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RGLD vs WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Royal Gold (RGLD) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both RGLD and WPM are precious-metals royalty and streaming companies that generate cash flow without operating mines directly, but their business models, balance sheets, and growth profiles differ meaningfully.
- Royal Gold (RGLD) delivered record quarterly revenue of roughly $252 million in its most recent reporting period, supported by higher gold, silver, and copper prices and an adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) margin above 80%.
- Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) reported record quarterly revenue of about $476 million, a debt-free balance sheet, and stronger recent share-price momentum, with gains of more than 70% over the trailing year.
- RGLD has expanded aggressively through acquisitions and added debt, while WPM has leaned on organic growth, new streaming agreements, and a more diversified metals mix, including silver, palladium, and cobalt.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: WPM — based on trend consistency, balance-sheet strength, and relative performance, the AI currently favors Wheaton Precious Metals.
- For more detail, explore RGLD Major News and RGLD Today's Price Move, as well as WPM Major News and WPM Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are navigating names like these, explore the Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Royal Gold and Wheaton Precious Metals are two of the most closely followed names in the precious-metals royalty and streaming sector, an area that offers investors exposure to gold, silver, and other metals without the operating risk of traditional mining. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for investors seeking leverage to metal prices with lower cost profiles, as well as for traders monitoring relative performance and momentum between two large-cap peers. Although both companies benefit from rising precious-metals prices, their approaches to growth, capital structure, and asset diversification create distinct risk-and-reward profiles that merit a closer look.
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) is a Denver-based precious-metals streaming and royalty company with a diversified portfolio spanning gold, silver, and copper interests across the Americas and internationally. In its most recent reporting period, Royal Gold posted record revenue of approximately $252 million, up roughly 30% year over year, alongside record operating cash flow of about $174 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 82%. The results were driven by higher average metal prices and strong contributions from assets such as Andacollo, Rainy River, and Peñasquito.
Recent weeks have been defined by strategic expansion. The company completed its acquisitions of Sandstorm Gold and Horizon Copper, a move that broadens its portfolio but also added integration costs and increased leverage, with total debt rising and a stated plan to repay borrowings by mid-2027. Sentiment has been supported by new developments such as the first gold delivery from the Kansanshi stream and a favorable preliminary economic assessment (an early-stage study of a project's potential economics) on the Fourmile project. Over the trailing year, RGLD shares have advanced meaningfully, though at a slower pace than some streaming peers.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) is a Vancouver-based precious-metals streaming company with roughly 35 streaming agreements and additional royalty interests across gold, silver, palladium, platinum, and cobalt. In its most recent reporting period, Wheaton generated record revenue of about $476 million, up approximately 55% year over year, while adjusted earnings per share (EPS, the company's profit divided by outstanding shares) beat consensus estimates. Operating cash flow climbed to roughly $383 million, and attributable production rose 22% on the strength of assets including Salobo, Antamina, and the newly producing Blackwater mine.
Unlike Royal Gold, Wheaton ended the quarter with no debt, roughly $1.16 billion in cash, and a $2 billion undrawn revolving credit facility. Recent activity has included new streaming transactions on the Hemlo and Spring Valley projects and a 6.5% dividend increase. Wheaton's metals mix is more diversified than its royalty-focused peer, with silver representing a larger share of revenue, which has positioned the company to benefit from silver's recent strength. This combination of momentum, diversification, and balance-sheet flexibility has supported substantial share-price gains of more than 70% over the past year.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast between these two stocks lies in their business models and capital priorities. Royal Gold operates a hybrid model that blends streams and royalties, with a heavier tilt toward gold, which accounted for roughly 78% of its most recent quarterly revenue. Wheaton is a more traditional streamer with a broader metals mix — gold contributed about 58% of revenue, with silver near 39% and the remainder from palladium and cobalt — giving it differentiated exposure to silver's momentum.
Balance-sheet positioning is another key divergence. Wheaton's debt-free structure and large cash position provide financial flexibility, while Royal Gold's acquisition-driven strategy has introduced meaningful leverage that it expects to repay over the next couple of years. On growth, Wheaton's pipeline of six development projects and recent streaming deals point toward organic expansion, whereas Royal Gold's near-term narrative centers on integrating newly acquired assets. In terms of market positioning, Wheaton has shown stronger relative performance and a cleaner earnings beat, while Royal Gold offers a higher-margin, royalty-heavy profile with potential catalysts tied to its expanded portfolio.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, balance-sheet strength, earnings momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently favor WPM over RGLD. Wheaton's debt-free balance sheet, diversified metals exposure, stronger trailing share-price performance, and a recent earnings beat suggest a more consistent trend profile. Royal Gold's high margins and acquisition-driven growth are notable strengths, but elevated leverage and integration-related costs introduce additional uncertainty. This assessment reflects a probabilistic read of current data rather than a definitive forecast, and conditions can shift as metal prices and company-specific catalysts evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RGLD is a Buy and WPM is a Buy.
RGLD's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for RGLD moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RGLD just turned positive on October 19, 2026. Looking at past instances where RGLD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The 50-day moving average for RGLD moved above the 200-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +3.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RGLD advanced for three days, in 263 of 369 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
RGLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 56 cases where RGLD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RGLD as a result. In 47 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
RGLD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for RGLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RGLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator for RGLD entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RGLD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.555) is normal, around the industry mean (1.747). P/E Ratio (25.223) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.607). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.480) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.351) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.563) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
WPM's RSI Indicator slumps into oversold zone
The RSI Indicator for WPM moved into overbought territory on October 30, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +3.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WPM advanced for three days, in 249 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
WPM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WPM as a result. In 48 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
WPM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WPM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WPM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for WPM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.464) is normal, around the industry mean (1.747). P/E Ratio (25.815) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.607). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.400) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.351) among similar stocks. WPM's P/S Ratio (21.053) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
RGLD | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 60 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RGLD's Valuation (70) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (76). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (37). This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's SMR Rating (41) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (60). This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (57). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WPM (91). This means that RGLD’s stock grew somewhat faster than WPM’s over the last 12 months.
| RGLD | WPM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 71% | 5 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 62% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
RGLD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while WPM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- RGLD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
RGLD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WPM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- RGLD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
RGLD (@Precious Metals) experienced а +0.59% price change this week, while WPM (@Precious Metals) price change was -3.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -4.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.92%.
Reported Earning Dates
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-4.21% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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