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AEM vs RGLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) vs. Royal Gold (RGLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEM demonstrates stronger year-to-date performance at +8.47% compared to RGLD's +4.14%, reflecting robust production momentum.
- AEM trades at a lower forward P/E ratio of 13.42 versus RGLD's 17.83, indicating potentially better relative valuation.
- Both stocks exhibit low betas (AEM 0.57, RGLD 0.55), offering stability amid gold price volatility, with similar dividend yields around 1%.
- AEM's recent Q1 earnings beat featured record profits and expansions, though shares dipped post-report; RGLD awaits its Q1 results.
- RGLD's royalty model delivers higher profit margins (45.63%) than AEM's (39.46%), with reduced operational risks.
- Analyst targets suggest upside: AEM to $253 (38%), RGLD to $335 (45%).
Introduction
This comparison pits AEM, a leading gold producer, against RGLD, a precious metals royalty and streaming company. Both provide leveraged exposure to gold prices without the direct purchase of bullion, appealing to investors seeking sector plays amid fluctuating commodity markets. Traders focused on relative performance, valuation, and risk profiles in the gold sector will find value here, especially as recent earnings and expansions highlight differing growth trajectories in recent market activity.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is a major gold producer with operations across Canada, Europe, Latin America, and Australia. The company benefits from a diversified portfolio including high-grade mines like Canadian Malartic and Detour Lake. In recent weeks, AEM reported record Q1 profits with revenue of $4.1 billion and net income of $1.71 billion, beating estimates amid strong production and higher gold prices. Key developments include a bold expansion in Finland's Kittila mine and shareholder approval at the annual general meeting. Despite these positives, shares have faced pressure, declining around 8% post-earnings due to profit-taking and broader market dynamics. Sentiment remains buoyed by low debt/equity (1.22%), high ROE (22.3%), and analyst upgrades, with year-to-date gains outpacing peers.
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold (RGLD) operates as a precious metals streaming and royalty firm, acquiring rights to future production from mining operators without direct operational costs. This model generates high-margin cash flows from gold and silver streams worldwide. Recent market activity features anticipation for Q1 results due May 6, alongside roadshows and analyst initiations like UBS's Buy rating with a $325 target. Valuation discussions highlight share price swings, with year-to-date returns at 4.14% reflecting steady but less explosive momentum than producers. Strong profit margins (45.63%) and a solid balance sheet support sentiment, though higher trailing P/E (34.47) tempers enthusiasm amid gold sector pressures.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AEM's integrated producer model drives growth through mine expansions and acquisitions, contrasting RGLD's asset-light royalty approach that minimizes capex and operational risks. AEM's catalysts include production ramps and reserves lasting 15 years, while RGLD benefits from embedded leverage to partner mine outputs. Recent momentum favors AEM's YTD edge and earnings beats, but RGLD's lower beta (0.44 vs. 0.70) and higher analyst upside appeal to conservative positioning. Both share gold sensitivity, yet RGLD's superior margins offset AEM's scale advantages, with trade-offs in volatility and ROE (AEM 22% vs. RGLD 9%). Market sentiment leans positive for both amid sustained gold demand.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI would likely favor AEM in the current environment due to its trend consistency from recent record earnings, lower forward valuation, and superior YTD momentum relative to RGLD. Observable catalysts like expansions and high ROE position AEM for probabilistic outperformance, though RGLD's stability suits risk-averse strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Hold and RGLD is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileRGLD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RGLD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а -0.62% price change this week, while RGLD (@Precious Metals) price change was +0.73% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +7.85%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+7.85% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AEM | RGLD | AEM / RGLD | |
| Capitalization | 81.4B | 17.6B | 463% |
| EBITDA | 9.74B | 1.03B | 943% |
| Gain YTD | -3.656 | -6.254 | 58% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.31 | 25.10 | 61% |
| Revenue | 13.5B | 1.31B | 1,034% |
| Total Cash | 3.12B | 234M | 1,335% |
| Total Debt | 319M | 596M | 54% |
AEM | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 49 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 66 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 90 | 68 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RGLD's Valuation (24) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for AEM (93) in the null industry. This means that RGLD’s stock grew significantly faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (49) in the null industry is in the same range as RGLD (55) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's SMR Rating (43) in the null industry is in the same range as RGLD (66) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's Price Growth Rating (62) in the null industry is in the same range as RGLD (62) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's P/E Growth Rating (68) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (90) in the null industry. This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 70% | 6 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 59% |
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RGLD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RGLD has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RGLD jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RGLD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGLD | 100% | +1.47% | ||
| WPM - RGLD | 85% Closely correlated | +3.05% | ||
| FNV - RGLD | 83% Closely correlated | +0.75% | ||
| AEM - RGLD | 83% Closely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| KGC - RGLD | 81% Closely correlated | +2.90% | ||
| OR - RGLD | 81% Closely correlated | +3.33% | ||
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