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AIR vs BA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AAR Corp. (AIR) vs. Boeing (BA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AAR Corp. (AIR) boasts a year-to-date (YTD) return of 47.32%, far outpacing Boeing's (BA) 3.63% amid strong aerospace demand.
- AIR shares have climbed 130.96% over the past year, compared to BA's 41.21% gain, reflecting robust momentum.
- Recent U.S. Air Force contract wins worth $450 million have fueled positive sentiment for AIR, alongside analyst price target increases.
- BA is ramping up jet deliveries and satellite production ahead of quarterly earnings, supporting recovery efforts.
- AIR trades at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 26.81, more attractive than BA's elevated 90.73.
- Analyst consensus points to upside potential for both, with targets of $131 for AIR and $266 for BA.
Introduction
AAR Corp. (AIR) and Boeing (BA) operate within the aerospace and defense sector, but represent distinct niches: AIR as a key aftermarket services provider and BA as a premier original equipment manufacturer (OEM). This comparison is relevant for traders seeking relative performance insights and investors eyeing sector recovery amid rising air travel and defense spending. By examining recent momentum, business drivers, and market positioning, readers can assess trade-offs in growth potential versus scale in today's dynamic environment.
AIR Overview and Recent Performance
AAR Corp. (AIR) delivers aviation products and services, including maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO), parts supply, and integrated logistics for commercial and government customers worldwide. In recent market activity, AIR stock has exhibited strong upward trajectory, reaching 52-week highs near $127 and delivering a market capitalization of $4.85 billion. Key influences include a $450 million U.S. Air Force contract award and analyst upgrades, such as KeyBanc's overweight rating with a $132 target, driving sentiment amid peer rallies in aerospace suppliers. Broader performance shows YTD gains of 47.32% and a one-year surge of 130.96%, supported by solid quarterly earnings and sector tailwinds.
BA Overview and Recent Performance
Boeing (BA) is a global leader in commercial airplanes, defense systems, and space technologies, with major programs like the 737 MAX and 787 Dreamliner. Recent weeks have seen BA advance production and deliveries, reporting 46 jets in March despite prior-month dips, alongside hiring expansions and satellite output growth. The stock, with a $177 billion market cap, has risen 41.21% over the past year but lags YTD at 3.63%, reflecting operational hurdles ahead of anticipated quarterly earnings. Positive order inflows and analyst buy ratings with $266 targets underscore recovery potential in a backlog-rich environment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AIR emphasizes recurring revenue from aftermarket MRO and supply chain services, contrasting BA's capital-intensive OEM model reliant on large contracts and production cycles. Growth drivers differ: AIR benefits from defense contracts and airline fleet expansions, while BA leverages a massive order backlog amid commercial rebound. Recent momentum favors AIR with superior YTD and one-year returns, versus BA's scale but earnings volatility. Risk factors include AIR's smaller size and beta of 1.21 (volatility relative to market), against BA's high debt-to-equity ratio over 1,000% and supply chain sensitivities. Market sentiment tilts positive for both via analyst upgrades, though AIR shows tighter valuation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward AIR based on consistent trend strength, superior relative momentum, and stability in recent aerospace activity, positioning it favorably against BA's near-term earnings uncertainties despite its larger scale and backlog.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AIR is a Hold and BA is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AIR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileBA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AIR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AIR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BA’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AIR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- BA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AIR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -7.79% price change this week, while BA (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -0.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -1.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +43.82%.
Reported Earning Dates
AIR is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
BA is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-1.79% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| AIR | BA | AIR / BA | |
| Capitalization | 4.16B | 174B | 2% |
| EBITDA | 375M | 7.32B | 5% |
| Gain YTD | 26.283 | 1.552 | 1,693% |
| P/E Ratio | 22.98 | 87.15 | 26% |
| Revenue | 3.14B | 92.2B | 3% |
| Total Cash | 78.5M | 20.9B | 0% |
| Total Debt | 980M | 47.2B | 2% |
AIR | BA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 42 Fair valued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 26 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 60 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AIR's Valuation (42) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BA (95). This means that AIR’s stock grew somewhat faster than BA’s over the last 12 months.
AIR's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for BA (100). This means that AIR’s stock grew significantly faster than BA’s over the last 12 months.
BA's SMR Rating (11) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AIR (64). This means that BA’s stock grew somewhat faster than AIR’s over the last 12 months.
BA's Price Growth Rating (26) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as AIR (48). This means that BA’s stock grew similarly to AIR’s over the last 12 months.
BA's P/E Growth Rating (60) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AIR (100). This means that BA’s stock grew somewhat faster than AIR’s over the last 12 months.
| AIR | BA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 73% | 5 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 12 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 75% |
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AIR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AIR has been loosely correlated with WWD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AIR jumps, then WWD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AIR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIR | 100% | -3.76% | ||
| WWD - AIR | 55% Loosely correlated | -4.45% | ||
| CW - AIR | 55% Loosely correlated | -5.08% | ||
| VSEC - AIR | 54% Loosely correlated | -5.14% | ||
| SARO - AIR | 53% Loosely correlated | -4.07% | ||
| HWM - AIR | 53% Loosely correlated | -4.41% | ||
More | ||||
BA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BA has been loosely correlated with TXT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BA jumps, then TXT could also see price increases.