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APD vs OLN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Air Products and Chemicals (APD) vs. Olin Corporation (OLN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Tickeron AI Verdict: The AI currently favors APD over OLN, based on stronger trend consistency, earnings momentum, and a more resilient balance sheet.
- APD is a large, defensive industrial-gases leader with rising earnings guidance, while OLN is a smaller, more cyclical chemicals and ammunition maker carrying high leverage.
- OLN returned to profitability in its latest quarter but guided to a sharply weaker fourth quarter, underscoring its near-term cyclical pressures.
- Balance-sheet contrast is stark: APD is free-cash-flow positive, while OLN holds net debt near 5x adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization).
- For more detail, explore APD Major News and APD Today's Price Move, as well as OLN Major News and OLN Today's Price Move.
- Discover which strategies the platform highlights right now by exploring Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Industrial materials can behave very differently depending on the business model behind the ticker. This stock comparison puts APD (Air Products and Chemicals) side by side with OLN (Olin Corporation) to help traders and investors assess relative performance and market positioning. APD is a global industrial-gases franchise with recurring, contract-based revenue, while OLN is a vertically integrated chemicals producer and ammunition manufacturer tied closely to the commodity cycle. Both belong to the materials sector, yet they offer contrasting risk, growth, and stability profiles — making them a useful pairing for investors weighing defensive cash-flow quality against a cyclical turnaround and consolidation story.
APD Overview and Recent Performance
APD, a more than 85-year-old industrial gases leader and the world's largest hydrogen supplier, generates revenue across refining, chemicals, electronics, and healthcare. In recent quarters it has delivered accelerating results, raising its full-year fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings-per-share (EPS) guidance to a range of $13.39 to $13.49 and reporting double-digit EPS growth. Recent market activity has centered on portfolio discipline: the company exited its Louisiana Clean Energy Complex and other clean-energy projects, taking a roughly $2.9 billion pre-tax charge while removing a long-standing investor overhang. Management has paired this with a $250 million headcount-reduction program and lower capital spending, improving free cash flow. Helium pricing remains a modest headwind, though easing supply pressures and electronics demand have supported sentiment.
OLN Overview and Recent Performance
OLN is a vertically integrated chemical manufacturer — producing chlorine, caustic soda, vinyls, and epoxies — alongside its Winchester ammunition business. Recent market activity reflects a cyclical recovery that is still uneven. After posting losses earlier in the year, the company swung back to a small net profit in its latest quarter, aided by higher epoxy volumes, cost cuts, and more than $1 billion in new Winchester military contract awards. However, management guided to a notably weaker subsequent quarter, citing seasonal destocking, higher feedstock and turnaround costs, and subsidized Asian imports pressuring export caustic pricing. The planned all-stock merger with Huntsman, expected to close in the first half of 2027, remains a central catalyst, with management targeting over $400 million in synergies.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page curates a focused selection from a much larger universe of automated strategies. Tickeron hosts hundreds of AI trading bots that together trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance track record, and target asset list. Only the bots best suited to current market conditions are featured in this curated section, helping users filter out noise and focus on strategies with demonstrated relevance right now. Whether you trade momentum, mean-reversion, or longer-horizon setups, the page offers a way to review quantitative approaches rather than relying on manual judgment alone. Explore Trending AI Robots to see which automated strategies are currently standing out.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge sharply across most dimensions. APD operates a largely contracted, on-site and merchant gas model with recurring revenue and pricing power, supported by a roughly $3 billion industrial-gas backlog tilted toward electronics customers. Its growth is driven by new asset ramp-ups, productivity savings, and hydrogen/energy-transition optionality, with a strong dividend (a recent $1.81 per share quarterly payout) and positive free cash flow.
OLN, by contrast, is more exposed to the commodity chemical cycle and to near-term operational setbacks, including the Freeport VCM (vinyl chloride monomer) outage and weaker chlor-alkali pricing. Its balance sheet is a key differentiator: net debt near $2.8 billion and leverage around 5x adjusted EBITDA leave less financial flexibility. Offsetting this, Winchester and the Huntsman merger provide defense-oriented and consolidation-driven growth catalysts that APD lacks. In market positioning terms, APD offers stability and cash-flow quality, while OLN offers higher cyclicality, higher beta, and a more leveraged turnaround profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor APD at present. The stock has shown more consistent upward trend behavior, supported by rising earnings guidance, improving free cash flow, and a cleaner project pipeline following its portfolio streamlining. In contrast, OLN combines a positive latest quarter with a weaker forward guide and elevated leverage, producing a more volatile and less stable setup. While OLN carries meaningful upside catalysts in Winchester demand and merger synergies, its risk profile is higher. On trend consistency, balance-sheet strength, and catalyst durability, the AI would most plausibly identify APD as the stronger relative candidate — though this is a probabilistic assessment rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APD is a StrongBuy and OLN is a Hold.
APD in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026
The 10-day moving average for APD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on APD as a result. In 45 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for APD just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where APD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
APD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APD advanced for three days, in 165 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 84 of 225 cases where APD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 37%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 15 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
APD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.075) is normal, around the industry mean (2.431). APD's P/E Ratio (-1506.810) is considerably lower than the industry average of (-18.994). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.006) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.074) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. APD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
OLN's RSI Indicator climbs into overbought territory
The RSI Oscillator for OLN moved into overbought territory on October 30, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OLN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
OLN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for OLN entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on OLN as a result. In 53 of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OLN just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where OLN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
OLN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OLN advanced for three days, in 181 of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 46 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.172) is normal, around the industry mean (1.207). P/E Ratio (-10.173) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.806). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.050) is also within normal values, averaging (3.769). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.183) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.289) is also within normal values, averaging (0.578).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. OLN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. OLN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
APD | OLN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 46 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 25 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
APD's Valuation (8) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLN (46) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that APD’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLN’s over the last 12 months.
APD's Profit vs Risk Rating (47) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLN (100) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that APD’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLN’s over the last 12 months.
APD's SMR Rating (91) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as OLN (94) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that APD’s stock grew similarly to OLN’s over the last 12 months.
APD's Price Growth Rating (25) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLN (58) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that APD’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLN’s over the last 12 months.
OLN's P/E Growth Rating (97) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as APD (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to APD’s over the last 12 months.
| APD | OLN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 7 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 59% | 5 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 37% | 4 days ago 73% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APD’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while OLN’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- APD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- OLN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OLN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OLN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
APD (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а +3.02% price change this week, while OLN (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) price change was +12.39% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was +0.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.42%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was +1.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
APD is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
OLN is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (+0.32% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (+1.88% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
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APD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APD has been loosely correlated with FUL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if APD jumps, then FUL could also see price increases.
OLN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OLN has been closely correlated with DOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OLN jumps, then DOW could also see price increases.