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ARCB vs ODFL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) vs. Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARCB has delivered superior year-to-date returns of approximately 65%, outpacing ODFL's 42% amid recent market activity.
- Both stocks operate in the less-than-truckload (LTL) trucking segment, but ARCB benefits from a diversified asset-light model, contrasting ODFL's asset-heavy focus.
- ARCB's smaller market capitalization of $2.73 billion offers higher growth potential compared to ODFL's $46.25 billion scale.
- Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are elevated for both at around 46 (trailing twelve months), signaling premium valuations in a recovering freight market.
- Recent momentum favors ARCB, which hit new 52-week highs, while ODFL faces analyst scrutiny on valuation ahead of earnings.
- Freight sector recovery supports both, with ARCB showing stronger relative outperformance over the past year at 91% versus 52%.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits ARCB against ODFL, two prominent players in the less-than-truckload (LTL) trucking industry within the Industrials sector. Investors tracking transportation stocks, particularly those exposed to freight volume cycles, will find value in analyzing their relative performance, business models, and market positioning. Amid signs of freight market recovery in recent weeks, understanding contrasts in growth trajectories, valuation metrics, and momentum can inform sector rotation strategies or portfolio diversification decisions. This analysis draws on objective data to highlight key differences for traders and long-term investors alike.
ARCB Overview and Recent Performance
ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) is an integrated logistics provider offering ground, air, and ocean transportation worldwide. It operates through two segments: Asset-Based, focused on LTL services for commodities like food, textiles, and automotive parts via its ABF Freight division, and Asset-Light, encompassing brokerage, expedited services, warehousing, and international freight. Headquartered in Fort Smith, Arkansas, ARCB has a market capitalization of $2.73 billion.
In recent market activity, ARCB stock has exhibited robust momentum, achieving year-to-date gains of 65% and one-year returns near 91%. The shares recently touched 52-week highs around $124, supported by a quarterly dividend declaration of $0.12 per share and recognition for its ABF Freight operations. Sentiment has been buoyed by increased asset-based shipments, record asset-light productivity, and broader freight recovery signals, though elevated P/E ratios reflect growth expectations.
ODFL Overview and Recent Performance
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) specializes in LTL motor carrier services across regional, inter-regional, and national routes in the U.S. and North America. It offers expedited transportation, container drayage (port-to-warehouse hauling), truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting, backed by a fleet of over 10,000 tractors and 30,000 trailers. Based in Thomasville, North Carolina, ODFL boasts a substantial market capitalization of $46.25 billion.
Recent performance for ODFL reflects steady gains, with year-to-date returns of 42% and one-year appreciation of 52%. Trading around $220, the stock has benefited from its scale and operational efficiency in a softening freight environment. However, analysts have flagged valuation concerns amid upcoming earnings, with P/E ratios highlighting premium pricing relative to earnings per share (EPS) growth. Positive freight volume trends and service expansions have underpinned sentiment, tempered by broader sector cyclicality.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, ARCB’s dual Asset-Based and Asset-Light structure provides flexibility and exposure to brokerage growth, while ODFL excels in pure-play LTL with superior scale and fleet density. Growth drivers differ: ARCB leverages diversification for productivity gains, contrasting ODFL’s emphasis on network efficiency and value-added services.
Recent momentum tilts toward ARCB with outsized returns and new highs, versus ODFL’s more measured appreciation amid valuation debates. Risk factors include freight volume sensitivity for both, but ARCB’s smaller size implies higher volatility, offset by asset-light buffers. Sector exposure is concentrated in trucking recovery, with market sentiment favoring momentum plays like ARCB over established giants like ODFL in the current environment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward ARCB with higher probability in short-to-medium term trades, driven by consistent upward trends, superior relative performance, and positive catalysts like recent highs and dividend support. ODFL offers stability for conservative positions but trails in momentum. This assessment reflects observable data patterns rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARCB is a StrongBuy and ODFL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARCB’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileODFL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ARCB’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ODFL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARCB’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ODFL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARCB’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ODFL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ARCB (@Trucking) experienced а +11.59% price change this week, while ODFL (@Trucking) price change was +1.34% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was +3.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +31.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +53.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARCB is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
ODFL is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (+3.18% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| ARCB | ODFL | ARCB / ODFL | |
| Capitalization | 3.85B | 51.1B | 8% |
| EBITDA | 266M | 1.71B | 16% |
| Gain YTD | 133.754 | 57.197 | 234% |
| P/E Ratio | 70.93 | 51.32 | 138% |
| Revenue | 4.04B | 5.46B | 74% |
| Total Cash | 86.4M | 288M | 30% |
| Total Debt | 460M | 40M | 1,150% |
ARCB | ODFL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 49 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 87 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 6 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 46 | 7 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARCB's Valuation (68) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (93). This means that ARCB’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's Profit vs Risk Rating (45) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ARCB (49). This means that ODFL’s stock grew similarly to ARCB’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's SMR Rating (41) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ARCB (87). This means that ODFL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ARCB’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's Price Growth Rating (6) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ARCB (35). This means that ODFL’s stock grew similarly to ARCB’s over the last 12 months.
ARCB's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (14). This means that ARCB’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
| ARCB | ODFL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 5 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 76% |
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ARCB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARCB has been closely correlated with ODFL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARCB jumps, then ODFL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARCB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCB | 100% | +0.23% | ||
| ODFL - ARCB | 83% Closely correlated | -0.78% | ||
| SAIA - ARCB | 77% Closely correlated | -0.88% | ||
| CVLG - ARCB | 77% Closely correlated | -1.88% | ||
| WERN - ARCB | 73% Closely correlated | +0.27% | ||
| TFII - ARCB | 73% Closely correlated | +0.99% | ||
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ODFL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ODFL has been closely correlated with SAIA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ODFL jumps, then SAIA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ODFL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | 100% | -0.78% | ||
| SAIA - ODFL | 83% Closely correlated | -0.88% | ||
| ARCB - ODFL | 81% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| KNX - ODFL | 78% Closely correlated | -1.10% | ||
| MRTN - ODFL | 75% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| TFII - ODFL | 75% Closely correlated | +0.99% | ||
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