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AMAT vs NVMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AMAT and NVMI have delivered strong year-to-date gains exceeding 60%, driven by AI-fueled semiconductor demand.
- AMAT, a materials engineering leader, shows robust momentum with recent price surges near 52-week highs around $435, supported by analyst upgrades and AI packaging growth.
- NVMI, a metrology specialist, trades around $521 with 179% one-year returns, reflecting high growth in process control for advanced nodes.
- Semiconductor equipment sales are projected to rise, benefiting both, but AMAT's scale provides stability versus NVMI's niche volatility (beta 1.78).
- Recent analyst targets for AMAT reach $517, signaling bullish sentiment amid AI infrastructure builds.
- Upcoming earnings for both on May 14 highlight relative performance in a sector poised for 20%+ growth through 2026.
Introduction
This comparison examines AMAT and NVMI, two key players in the semiconductor equipment space benefiting from AI-driven chip demand. Applied Materials provides broad materials engineering solutions, while Nova Ltd. focuses on precision metrology for process control. Traders seeking exposure to semiconductor capital expenditure cycles and investors tracking relative performance in advanced node production will find value here. Amid recent market rallies, both stocks showcase strong momentum, offering insights into sector positioning, growth trade-offs, and sentiment shifts without speculative forecasts.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) is a leading supplier of equipment, services, and software for semiconductor manufacturing, including etch, deposition, and inspection tools essential for AI chip production. In recent market activity, shares have surged over 69% year-to-date and 180% over the past year, trading near $435 with a market cap exceeding $345 billion. Price behavior reflects bullish analyst coverage, with targets up to $517 amid AI packaging momentum and acquisitions like ASML's NEXX business. Sentiment has strengthened on robust Q1 results ($7.01B revenue, EPS $2.38 beating estimates) and expectations for 20%+ semiconductor equipment growth. Volatility persists with a beta around 1.65, tied to cyclical capex and U.S.-China tensions, yet trend consistency supports upward trajectory.
NVMI Overview and Recent Performance
Nova Ltd. (NVMI) develops metrology (precision measurement) and process control systems for semiconductor fabrication, enabling yield optimization in logic, memory, and packaging. Recent weeks have seen shares advance around 59% year-to-date and 179% over the past year, hovering near $521 with a $16.5 billion market cap. Performance drivers include record 2025 revenue ($880M, +31%) and EPS growth, fueled by demand for inline metrology in advanced nodes. Analyst sentiment remains positive post-Q4 beats, with price targets raised amid AI chip complexity. Higher beta (1.78) amplifies sector swings, but strong margins (29%) and upcoming Q1 results on May 14 underpin resilience in recent volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMAT operates a diversified business model in materials engineering (deposition, etch), contrasting NVMI's specialized metrology focus for dimensional and chemical control. Growth drivers align on AI node transitions, but AMAT benefits from broader capex exposure ($28B+ revenue) versus NVMI's high-margin niche ($880M revenue). Recent momentum favors AMAT with 6% daily gains to new highs, while NVMI shows steadier climbs. Risk factors include cyclicality for both, amplified by NVMI's smaller size and beta; geopolitical curbs hit AMAT more directly. Sector exposure is pure semiconductors, with AMAT adding display diversification. Market sentiment tilts bullish for AMAT via scale and upgrades, trading at P/E 44 versus NVMI's 65, highlighting value-stability trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AMAT with higher conviction based on trend consistency, larger scale for sustained AI capex, and inclusion in top-performing semiconductor bots (+82% annualized). NVMI offers growth potential in metrology but trails on relative stability and valuation. Probabilities suggest stronger positioning for AMAT amid sector recovery, though both rate positively on observable catalysts like earnings momentum.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a StrongBuy and NVMI is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileNVMI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- NVMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVMI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVMI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +11.72% price change this week, while NVMI (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +3.43% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +2.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was +133.67%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
NVMI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+2.03% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| AMAT | NVMI | AMAT / NVMI | |
| Capitalization | 389B | 16.8B | 2,315% |
| EBITDA | 10.2B | 276M | 3,696% |
| Gain YTD | 95.345 | 61.302 | 156% |
| P/E Ratio | 47.11 | 66.46 | 71% |
| Revenue | 28.2B | 881M | 3,201% |
| Total Cash | 1.54B | 1.05B | 147% |
| Total Debt | 7.19B | 799M | 900% |
AMAT | NVMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 86 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVMI's Valuation (69) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMAT (73). This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
NVMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as AMAT (10). This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's SMR Rating (24) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (42). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (6) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (38). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (10). This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | NVMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 75% |
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