk Rating (60) in the Packaged Software industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADSK (100). This means that PTC’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's SMR Rating (19) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as PTC (29). This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to PTC’s over the last 12 months.
PTC's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (43). This means that PTC’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's P/E Growth Rating (88) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as PTC (93). This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to PTC’s over the last 12 months.
| ADSK | PTC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 68% | 7 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 2 days ago 60% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADSK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while PTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADSK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADSK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PTC’s TA Score has 8 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADSK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PTC’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ADSK (@Packaged Software) experienced а +3.99% price change this week, while PTC (@Packaged Software) price change was +0.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -0.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADSK is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
PTC is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-0.42% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
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ADSK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADSK has been closely correlated with ADBE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADSK jumps, then ADBE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADSK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADSK | 100% | +4.13% | ||
| ADBE - ADSK | 72% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| BSY - ADSK | 71% Closely correlated | +2.74% | ||
| APPF - ADSK | 68% Closely correlated | +0.06% | ||
| GWRE - ADSK | 67% Closely correlated | +4.26% | ||
| PCOR - ADSK | 67% Closely correlated | +2.27% | ||
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