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APLD vs MARA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) vs. MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- APLD has delivered superior recent performance with YTD gains of 62.64% compared to MARA's 35.41%, driven by AI data center contracts.
- APLD focuses on high-performance computing (HPC) and AI infrastructure, securing multi-billion-dollar leases, while MARA leverages Bitcoin mining alongside emerging AI energy plays.
- Recent catalysts include APLD's cloud business spin-off and $300M financing versus MARA's $1.5B Long Ridge Energy acquisition for power capacity.
- Both stocks exhibit high volatility with betas over 5, but APLD benefits from AI sector tailwinds, while MARA remains sensitive to cryptocurrency fluctuations.
- Tickeron's AI analysis favors APLD for near-term outperformance due to trend consistency and catalysts.
Introduction
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) and MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) represent pivotal players in the digital infrastructure space, where Bitcoin mining intersects with surging demand for AI and high-performance computing (HPC) resources. Both companies operate data centers powered by substantial energy infrastructure, but APLD emphasizes AI/HPC hosting while MARA balances mining with energy optimization. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for traders eyeing relative performance in volatile tech sectors and investors assessing pivots from crypto to AI-driven growth amid recent market rallies. Key metrics reveal contrasts in momentum, risk, and positioning in today's environment.
APLD Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) designs, develops, and operates digital infrastructure for HPC and AI applications in North America. Its segments include data center hosting and GPU computing solutions for AI, machine learning, and other intensive workloads. Recent market activity has propelled APLD shares to around $39.88, with a market cap of $11.4B and a 52-week range of $5.09–$42.27. YTD returns stand at 62.64%, far outpacing broader indices, fueled by hyperscaler leases like a multi-billion-dollar AI deal and a $7.5B contract backlog exceeding $23B. Sentiment has strengthened following the spin-off of its cloud business into ChronoScale as an independent public company and a $300M senior secured bridge facility for expansion. Despite a trailing twelve-month (TTM) net loss of $119.76M and negative profitability margins, quarterly revenue growth hit 143.52% in Q3 2026, underscoring robust demand. High short interest at 30.41% of float reflects volatility, with a beta of 5.70 amplifying market swings.
MARA Overview and Recent Performance
MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA), formerly Marathon Digital Holdings, functions as an energy and digital infrastructure firm across multiple regions. It monetizes underutilized power through Bitcoin mining and AI compute, offering immersion cooling and firmware optimizations. Shares trade near $12.16, with a $4.6B market cap and 52-week range of $6.66–$23.45. YTD performance reaches 35.41%, supported by Bitcoin's rally past $80,000, though 1-year returns lag at 7.10%. Recent weeks saw gains from a $1.5B acquisition of Long Ridge Energy, boosting capacity for AI and mining with $144M projected EBITDA. However, challenges include Texas lawsuits over mining noise and a TTM net loss of $1.31B, with quarterly revenue down 5.60% YoY. A beta of 5.43 signals high sensitivity to crypto trends, while analyst targets average $17.62. These developments highlight MARA's transition amid operational hurdles.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
APLD and MARA share data center roots but diverge in models: APLD's AI/HPC focus yields stable leases ($23B backlog) versus MARA's mining-energy hybrid exposed to Bitcoin volatility. Growth drivers favor APLD's 143% revenue surge and hyperscaler deals over MARA's hashrate expansions amid legal risks. Recent momentum shows APLD up 24% weekly on spin-offs versus MARA's 10% on acquisitions. Both carry high debt/equity (~110%) and betas (>5), but MARA amplifies crypto downturns while APLD risks build execution. Sector-wise, AI tailwinds position APLD strongly; sentiment leans toward its stability over MARA's upside in rallies.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors APLD with a higher probability of near-term outperformance, based on consistent upward trends, hyperscaler catalysts, and AI infrastructure positioning. MARA holds potential in Bitcoin recoveries and energy deals but lags in stability amid volatility. This reflects observable momentum rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APLD is a Hold and MARA is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APLD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMARA’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- APLD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MARA’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APLD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MARA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APLD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MARA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
APLD (@Information Technology Services) experienced а +10.16% price change this week, while MARA (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was +4.61% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Information Technology Services industry was -0.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +12.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.49%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was +1.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.35%.
Reported Earning Dates
APLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
MARA is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Information Technology Services (-0.15% weekly)The industry, whose total market cap runs into trillions, makes hardware/software that allows data to be stored, retrieved, transmitted, and manipulated on computers. With the ever-increasing relevance of data, the information technology (IT) industry has gained momentous growth over the years, and continues to thrive on innovation. Some of the behemoths in the industry are International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture, and VMware, Inc.
@Investment Banks/Brokers (+1.14% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
| APLD | MARA | APLD / MARA | |
| Capitalization | 12.6B | 4.85B | 260% |
| EBITDA | -19.84M | -547.12M | 4% |
| Gain YTD | 79.160 | 41.648 | 190% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 3.68 | - |
| Revenue | 319M | 907M | 35% |
| Total Cash | 1.73B | 547M | 316% |
| Total Debt | 2.83B | 3.65B | 78% |
APLD | MARA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 59 Fair valued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 38 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
APLD's Valuation (59) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MARA (95) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that APLD’s stock grew somewhat faster than MARA’s over the last 12 months.
APLD's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MARA (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that APLD’s stock grew somewhat faster than MARA’s over the last 12 months.
APLD's SMR Rating (95) in the null industry is in the same range as MARA (97) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that APLD’s stock grew similarly to MARA’s over the last 12 months.
APLD's Price Growth Rating (35) in the null industry is in the same range as MARA (39) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that APLD’s stock grew similarly to MARA’s over the last 12 months.
MARA's P/E Growth Rating (95) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as APLD (100) in the null industry. This means that MARA’s stock grew similarly to APLD’s over the last 12 months.
| APLD | MARA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 1 day ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 1 day ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 89% | 14 days ago 89% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 1 day ago 86% |
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APLD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APLD has been loosely correlated with CIFR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if APLD jumps, then CIFR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To APLD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APLD | 100% | -1.48% | ||
| CIFR - APLD | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.08% | ||
| HIVE - APLD | 46% Loosely correlated | -5.81% | ||
| RIOT - APLD | 44% Loosely correlated | -3.28% | ||
| MARA - APLD | 44% Loosely correlated | -5.00% | ||
| BTBT - APLD | 41% Loosely correlated | -8.84% | ||
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