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AEM vs FNV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) vs. Franco-Nevada (FNV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEM has outperformed FNV with a YTD return of 14.17% versus 11.63% and a one-year return of 70.24% compared to 41.02%.
- Both stocks benefit from elevated gold prices, but AEM's operational production drove record Q1 margins, while FNV leverages its royalty model for steady cash flows.
- AEM trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio of 18.19 versus FNV's 40.30, offering better relative valuation in the gold sector.
- FNV exhibits lower operational risk with minimal debt and a diversified royalty portfolio spanning precious metals and energy.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks experiencing pullbacks amid gold price consolidation, but analyst targets suggest upside for each at averages of $252 for AEM and $303 for FNV.
- Sector exposure ties performance to gold trends, with AEM showing higher beta-adjusted volatility at 0.57 versus FNV's 0.89.
Introduction
In the gold sector, AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines) and FNV (Franco-Nevada) represent contrasting approaches to precious metals exposure: traditional mining operations versus royalty and streaming. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning amid sustained high gold prices and sector volatility. Traders seeking momentum and production leverage may favor AEM, while investors prioritizing low-risk income streams might prefer FNV. Understanding relative strengths aids in portfolio allocation for gold enthusiasts navigating current market conditions.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), headquartered in Toronto, operates gold mines across Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico, focusing on exploration, development, and production of precious metals including gold, silver, copper, and zinc. In recent market activity, AEM shares have shown resilience, closing at $193.21 with a YTD gain of 14.17% and one-year return of 70.24%, outpacing benchmarks like the S&P/TSX Composite. Q1 2026 results highlighted record operating margins and adjusted net income of $1.71 billion, driven by higher realized gold prices near $4,861 per ounce and strong output from Detour Lake and Canadian Malartic complexes. Sentiment remains positive with analyst targets averaging $252.30, though recent pullbacks reflect gold price consolidation. Factors influencing performance include robust free cash flow generation and exploration successes in the Central Lapland Greenstone Belt.
FNV Overview and Recent Performance
Franco-Nevada (FNV), also Toronto-based, functions as a leading royalty and streaming company with assets in precious metals across South America, North America, Australia, Europe, and Africa, alongside energy royalties. Recent weeks saw FNV trading at $232.11, with YTD returns of 11.63% and one-year gains of 41.02%. Q4 2025 delivered record revenue of $597.3 million, up 86% year-over-year, fueled by higher GEO (gold equivalent ounces) deliveries and precious metals prices. The company maintains a debt-free balance sheet with $3.1 billion in liquidity, supporting dividend growth and acquisitions. Market sentiment benefits from diversified exposure, including potential upside from Cobre Panama developments, though shares have faced pullbacks alongside gold softening. Analyst consensus points to $302.58 targets, emphasizing stable cash flows over operational risks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AEM and FNV both thrive on gold strength but diverge in business models: AEM as an operator faces production costs and execution risks, while FNV enjoys high-margin royalties (minimal capex) from 119+ assets. Growth drivers for AEM include mine expansions like Detour Lake; FNV relies on GEO growth from partners like Antamina. Recent momentum favors AEM with superior YTD and one-year returns, but FNV offers stability (beta 0.89 vs. 0.57, lower debt). Risk factors: AEM exposed to operational hiccups; FNV to counterparty production. Sector ties amplify gold sentiment, with AEM's lower P/E (18x) vs. FNV's premium (40x) highlighting value trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward AEM based on stronger trend consistency, higher relative performance, and attractive valuation amid recent production catalysts. While FNV provides defensive positioning with superior margins and diversification, AEM's momentum and lower multiples suggest greater near-term upside probability in a gold-favorable environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Hold and FNV is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileFNV’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FNV’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FNV’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FNV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а +3.25% price change this week, while FNV (@Precious Metals) price change was +2.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +5.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was +68.24%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
FNV is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+5.30% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AEM | FNV | AEM / FNV | |
| Capitalization | 98.1B | 46.5B | 211% |
| EBITDA | 9.74B | 1.45B | 672% |
| Gain YTD | 15.803 | 16.359 | 97% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.45 | 33.91 | 54% |
| Revenue | 13.5B | 1.55B | 873% |
| Total Cash | 3.12B | 788M | 396% |
| Total Debt | 319M | 82.6M | 386% |
AEM | FNV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FNV's Valuation (19) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for AEM (96) in the null industry. This means that FNV’s stock grew significantly faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (27) in the null industry. This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's SMR Rating (43) in the null industry is in the same range as FNV (59) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's Price Growth Rating (48) in the null industry is in the same range as FNV (52) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's P/E Growth Rating (71) in the null industry is in the same range as FNV (82) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to FNV’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | FNV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 70% | 11 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 49% |
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