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CVLG vs ODFL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) vs. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CVLG and ODFL operate in the trucking and logistics sector, with CVLG showing stronger year-to-date returns compared to ODFL in recent market activity.
- CVLG has benefited from analyst coverage and price momentum in recent weeks, while ODFL maintains a larger market presence with more established scale.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between CVLG's higher recent volatility and growth potential versus ODFL's stability and consistent operational metrics.
- Sector exposure to freight demand and economic conditions influences both stocks, with recent market activity reflecting broader transportation industry trends.
- Market sentiment appears constructive for CVLG amid positive analyst actions, while ODFL continues to trade near elevated historical levels.
Introduction
Trucking and logistics companies CVLG and ODFL provide investors with exposure to the transportation sector, where demand for freight services intersects with economic cycles and supply chain dynamics. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Professional investors, active traders, and those seeking sector-specific diversification may find this analysis relevant for evaluating contrasts in scale, growth trajectories, and risk profiles between a smaller, agile operator and a larger, established leader.
CVLG Overview and Recent Performance
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) provides transportation and logistics services across expedited, dedicated, managed freight, and warehousing segments. The company serves a range of customers including manufacturers, retailers, and third-party logistics providers. In recent market activity, CVLG shares have demonstrated notable upward momentum, with year-to-date gains exceeding those of broader peers amid positive analyst coverage and price appreciation. Recent weeks have featured new analyst initiations with favorable ratings and price targets, contributing to sentiment shifts. Performance has been influenced by operational improvements and sector recovery signals, though the stock exhibits higher volatility relative to larger competitors.
ODFL Overview and Recent Performance
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) operates as a less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier with a national network focused on high-service freight transportation. The company emphasizes operational efficiency and network density. In recent market activity, ODFL shares have traded near multi-month highs following an all-time peak earlier in the year, with year-to-date returns reflecting steady but moderated gains compared to smaller peers. Recent performance has been shaped by consistent earnings delivery and resilience in freight volumes, though the stock has pulled back modestly from peak levels amid broader market fluctuations and valuation considerations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CVLG and ODFL share exposure to the trucking sector but differ markedly in scale and focus. CVLG operates a diversified model with dedicated and expedited services alongside brokerage, offering flexibility but greater sensitivity to contract-specific demand. ODFL concentrates on less-than-truckload (LTL) operations with a dense national network, supporting more stable volume trends and pricing power. Recent momentum favors CVLG with stronger relative returns, while ODFL provides larger market capitalization and historical consistency. Risk factors include freight cycle volatility for both, though CVLG carries higher beta characteristics. Market sentiment reflects constructive analyst views on CVLG alongside established positioning for ODFL.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent trend consistency and relative momentum, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to CVLG over ODFL. Stronger year-to-date performance and positive analyst catalysts suggest more favorable near-term positioning for CVLG, though ODFL’s scale and stability remain compelling attributes in a range of market scenarios. This assessment draws from verifiable price behavior and sector dynamics without implying certainty.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVLG is a Buy and ODFL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVLG’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileODFL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CVLG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ODFL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVLG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ODFL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVLG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ODFL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CVLG (@Trucking) experienced а -24.02% price change this week, while ODFL (@Trucking) price change was -8.95% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -9.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +28.12%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVLG is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
ODFL is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (-9.63% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| CVLG | ODFL | CVLG / ODFL | |
| Capitalization | 894M | 44.1B | 2% |
| EBITDA | 111M | 1.71B | 6% |
| Gain YTD | 61.816 | 35.654 | 173% |
| P/E Ratio | 710.40 | 40.80 | 1,741% |
| Revenue | 1.2B | 5.46B | 22% |
| Total Cash | 11.2M | 288M | 4% |
| Total Debt | 292M | 40M | 730% |
CVLG | ODFL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 54 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ODFL's Valuation (92) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as CVLG (93) in the null industry. This means that ODFL’s stock grew similarly to CVLG’s over the last 12 months.
CVLG's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the null industry is in the same range as ODFL (54) in the Trucking industry. This means that CVLG’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's SMR Rating (41) in the Trucking industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CVLG (90) in the null industry. This means that ODFL’s stock grew somewhat faster than CVLG’s over the last 12 months.
ODFL's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as CVLG (47) in the null industry. This means that ODFL’s stock grew similarly to CVLG’s over the last 12 months.
CVLG's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the null industry is in the same range as ODFL (20) in the Trucking industry. This means that CVLG’s stock grew similarly to ODFL’s over the last 12 months.
| CVLG | ODFL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 75% | 21 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 52% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| FBGKX | 299.13 | 2.97 | +1.00% |
| Fidelity Blue Chip Growth K | |||
| AYBLX | 14.35 | 0.14 | +0.99% |
| Victory Pioneer Balanced Y | |||
| DLQAX | 12.35 | 0.12 | +0.98% |
| BNY Mellon Large Cap Equity A | |||
| RYOFX | 17.79 | 0.06 | +0.34% |
| Royce Small-Cap Opportunity Svc | |||
| TBGVX | 31.95 | -0.27 | -0.84% |
| Tweedy, Browne International Value Fund | |||
CVLG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVLG has been closely correlated with HTLD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVLG jumps, then HTLD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVLG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVLG | 100% | -3.61% | ||
| HTLD - CVLG | 80% Closely correlated | -3.93% | ||
| MRTN - CVLG | 76% Closely correlated | -0.07% | ||
| ARCB - CVLG | 75% Closely correlated | +1.61% | ||
| SNDR - CVLG | 74% Closely correlated | +4.69% | ||
| ODFL - CVLG | 74% Closely correlated | -0.16% | ||
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ODFL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ODFL has been closely correlated with SAIA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ODFL jumps, then SAIA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ODFL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL | 100% | -0.16% | ||
| SAIA - ODFL | 84% Closely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| ARCB - ODFL | 81% Closely correlated | +1.61% | ||
| TFII - ODFL | 76% Closely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| CVLG - ODFL | 73% Closely correlated | -3.61% | ||
| HTLD - ODFL | 72% Closely correlated | -3.93% | ||
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