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AEM vs AU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) vs. AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEM reported record Q1 2026 net income of $1.7 billion on 825,000 ounces of gold production, beating earnings expectations while reiterating full-year guidance of 3.3-3.5 million ounces.
- AU shares have shown stronger one-year returns at approximately 136% compared to AEM's 64%, driven by robust gold price momentum and operational improvements.
- Both gold miners benefit from elevated gold prices near $4,700 per ounce, but AEM's operations in low-risk jurisdictions contrast with AU's exposure to Africa and other emerging markets.
- AEM holds a larger market cap of about $90 billion versus AU's $46 billion, reflecting greater scale and a stronger balance sheet with net cash position.
- Recent market activity shows AU edging AEM in YTD performance (8% vs. 6%), amid sector volatility from geopolitical factors and profit-taking.
- AU offers a higher dividend yield of 4.6% compared to AEM's 1%, attracting income-oriented investors in the current high-gold-price environment.
Introduction
As leading gold producers, AEM and AU provide leveraged exposure to gold prices, which have surged amid geopolitical tensions, central bank buying, and inflation hedges. This stock comparison is relevant for traders seeking short-term momentum plays in volatile metals markets and long-term investors eyeing sector growth drivers like production expansions and cost discipline. With gold near record highs around $4,700 per ounce, both stocks have posted strong gains, but differences in operational footprint, financial metrics, and recent catalysts offer distinct risk-reward profiles in today's market positioning.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) is a mid-tier gold producer with a focus on high-grade mines in stable jurisdictions including Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico. In recent market activity, AEM shares have traded around $180, within a 52-week range of $103 to $255, reflecting year-to-date gains of about 6% and 64% over one year. Performance has been buoyed by soaring gold prices but tempered by sector-wide pullbacks, with shares down roughly 2% in recent weeks amid profit-taking. Key developments include Q1 2026 results showing record quarterly operating margins, adjusted net income of $1.7 billion (EPS $3.40 beating estimates), and 825,000 ounces produced—24% of full-year guidance of 3.3-3.5 million ounces at all-in sustaining costs (AISC, a comprehensive measure of production costs including sustaining capital) of $1,483 per ounce. Strategic moves like Finland belt consolidation and a strong balance sheet with $3.1 billion cash have supported sentiment, despite fuel cost pressures mitigated by regional hydro power reliance.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) operates a global portfolio of gold mines, with significant assets in Africa, Australia, and the Americas, emphasizing tier-one operations for scale. Shares have hovered near $91 in recent trading, in a 52-week range of $39 to $129, delivering year-to-date returns of around 8% and an impressive 136% over one year. Momentum reflects gold's rally, though recent weeks saw dips of 2-5% tied to broader market gains outpacing the stock and factors like debt tenders in Ghana. Q1 2026 earnings are slated for May 8, following strong 2025 full-year results with 3.1 million ounces produced (up 16% YoY), adjusted EBITDA of $6.3 billion, and 2026 guidance of 2.8-3.17 million ounces at AISC of $1,780-$1,990 per ounce. Highlights include reserve declarations in Nevada and operational ramps at sites like Obuasi and Sukari, boosting investor interest despite higher geopolitical risks and insider sales noted in recent filings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AEM and AU both leverage gold prices but differ in business models: AEM's low-cost, jurisdiction-safe profile (beta 0.57, debt/equity 1%) contrasts AU's diversified global ops (beta 0.62, debt/equity 23%) with higher growth potential from ramps like Obuasi. Growth drivers include AEM's acquisitions (e.g., Finland) versus AU's organic expansions and Nevada reserves. Recent momentum favors AU's superior one-year gains, though AEM leads in stability with higher profit margins (39% vs. 27%) and quarterly revenue growth (66% YoY). Risk factors tilt higher for AU due to African exposure amid localization shifts, while AEM faces milder cost inflation. Sector exposure is pure gold for both, but sentiment supports AEM's scale ($90B market cap, P/E 17) over AU ($46B, P/E 18), with analysts eyeing 17-40% upside for each amid gold's trajectory.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AEM for its trend consistency, lower-risk positioning in stable regions, record Q1 margins, and reaffirmed production guidance amid gold strength. AU's higher long-term returns and dividend appeal are notable, but elevated geopolitical risks and upcoming earnings introduce more variability. Observable factors like AEM's net cash strength and cost control suggest a probabilistic edge in the near term for relative outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Buy and AU is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileAU’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- AU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while AU’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- AU’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а -12.00% price change this week, while AU (@Precious Metals) price change was -14.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -6.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +62.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
AU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-6.12% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AEM | AU | AEM / AU | |
| Capitalization | 86.6B | 45.2B | 192% |
| EBITDA | 9.74B | 5.76B | 169% |
| Gain YTD | 2.466 | 6.521 | 38% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.33 | 13.12 | 124% |
| Revenue | 13.5B | 11.2B | 121% |
| Total Cash | 3.12B | 3.15B | 99% |
| Total Debt | 319M | 2.29B | 14% |
AEM | AU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 4 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 33 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 21 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 53 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (4) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for AEM (96) in the null industry. This means that AU’s stock grew significantly faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (35) in the null industry. This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (43) in the null industry. This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (58) in the null industry. This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (53) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (79) in the null industry. This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | AU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 78% | 10 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 6 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 79% |
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AU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AU has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AU jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.