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ASTS vs ONDS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) vs. Ondas Inc. (ONDS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) boasts a significantly larger market cap of approximately $29 billion compared to Ondas Inc.'s (ONDS) $4.4 billion, reflecting greater scale in the satellite broadband space.
- Both stocks operate in the communication equipment sector but diverge in focus: ASTS on space-based cellular networks and ONDS on private wireless, drones, and autonomous systems for defense and industrial use.
- Recent performance shows volatility for both; ASTS up 3.33% YTD with 176% one-year gains, while ONDS at 7.17% YTD but explosive 1,045% annual returns driven by acquisitions and contracts.
- ONDS demonstrates revenue growth (605% in 2025 to $50.7 million) and a $457 million backlog, contrasting ASTS's pre-revenue status amid satellite milestones.
- Risk profiles differ: ASTS faces launch and regulatory hurdles, while ONDS contends with integration risks from M&A (mergers and acquisitions).
- Tickeron's AI bots trade both, with space-themed agents showing strong returns including ASTS.
Introduction
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) and Ondas Inc. (ONDS) represent innovative players in the communication equipment sector, blending satellite technology, wireless networks, and autonomous systems. This stock comparison is relevant for growth-oriented traders and investors eyeing high-volatility opportunities in space infrastructure and defense tech. Both have delivered outsized one-year returns—176% for ASTS and over 1,000% for ONDS—amid recent market activity, but face execution risks in capital-intensive fields. Analyzing their business models, performance, and catalysts provides insights into relative positioning for portfolio diversification or tactical trades.
ASTS Overview and Recent Performance
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) develops a space-based cellular broadband network using low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellites to connect unmodified smartphones globally. Partnerships with AT&T, Verizon, and Google underpin its model, targeting wholesale agreements with mobile operators.
In recent market activity, ASTS shares have shown volatility, with YTD gains of 3.33% and 176% over one year, trading around $75 amid a $29 billion market cap. Key developments include FCC approval for up to 248 satellites and commercial authority for direct-to-device service, boosting sentiment. However, the BlueBird 7 satellite launch setback—deployed too low and set to de-orbit—triggered pullbacks, highlighting execution risks in satellite deployments. Trading volume spikes and analyst targets around $115 reflect optimism for 2026 as an inflection year, tempered by ongoing cash burn and pre-commercial status.
ONDS Overview and Recent Performance
Ondas Inc. (ONDS) provides private wireless networks, autonomous drones, and mission-critical connectivity via Ondas Networks and Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS), serving defense, rail, and industrial markets with FullMAX software-defined broadband and counter-unmanned aerial systems (UAS).
Recent weeks have seen ONDS consolidate around $9 with a $4.4 billion market cap, following YTD returns of 7.17% and staggering 1,045% one-year gains. Catalysts include a 605% revenue surge to $50.7 million in 2025, a raised 2026 outlook to $375 million minimum, and a $457 million backlog from acquisitions like $175 million Mistral merger adding U.S. Army contracts. Orders such as $68 million military engineering and $10 million Israel demining further drive momentum. Elevated trading volumes underscore defense demand, though share resale filings and EBITDA losses into 2028 signal dilution and profitability risks.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases the platform's top-performing AI-powered trading bots, curated from hundreds available that trade thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. These bots employ diverse strategies like trend-following, machine learning signals on 5-60 minute timeframes, take-profit/stop-loss corridors (e.g., TP 3%/SL 2%), fundamental analysis, and multi-agent systems, with win rates from 51% to 88% and annualized returns up to 285%. Trending examples include space rally bots trading ASTS with peers (+37.52% return, 56% win rate), semiconductor agents (+95.79%), and defense/industrials (+87.98%). Only bots excelling in current conditions—factoring volatility, sector booms like AI infrastructure and drones—earn spots here. Explore these for automated, data-driven trading tailored to market trends.
Head-to-Head Comparison
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) and Ondas Inc. (ONDS) both target connectivity disruptions but via contrasting models: ASTS's orbital LEO constellation for global cellular versus ONDS's terrestrial private wireless and drone autonomy for niche defense/industrial applications.
Growth drivers highlight trade-offs: ASTS leverages FCC nods and carrier deals for scalable broadband potential, while ONDS fuels expansion through M&A (e.g., Mistral) and contracts building a $457 million backlog. Recent momentum favors ONDS's revenue traction (605% 2025 growth) over ASTS's pre-revenue launches, though ASTS dwarfs in scale ($29B vs. $4.4B cap).
Risk factors diverge: ASTS contends with satellite failures and capex intensity (beta 2.60), ONDS with acquisition integration and dilution (beta 2.56). Sector exposure tilts ASTS to telecom/space, ONDS to defense tailwinds. Sentiment reflects hype for ASTS's vision versus ONDS's execution proofs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors Ondas Inc. (ONDS) over AST SpaceMobile (ASTS), based on superior trend consistency from revenue growth, backlog expansion, and defense catalysts amid recent market volatility. While ASTS holds stronger long-term positioning via regulatory wins and partnerships, ONDS's near-term momentum and lower execution dependency offer higher probability of outperformance in the coming months, as reflected in AI bot inclusions and relative stability.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASTS is a Hold and ONDS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASTS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileONDS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ASTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ONDS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASTS’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ONDS’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASTS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ONDS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ASTS (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а +20.63% price change this week, while ONDS (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was -3.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was +1.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +16.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +57.40%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASTS is expected to report earnings on Aug 17, 2026.
ONDS is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (+1.28% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
| ASTS | ONDS | ASTS / ONDS | |
| Capitalization | 22.4B | 4.64B | 482% |
| EBITDA | -369.93M | -29.47M | 1,255% |
| Gain YTD | 13.658 | -3.484 | -392% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 70.9M | 24.7M | 287% |
| Total Cash | 2.34B | 452M | 517% |
| Total Debt | 2.24B | 18M | 12,444% |
ASTS | ONDS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 99 Overvalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 93 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 96 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 48 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ONDS's Valuation (50) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASTS (99). This means that ONDS’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASTS’s over the last 12 months.
ASTS's Profit vs Risk Rating (41) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ONDS (93). This means that ASTS’s stock grew somewhat faster than ONDS’s over the last 12 months.
ONDS's SMR Rating (95) in the null industry is in the same range as ASTS (96). This means that ONDS’s stock grew similarly to ASTS’s over the last 12 months.
ONDS's Price Growth Rating (34) in the null industry is in the same range as ASTS (47). This means that ONDS’s stock grew similarly to ASTS’s over the last 12 months.
ASTS's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for ONDS (100). This means that ASTS’s stock grew significantly faster than ONDS’s over the last 12 months.
| ASTS | ONDS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 89% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 87% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 89% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 84% | 8 days ago 90% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 88% |
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| COIW | 14.45 | 1.23 | +9.29% |
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| TBFG | 32.34 | N/A | N/A |
| The Brinsmere Fund - Growth ETF | |||
ASTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASTS has been loosely correlated with TSAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ASTS jumps, then TSAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASTS | 100% | +9.99% | ||
| TSAT - ASTS | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.64% | ||
| VSAT - ASTS | 45% Loosely correlated | +4.46% | ||
| S - ASTS | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.57% | ||
| ONDS - ASTS | 42% Loosely correlated | +3.97% | ||
| LTRX - ASTS | 40% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
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ONDS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ONDS has been loosely correlated with ASTS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 42% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ONDS jumps, then ASTS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ONDS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONDS | 100% | +3.97% | ||
| ASTS - ONDS | 42% Loosely correlated | +9.99% | ||
| VSAT - ONDS | 37% Loosely correlated | +4.46% | ||
| LTRX - ONDS | 35% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| AMPG - ONDS | 32% Poorly correlated | +21.82% | ||
| PI - ONDS | 31% Poorly correlated | +0.54% | ||
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