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APA vs DVN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? APA Corporation (APA) vs. Devon Energy (DVN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both APA and DVN are U.S.-listed independent oil and natural gas producers, but they diverge sharply on portfolio geography, scale, and recent corporate strategy.
- APA has delivered stronger relative momentum, driven by rising realized oil prices, aggressive cost reduction, and upside from its Suriname development.
- DVN is now a much larger, more diversified shale operator after its all-stock merger with Coterra Energy and its Eagle Ford divestiture.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, free cash flow generation, and near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward APA over DVN.
- For deeper coverage, explore APA Major News and APA Today's Price Move, as well as DVN Major News and DVN Today's Price Move.
- To see which automated strategies are currently favored, browse the Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
Investors evaluating the energy sector frequently weigh independent exploration and production (E&P) companies against one another, and few pairings are as instructive as APA and DVN. Both generate the bulk of their revenue from oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, yet their asset footprints and recent corporate trajectories differ materially. This stock comparison examines relative performance, market positioning, and the catalysts shaping each name, making it relevant for traders tracking momentum as well as longer-horizon investors assessing commodity exposure and capital-return profiles.
APA Overview and Recent Performance
APA Corporation, headquartered in Houston, is an independent oil and gas producer with assets spanning the U.S. Permian Basin, Egypt, the North Sea, and an emerging position in Suriname. In recent weeks, APA has been among the stronger performers in its peer group, with the stock trading near multi-year highs after a substantial year-to-date advance.
Several factors have supported sentiment. The company has consistently beaten earnings expectations, lifted its U.S. oil production outlook while holding Permian capital spending flat, and raised its structural cost-savings target toward roughly $500 million in annual run-rate savings. Realized crude prices have climbed markedly from year-ago levels, and because APA maintains minimal hedging, its cash flow responds directly to commodity strength. Progress toward debt repayment, disciplined capital returns, and the long-dated Suriname (GranMorgu) development have added further catalysts, though exposure to international and exploration assets introduces a different risk profile than pure U.S. shale peers.
DVN Overview and Recent Performance
Devon Energy, also based in Houston, is a U.S.-focused independent producer anchored in the Delaware Basin of the Permian. The company's profile changed materially in 2026: it completed an all-stock merger with Coterra Energy, creating one of the largest shale operators in the world, and subsequently announced the sale of its Eagle Ford assets for roughly $4.2 billion in cash to sharpen its focus on core Permian operations.
DVN shares have also rallied strongly in recent weeks, climbing toward multi-year highs alongside higher crude prices. Management has emphasized free cash flow generation, targeting at least $1 billion in annual pre-tax synergies by year-end 2027, retiring debt, and returning cash through a fixed quarterly dividend and a sizable buyback authorization. The larger scale and more concentrated U.S. footprint offer relative stability, but the stock's sharp advance has prompted some analysts to flag valuation concerns, and integration risk following the merger remains a watch item.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a large library of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers across the market. Because market conditions shift continuously, only a subset of these bots is well suited to the current environment at any given time. The curated Trending AI Robots page highlights the strategies currently demonstrating the most relevant and timely performance, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, and set of covered tickers. Visitors can review individual bot statistics, historical performance ranges, and signal output before selecting a strategy aligned with their objectives. If you are looking for automated, data-driven approaches to names like APA and DVN, exploring the Trending AI Robots section is a practical next step.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two producers is scale and geography. DVN is now a large-cap, predominantly U.S. shale operator with a leading Delaware Basin position and a market capitalization well above $50 billion following its Coterra combination. APA is considerably smaller, with meaningful international exposure in Egypt and exploration upside in Suriname that introduces both geopolitical risk and potentially differentiated growth.
On capital returns, DVN emphasizes a fixed dividend plus buybacks, while APA pairs a modest dividend with aggressive debt reduction and buybacks funded by strong free cash flow. In terms of recent momentum, APA has outpaced DVN on a year-to-date basis, aided by its largely unhedged position and earnings beats. Conversely, DVN offers greater scale, balance-sheet flexibility, and a more streamlined domestic portfolio. Risk profiles differ accordingly: APA carries international and exploration exposure, whereas DVN faces integration execution risk and heightened sensitivity to Permian cost inflation and commodity-price cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
On balance, Tickeron's AI currently tilts toward APA over DVN. The reasoning rests on observable factors rather than any single data point: APA's trend has shown greater consistency and momentum, its free cash flow has been more directly leveraged to the recent rise in crude prices, and it carries identifiable catalysts in cost savings and the Suriname development. DVN's larger scale and portfolio focus are meaningful strengths, but its elevated valuation after a rapid advance and near-term integration considerations introduce more uncertainty. This assessment is probabilistic and reflects current market positioning; relative performance could shift quickly with commodity prices or new company disclosures.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APA is a Hold and DVN is a Hold.
APA in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026
APA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 28 of the 34 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for APA moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 48 of 70 cases where APA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on APA as a result. In 58 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for APA turned negative on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +3.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APA advanced for three days, in 262 of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 189 of 251 cases where APA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. APA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.384) is normal, around the industry mean (3.719). P/E Ratio (10.078) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.017). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.142) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.806) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).
DVN saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for DVN moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 59 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 43 of the 59 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DVN as a result. In 55 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DVN turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
DVN moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DVN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +5.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DVN advanced for three days, in 229 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
DVN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 148 of 214 cases where DVN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DVN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DVN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.255) is normal, around the industry mean (3.719). P/E Ratio (10.330) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.017). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.925) is also within normal values, averaging (1.958). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.730) is also within normal values, averaging (5.980).
APA | DVN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 48 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 27 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
APA's Valuation (68) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (81). This means that APA’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
APA's Profit vs Risk Rating (48) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (71). This means that APA’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
APA's SMR Rating (37) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (65). This means that APA’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
APA's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (27). This means that APA’s stock grew similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
DVN's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as APA (16). This means that DVN’s stock grew similarly to APA’s over the last 12 months.
| APA | DVN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 74% | 10 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 69% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APA’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while DVN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- APA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- DVN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APA’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DVN’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APA’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- DVN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
APA (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -5.95% price change this week, while DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -7.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -12.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
APA is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
DVN is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-12.89% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
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APA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APA has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if APA jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To APA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APA | 100% | -2.15% | ||
| CHRD - APA | 83% Closely correlated | -2.42% | ||
| OVV - APA | 81% Closely correlated | -1.99% | ||
| DVN - APA | 81% Closely correlated | -2.08% | ||
| PR - APA | 80% Closely correlated | -2.28% | ||
| FANG - APA | 80% Closely correlated | -3.70% | ||
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