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AIR vs CW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AAR Corp. (AIR) vs. Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CW boasts a significantly larger market capitalization of $26.32 billion compared to AIR's $4.39 billion, reflecting greater scale in the aerospace and defense sector.
- Both stocks have delivered robust year-to-date (YTD) gains, with AIR at 33.29% outperforming CW's 29.41%, amid strong sector tailwinds.
- CW trades at a premium trailing P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio of 55.54 versus AIR's 24.25, signaling higher growth expectations.
- Recent quarterly revenue growth stands at 24.60% for AIR and 14.90% for CW, highlighting acceleration in AIR's aftermarket business.
- CW benefits from a growing backlog and positive analyst revisions, supporting sustained momentum in recent market activity.
Introduction
In the competitive aerospace and defense sector, AIR and CW stand out as key players offering distinct exposure to aftermarket services and engineered components. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning, aiding investors and traders seeking diversified opportunities amid rising defense spending and commercial aviation recovery. With both stocks showing resilience in recent weeks, understanding their relative strengths helps in evaluating sector rotation and growth potential.
AAR Corp. (AIR) Overview and Recent Performance
AAR Corp. is a global provider of aerospace and defense aftermarket solutions, including parts supply, maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services across commercial and government markets. Headquartered near Chicago, it operates in over 20 countries. In recent market activity, AIR shares have advanced strongly, with YTD gains of 33.29% and a one-year return exceeding 100%, outpacing broader benchmarks. Trading around $110 with a market cap of $4.39 billion, the stock reflects optimism from robust quarterly revenue growth of 24.60% year-over-year (yoy) and trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of $3.13 billion. Sentiment has been bolstered by analyst upgrades and a "Strong Buy" consensus, driven by aviation demand recovery and defense contracts, though shares remain below their 52-week high of $127.21.
Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) Overview and Recent Performance
Curtiss-Wright Corporation specializes in highly engineered products and services for aerospace, defense, power generation, and industrial applications, with roots tracing back over a century. Headquartered in North Carolina, it serves critical markets through advanced technologies. Recently, CW has maintained upward momentum, posting YTD returns of 29.41% and a one-year gain near 104%, supported by a substantial backlog and earnings anticipation. At approximately $713 and a $26.32 billion market cap, it features TTM revenue of $3.5 billion and 14.90% quarterly growth yoy. Positive news flow, including backlog expansion and analyst target raises, has fueled sentiment, positioning shares near their 52-week high amid sector strength.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AIR focuses on aftermarket MRO services, offering recurring revenue stability, while CW emphasizes engineered components with higher-margin defense and power exposure. Growth drivers differ: AIR benefits from commercial aviation rebound (24.60% quarterly revenue growth), whereas CW leverages defense spending and backlog expansion (14.90% growth). Recent momentum favors CW with analyst upgrades, but AIR shows better valuation (lower P/E, price/sales). Risks include sector cyclicality and supply chain issues for both; CW's premium multiples reflect greater stability, while AIR offers value trade-offs. Market sentiment tilts toward CW for its scale.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward CW due to its superior backlog growth, larger scale, and consistent outperformance in recent trends, providing more reliable catalysts amid aerospace demand. While AIR offers attractive valuation and YTD edge, CW's positioning suggests higher probability of sustained upside in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AIR is a Buy and CW is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AIR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileCW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AIR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- CW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AIR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AIR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AIR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +10.60% price change this week, while CW (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +3.39% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -1.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
AIR is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
CW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-1.16% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| AIR | CW | AIR / CW | |
| Capitalization | 5.13B | 28B | 18% |
| EBITDA | 375M | 818M | 46% |
| Gain YTD | 55.828 | 37.548 | 149% |
| P/E Ratio | 28.35 | 55.53 | 51% |
| Revenue | 3.14B | 3.61B | 87% |
| Total Cash | 78.5M | 343M | 23% |
| Total Debt | 980M | 1.15B | 85% |
AIR | CW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 33 Fair valued | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AIR's Valuation (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CW (67). This means that AIR’s stock grew somewhat faster than CW’s over the last 12 months.
CW's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as AIR (9). This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to AIR’s over the last 12 months.
CW's SMR Rating (46) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as AIR (65). This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to AIR’s over the last 12 months.
AIR's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as CW (41). This means that AIR’s stock grew similarly to CW’s over the last 12 months.
CW's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for AIR (100). This means that CW’s stock grew significantly faster than AIR’s over the last 12 months.
| AIR | CW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 58% | 6 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 66% |
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CW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CW has been closely correlated with BWXT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CW jumps, then BWXT could also see price increases.