AMBC
Price
$8.97
Change
+$0.17 (+1.93%)
Updated
Oct 3 closing price
Capitalization
416.22M
37 days until earnings call
NMIH
Price
$36.72
Change
-$0.54 (-1.45%)
Updated
Oct 3 closing price
Capitalization
2.85B
30 days until earnings call
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AMBC vs NMIH

Header iconAMBC vs NMIH Comparison
Open Charts AMBC vs NMIHBanner chart's image
Ambac Financial Group
Price$8.97
Change+$0.17 (+1.93%)
Volume$1.12M
Capitalization416.22M
NMI Holdings
Price$36.72
Change-$0.54 (-1.45%)
Volume$459.11K
Capitalization2.85B
AMBC vs NMIH Comparison Chart in %
AMBC
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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NMIH
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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AMBC vs. NMIH commentary
Oct 06, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMBC is a Buy and NMIH is a StrongBuy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Oct 06, 2025
Stock price -- (AMBC: $8.97 vs. NMIH: $36.72)
Brand notoriety: AMBC and NMIH are both not notable
Both companies represent the Specialty Insurance industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: AMBC: 147% vs. NMIH: 121%
Market capitalization -- AMBC: $416.22M vs. NMIH: $2.85B
AMBC [@Specialty Insurance] is valued at $416.22M. NMIH’s [@Specialty Insurance] market capitalization is $2.85B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Specialty Insurance] industry ranges from $16.3B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Specialty Insurance] industry is $3.62B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

AMBC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNMIH’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • AMBC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • NMIH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, AMBC is a better buy in the long-term than NMIH.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

AMBC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NMIH’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • AMBC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • NMIH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, AMBC is a better buy in the short-term than NMIH.

Price Growth

AMBC (@Specialty Insurance) experienced а -5.97% price change this week, while NMIH (@Specialty Insurance) price change was -6.47% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Insurance industry was -0.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.39%.

Reported Earning Dates

AMBC is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2025.

NMIH is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Specialty Insurance (-0.98% weekly)

Specialty insurance typically caters to niche-markets, and covers items that are special or unique and/or items that are not typically covered under other insurance policies. Restoration or purchase of a one-of-a-kind collector’s item, high-value home, recreational vehicles, sailboat or even jet skis, horses and farms, all-terrain vehicle, funerals, museums and fine art collections are some examples– one or more of which are covered by a specialty insurance provider. In some cases, a specialty insurance could also complement someone’s existing auto, home and umbrella policies. Markel Corp, for Fidelity National Financial, Inc., Assurant, Inc. and Athene Holding Ltd. are examples of specialty insurance providers.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
NMIH($2.85B) has a higher market cap than AMBC($416M). NMIH has higher P/E ratio than AMBC: NMIH (7.91) vs AMBC (7.52). NMIH YTD gains are higher at: -0.109 vs. AMBC (-29.091). NMIH has more cash in the bank: 461M vs. AMBC (310M). AMBC has less debt than NMIH: AMBC (150M) vs NMIH (416M). NMIH has higher revenues than AMBC: NMIH (680M) vs AMBC (253M).
AMBCNMIHAMBC / NMIH
Capitalization416M2.85B15%
EBITDAN/AN/A-
Gain YTD-29.091-0.10926,736%
P/E Ratio7.527.9195%
Revenue253M680M37%
Total Cash310M461M67%
Total Debt150M416M36%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
AMBC vs NMIH: Fundamental Ratings
AMBC
NMIH
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
3179
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
73
Overvalued
91
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
10026
SMR RATING
1..100
9857
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
5063
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
861
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
7550

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

AMBC's Valuation (73) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as NMIH (91) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that AMBC’s stock grew similarly to NMIH’s over the last 12 months.

NMIH's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is significantly better than the same rating for AMBC (100) in the Specialty Insurance industry. This means that NMIH’s stock grew significantly faster than AMBC’s over the last 12 months.

NMIH's SMR Rating (57) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMBC (98) in the Specialty Insurance industry. This means that NMIH’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMBC’s over the last 12 months.

AMBC's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as NMIH (63) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that AMBC’s stock grew similarly to NMIH’s over the last 12 months.

AMBC's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Specialty Insurance industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NMIH (61) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that AMBC’s stock grew somewhat faster than NMIH’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AMBCNMIH
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
67%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
70%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
65%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
54%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
64%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
60%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
70%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
56%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
56%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
67%
Bullish Trend 12 days ago
69%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
70%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
56%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
75%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
59%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
62%
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AMBC
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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NMIH
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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AMBC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMBC has been loosely correlated with MBI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMBC jumps, then MBI could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AMBC
1D Price
Change %
AMBC100%
+1.93%
MBI - AMBC
38%
Loosely correlated
+0.14%
AGO - AMBC
37%
Loosely correlated
-0.32%
AIZ - AMBC
35%
Loosely correlated
+0.75%
AMSF - AMBC
33%
Poorly correlated
+0.30%
NMIH - AMBC
32%
Poorly correlated
-1.45%
More

NMIH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NMIH has been closely correlated with MTG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NMIH jumps, then MTG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To NMIH
1D Price
Change %
NMIH100%
-1.45%
MTG - NMIH
79%
Closely correlated
-0.86%
ACT - NMIH
75%
Closely correlated
-0.54%
RDN - NMIH
74%
Closely correlated
-0.43%
ESNT - NMIH
70%
Closely correlated
-0.39%
FNF - NMIH
62%
Loosely correlated
+0.60%
More