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ARCB vs ODFL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) vs. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARCB has delivered significantly stronger year-to-date returns compared to ODFL amid broader market activity in the less-than-truckload (LTL) sector.
- Both companies operate as LTL carriers, with ODFL maintaining higher operating margins and profitability metrics in recent quarters.
- ARCB reported Q1 2026 revenue growth alongside a restructuring initiative including workforce adjustments, while ODFL experienced modest revenue declines but showed sequential improvement in operating metrics.
- Market sentiment has favored ARCB's momentum in recent weeks, though ODFL benefits from consistent analyst coverage and upcoming earnings visibility.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between ARCB's growth-oriented positioning and ODFL's stability in a cyclical freight environment.
- Sector exposure remains similar, with both stocks sensitive to industrial demand, fuel costs, and capacity dynamics.
Introduction
ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) and Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) are two prominent players in the less-than-truckload (LTL) trucking industry, making them natural subjects for a stock comparison. Investors and traders seeking exposure to transportation and logistics often evaluate these names together due to their shared sensitivity to economic cycles, freight volumes, and supply chain trends. This analysis examines their recent performance, business models, and market positioning to help market participants understand relative strengths in the current environment.
ARCB Overview and Recent Performance
ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) provides integrated logistics solutions, including asset-based LTL transportation and asset-light services. In recent market activity, the stock has shown robust gains, with year-to-date returns exceeding 108 percent as of late July 2026. Q1 2026 results reflected revenue of $998.8 million, up from the prior year, driven by tonnage growth in the asset-based segment, though GAAP results included a net loss amid restructuring charges. Recent developments include a quarterly dividend declaration of $0.12 per share and a July 2026 restructuring plan involving workforce reductions and brand consolidation. These factors have contributed to positive sentiment shifts in recent weeks.
ODFL Overview and Recent Performance
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) specializes in LTL freight transportation with a network of service centers across North America. The company reported Q1 2026 revenue of $1.33 billion, down 2.9 percent year-over-year, with diluted earnings per share of $1.14. Operating metrics in subsequent months, including May 2026, indicated revenue per day increases alongside some volume pressure. ODFL stock has posted year-to-date returns near 49 percent as of late July 2026, supported by its premium pricing power and margin discipline. Upcoming Q2 2026 earnings, scheduled for July 29, provide additional context for near-term sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARCB and ODFL both focus on LTL services but differ in scale and execution. ODFL emphasizes network density and pricing discipline, supporting higher operating ratios and margins, while ARCB integrates asset-based and asset-light offerings for broader logistics exposure. Recent momentum has favored ARCB, with outsized year-to-date gains reflecting operational improvements and restructuring progress. ODFL has shown greater stability in profitability but faced revenue headwinds from softer volumes. Risk factors include cyclical freight demand for both, with ARCB potentially more exposed to integration challenges and ODFL to capacity utilization. Market sentiment reflects ARCB’s relative outperformance versus ODFL’s established premium valuation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency and recent relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to ARCB. Factors include stronger year-to-date momentum, tonnage growth signals, and ongoing transformation initiatives that align with improving operational visibility. ODFL maintains advantages in margin stability and earnings predictability, yet ARCB’s recent activity suggests a more favorable near-term trajectory under prevailing conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARCB is a Hold and ODFL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARCB’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileODFL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ARCB’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ODFL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARCB’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ODFL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARCB’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ODFL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ARCB (@Trucking) experienced а +8.59% price change this week, while ODFL (@Trucking) price change was +2.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -1.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.11%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARCB is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
ODFL is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (-1.30% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| ARCB | ODFL | ARCB / ODFL | |
| Capitalization | 3.28B | 44.7B | 7% |
| EBITDA | 213M | 1.71B | 12% |
| Gain YTD | 98.379 | 37.950 | 259% |
| P/E Ratio | 209.56 | 41.49 | 505% |
| Revenue | 4.2B | 5.46B | 77% |
| Total Cash | 62.2M | 288M | 22% |
| Total Debt | 460M | 40M | 1,150% |
ARCB | ODFL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 53 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARCB's Valuation (82) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (92). This means that ARCB’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
ARCB's Profit vs Risk Rating (50) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (53). This means that ARCB’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's SMR Rating (42) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ARCB (90). This means that ODFL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ARCB’s over the last 12 months.
ARCB's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (50). This means that ARCB’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
ARCB's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as ODFL (19). This means that ARCB’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
| ARCB | ODFL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 60% |
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ARCB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARCB has been closely correlated with ODFL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARCB jumps, then ODFL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARCB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCB | 100% | +4.34% | ||
| ODFL - ARCB | 81% Closely correlated | +1.50% | ||
| CVLG - ARCB | 77% Closely correlated | +1.70% | ||
| SAIA - ARCB | 77% Closely correlated | +4.27% | ||
| WERN - ARCB | 73% Closely correlated | +1.69% | ||
| HTLD - ARCB | 71% Closely correlated | +3.01% | ||
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ODFL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ODFL has been closely correlated with SAIA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ODFL jumps, then SAIA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ODFL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | 100% | +1.50% | ||
| SAIA - ODFL | 84% Closely correlated | +4.27% | ||
| ARCB - ODFL | 79% Closely correlated | +4.34% | ||
| TFII - ODFL | 76% Closely correlated | +0.82% | ||
| KNX - ODFL | 74% Closely correlated | +2.79% | ||
| CVLG - ODFL | 73% Closely correlated | +1.70% | ||
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