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ALK vs UAL
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALK is a Buy and UAL is a Buy.
ALK's Stochastic Oscillator is staying in oversold zone for 9 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ALK's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +2.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALK advanced for three days, in 218 of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
ALK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALK as a result. In 55 of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALK turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for ALK entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 6 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.046) is normal, around the industry mean (1.823). ALK has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-21.635) as compared to the industry average of (5.550). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.310) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.308) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
UAL sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
On October 22, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for UAL moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 47 of the 54 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UAL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +4.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAL advanced for three days, in 235 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
UAL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAL as a result. In 60 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAL turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator for UAL entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 61 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.904) is normal, around the industry mean (1.823). P/E Ratio (9.076) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.550). UAL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.503) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.252). UAL's Dividend Yield (0.088) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.027). P/S Ratio (0.552) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
ALK | UAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | 61 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 49 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ALK's Valuation (6) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UAL (61). This means that ALK’s stock grew somewhat faster than UAL’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's Profit vs Risk Rating (49) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (100). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's SMR Rating (42) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (92). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (77). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (99). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
| ALK | UAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 25 days ago 76% | 5 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 74% | 8 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 76% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while UAL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ALK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- UAL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UAL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- UAL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ALK (@Airlines) experienced а -2.08% price change this week, while UAL (@Airlines) price change was +1.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was -2.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALK is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
UAL is expected to report earnings on Jan 20, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (-2.28% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
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ALK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALK has been closely correlated with AAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALK jumps, then AAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALK | 100% | -2.77% | ||
| AAL - ALK | 73% Closely correlated | -3.89% | ||
| ULCC - ALK | 67% Closely correlated | -6.79% | ||
| VLRS - ALK | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| CPA - ALK | 36% Loosely correlated | -2.58% | ||
| LUV - ALK | 34% Loosely correlated | -0.67% | ||
More | ||||
UAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UAL has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UAL jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UAL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAL | 100% | -3.99% | ||
| DAL - UAL | 90% Closely correlated | -3.13% | ||
| AAL - UAL | 83% Closely correlated | -3.89% | ||
| ALGT - UAL | 77% Closely correlated | -3.82% | ||
| SKYW - UAL | 74% Closely correlated | -2.82% | ||
| LUV - UAL | 72% Closely correlated | -0.67% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| AXTX | 14.13 | 0.27 | +1.95% |
| Tradr 2X Long AXTI Daily ETF (AXTX) | |||
| LDRI | 24.89 | 0.03 | +0.10% |
| iShares iBonds 1-5 Year TIPS Ladder ETF | |||
| JOJO | 14.70 | -0.06 | -0.40% |
| ATAC Credit Rotation ETF (JOJO) | |||
| FDG | 126.60 | -0.68 | -0.54% |
| American Century Focused Dynamic Growth ETF (FDG) | |||
| PFFA | 18.78 | -0.15 | -0.79% |
| Virtus InfraCap U.S. Preferred Stock ETF (PFFA) | |||