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TSAT vs VSAT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Telesat Corporation (TSAT) vs. Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Telesat Corporation (TSAT) and Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) operate in the satellite communications sector, with TSAT advancing its Lightspeed low Earth orbit (LEO) network and VSAT deploying high-capacity geostationary satellites.
- Both stocks have delivered strong year-to-date gains through recent market activity, with VSAT showing higher percentage increases amid positive contract news and satellite milestones.
- TSAT reported a first-quarter 2026 revenue decline of 25% and an earnings miss, reflecting heavy investment spending, while maintaining substantial longer-term price appreciation.
- VSAT exhibited robust recent momentum, including double-digit gains over the past 30 days, supported by operational successes and analyst attention.
- Sector exposure to satellite broadband and connectivity creates similar growth drivers, though risk profiles differ due to varying capital expenditure intensity and business mix.
- Market sentiment reflects volatility in both names, with relative performance hinging on execution of expansion projects and macroeconomic influences on capital-intensive industries.
Introduction
Telesat Corporation (TSAT) and Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) represent two publicly traded companies in the satellite communications industry, making them natural candidates for comparison by investors seeking exposure to space-based connectivity solutions. This analysis examines their business models, recent performance trends, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Traders and investors focused on technology infrastructure, growth-oriented satellite operators, or sector-specific momentum may find the comparison relevant when evaluating allocation decisions within the communications equipment space.
TSAT Overview and Recent Performance
Telesat Corporation (TSAT) provides mission-critical satellite communications services across multiple regions, operating through geostationary (GEO) and low Earth orbit (LEO) segments. The company has directed significant resources toward its Lightspeed LEO constellation to expand capacity and capabilities. In recent weeks, TSAT shares have reflected broader market activity with notable year-to-date appreciation, though the stock has experienced volatility tied to quarterly results. First-quarter 2026 financials showed revenue of $87.1 million, down 25% year-over-year, alongside an earnings per share miss, primarily due to elevated spending on the Lightspeed project and pressure on GEO revenues. Sentiment has been influenced by these investment-phase dynamics, balanced against the long-term potential of the LEO initiative.
VSAT Overview and Recent Performance
Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) delivers broadband and communications products and services globally, with operations spanning communication services and defense segments. The company has emphasized high-capacity satellite deployments, including the ViaSat-3 series. Recent market activity has featured pronounced upward price movement, including gains exceeding 20% over the past 30 days amid successful satellite launches and new connectivity contracts. Year-to-date returns have outpaced broader benchmarks, supported by operational milestones and favorable analyst revisions. Performance has been driven by execution on expansion initiatives, contributing to a positive shift in market positioning within the satellite communications sector.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business model terms, both companies generate revenue from satellite-based connectivity, yet Telesat Corporation (TSAT) places greater emphasis on transitioning to LEO infrastructure while Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) leverages a mix of GEO assets and defense contracts. Growth drivers contrast through TSAT’s capital-intensive Lightspeed buildout versus VSAT’s focus on satellite launches and in-flight or enterprise contracts. Recent momentum has favored VSAT with sharper percentage gains over the past month, while TSAT has posted solid but comparatively moderated advances alongside earnings-related volatility. Risk factors include execution delays and funding needs for both, though TSAT’s higher reported quarterly losses highlight near-term cash flow pressures. Sector exposure remains aligned in communications equipment, with market sentiment reflecting optimism for satellite demand tempered by macroeconomic sensitivity to interest rates and capital expenditures.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and recent momentum, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a higher probabilistic weighting to Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) in the current environment. VSAT’s stronger short-term price action, supported by operational catalysts, positions it favorably relative to TSAT’s investment-phase profile and associated earnings variability. This assessment remains probabilistic and subject to shifts in market conditions or new data releases.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TSAT is a Hold and VSAT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TSAT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileVSAT’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- TSAT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- VSAT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TSAT’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VSAT’s TA Score has 1 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TSAT’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- VSAT’s TA Score: 1 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
TSAT (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а +0.86% price change this week, while VSAT (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was +3.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was -0.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -14.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +47.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
TSAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
VSAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (-0.13% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
| TSAT | VSAT | TSAT / VSAT | |
| Capitalization | 717M | 11.3B | 6% |
| EBITDA | -352M | 1.82B | -19% |
| Gain YTD | 44.777 | 79.774 | 56% |
| P/E Ratio | 8.72 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 388M | 4.64B | 8% |
| Total Cash | 523M | 1.75B | 30% |
| Total Debt | 3.65B | 6.94B | 53% |
VSAT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 91 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| TSAT | VSAT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 82% | 5 days ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 83% | 11 days ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 81% |
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VSAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VSAT has been loosely correlated with GILT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if VSAT jumps, then GILT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To VSAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSAT | 100% | N/A | ||
| GILT - VSAT | 53% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| TSAT - VSAT | 52% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| ASTS - VSAT | 48% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| ONDS - VSAT | 43% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| CIEN - VSAT | 40% Loosely correlated | -8.65% | ||
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