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ASTS vs VSAT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) vs. Viasat (VSAT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) focuses on direct-to-device satellite connectivity for unmodified smartphones, while Viasat (VSAT) provides established satellite broadband services for mobility, enterprise, and government applications.
- Both stocks have delivered substantial year-to-date gains amid sector interest in satellite communications, with VSAT showing stronger relative performance in recent market activity.
- AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) experienced an earnings miss in its most recent quarter but reaffirmed full-year 2026 revenue guidance and benefited from positive announcements regarding a proposed U.S. mobile operator joint venture.
- Viasat (VSAT) approaches its upcoming fourth-quarter and fiscal year 2026 earnings release with momentum from government contracts and operational expansions in satellite capacity.
- AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) exhibits higher volatility tied to execution milestones such as satellite deployments and regulatory approvals, whereas Viasat (VSAT) reflects a more mature business profile with diversified revenue streams.
- Market sentiment for both remains influenced by broader developments in space-based connectivity and defense-related demand.
Introduction
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) and Viasat (VSAT) represent distinct approaches within the satellite communications sector, making them relevant for comparison among growth-oriented investors and traders monitoring space technology and connectivity trends. AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) pursues an innovative model aimed at extending cellular coverage via low-Earth orbit satellites, while Viasat (VSAT) operates as an established provider of satellite-based broadband and communications solutions. This analysis examines their business contexts, recent performance patterns, and relative positioning to assist market participants evaluating exposure in the satellite industry.
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Overview and Recent Performance
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) develops a space-based cellular broadband network designed to connect directly with standard mobile phones without specialized hardware. The company has advanced its BlueBird satellite program, securing regulatory milestones including Federal Communications Commission approvals. In recent weeks, shares showed significant volatility following first-quarter results that missed estimates on both earnings and revenue, though management reaffirmed 2026 revenue guidance between $150 million and $200 million. Positive catalysts emerged from announcements of a proposed joint venture among major U.S. carriers to advance direct-to-device satellite services, which the company publicly supported. Sentiment has been supported by ongoing satellite deployment progress and sector-wide interest in expanded coverage solutions, contributing to elevated trading volumes and price swings.
Viasat (VSAT) Overview and Recent Performance
Viasat (VSAT) delivers satellite communications services across mobility, fixed broadband, and government markets, leveraging its fleet of geostationary satellites. The company has focused on capacity expansions and operational efficiencies in recent periods. Shares have demonstrated strong upward movement in recent market activity, reaching multi-year highs amid contract wins in the defense sector and preparations for the fourth-quarter and fiscal year 2026 earnings release scheduled for May 28, 2026. Performance reflects sustained demand for reliable connectivity in remote and mobile environments, with year-to-date gains outpacing broader market benchmarks. Investor attention centers on upcoming financial details and the company's positioning in both commercial and government segments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) operates with a pre-revenue emphasis on disruptive direct-to-device technology, exposing it to higher execution and regulatory risks compared with Viasat (VSAT)’s diversified, revenue-generating satellite broadband model. Growth drivers for AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) center on satellite launches and carrier partnerships, while Viasat (VSAT) benefits from established contracts in defense and mobility alongside capacity upgrades. Recent momentum has favored both amid satellite sector interest, though Viasat (VSAT) has posted comparatively larger year-to-date advances with less extreme daily swings. Risk factors include AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)’s dependence on successful orbital deployments versus Viasat (VSAT)’s exposure to competition and capital expenditure requirements. Sector exposure overlaps in satellite communications, yet AST SpaceMobile (VSAT) targets consumer mobile integration while Viasat (VSAT) serves broader enterprise and government needs. Market sentiment reflects optimism for both but highlights differing maturity levels and volatility profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, relative stability, and positioning ahead of earnings catalysts, Tickeron’s AI models currently indicate a probabilistic preference for Viasat (VSAT) due to its stronger year-to-date performance trajectory and established revenue base. AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) presents compelling upside potential tied to technological milestones but carries elevated short-term variability. This assessment remains subject to evolving market data and should not be interpreted as a definitive recommendation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASTS is a StrongBuy and VSAT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASTS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileVSAT’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ASTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- VSAT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASTS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VSAT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASTS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- VSAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ASTS (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а -11.96% price change this week, while VSAT (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was +4.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was +6.05%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +65.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASTS is expected to report earnings on Aug 17, 2026.
VSAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (+6.05% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
| ASTS | VSAT | ASTS / VSAT | |
| Capitalization | 24.6B | 9.58B | 257% |
| EBITDA | -528.68M | 1.82B | -29% |
| Gain YTD | 13.466 | 103.627 | 13% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 84.9M | 4.64B | 2% |
| Total Cash | 3.03B | 1.75B | 173% |
| Total Debt | 2.99B | 6.94B | 43% |
ASTS | VSAT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 99 Overvalued | 64 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 76 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 14 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
VSAT's Valuation (64) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASTS (99) in the null industry. This means that VSAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASTS’s over the last 12 months.
ASTS's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for VSAT (76) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ASTS’s stock grew somewhat faster than VSAT’s over the last 12 months.
VSAT's SMR Rating (92) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as ASTS (99) in the null industry. This means that VSAT’s stock grew similarly to ASTS’s over the last 12 months.
VSAT's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as ASTS (41) in the null industry. This means that VSAT’s stock grew similarly to ASTS’s over the last 12 months.
ASTS's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for VSAT (100) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ASTS’s stock grew significantly faster than VSAT’s over the last 12 months.
| ASTS | VSAT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 88% | 18 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 84% | 5 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 80% |
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ASTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASTS has been loosely correlated with TSAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ASTS jumps, then TSAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASTS | 100% | -15.53% | ||
| TSAT - ASTS | 53% Loosely correlated | -6.40% | ||
| VSAT - ASTS | 48% Loosely correlated | -3.49% | ||
| ONDS - ASTS | 46% Loosely correlated | -5.09% | ||
| LTRX - ASTS | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.47% | ||
| S - ASTS | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.61% | ||
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VSAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VSAT has been loosely correlated with TSAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if VSAT jumps, then TSAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To VSAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSAT | 100% | -3.49% | ||
| TSAT - VSAT | 49% Loosely correlated | -6.40% | ||
| GILT - VSAT | 48% Loosely correlated | -2.41% | ||
| ASTS - VSAT | 46% Loosely correlated | -15.53% | ||
| ONDS - VSAT | 43% Loosely correlated | -5.09% | ||
| CIEN - VSAT | 40% Loosely correlated | +0.17% | ||
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