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AU vs HMY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AU and HMY are major gold miners benefiting from elevated bullion prices in recent market activity.
- AU has delivered stronger recent momentum, with approximately 45% gains over the past 30 days alongside robust Q2 2026 earnings growth.
- HMY shows solid longer-term returns but more variable short-term price action ahead of its upcoming H2 2026 results.
- AU maintains a larger market capitalization and broader geographic diversification compared to HMY.
- Sector sentiment remains positive for both due to gold price trends, though cost structures and operational scales differ notably.
- Relative performance favors AU in recent weeks on earnings delivery and price appreciation consistency.
Introduction
Gold mining equities AU and HMY offer investors exposure to precious metals prices, operational leverage, and commodity cycles. This comparison examines their business profiles, recent price behavior, and market positioning to assist traders and portfolio managers evaluating gold sector allocations. The analysis focuses on observable fundamentals, momentum indicators, and relative risks without forward projections, providing context for those monitoring sector rotation or hedging strategies amid fluctuating bullion markets.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a global gold producer with mines across multiple continents. In recent weeks, AU shares have advanced substantially, rising roughly 45% over the past 30 days amid higher gold prices and a strong Q2 2026 earnings report that showed a 58% increase in headline earnings. The stock has traded above key moving averages following these results, with weekly gains exceeding 26% in the most recent period. Positive sentiment has been supported by operational performance and broader sector tailwinds from bullion strength, though analysts note mixed views on forward earnings expectations.
HMY Overview and Recent Performance
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited focuses primarily on South African and international gold operations. HMY has recorded meaningful longer-term gains, including approximately 48% over the past year, while exhibiting more variable short-term movements in recent market activity. The stock closed near $23.54 following a session gain of nearly 7%, with attention turning to upcoming H2 2026 earnings expected later in the month. Sector-wide gold price support has contributed to performance, though the company’s more concentrated geographic exposure introduces distinct operational considerations relative to larger peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AngloGold Ashanti maintains a larger scale and more diversified asset base than Harmony Gold, supporting greater resilience across regions. Both companies operate in the gold mining sector with similar exposure to commodity prices, yet AU has shown more consistent recent price appreciation tied to earnings delivery. HMY offers potentially higher operational leverage in certain jurisdictions but carries concentrated risks. Momentum indicators favor AU in the near term, while longer-horizon returns remain competitive for both. Risk factors include input costs, regulatory environments, and gold price volatility, with trade-offs centered on diversification versus geographic focus.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative price stability in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to AU over HMY. This assessment reflects stronger short-term performance alignment and broader positioning within the sector, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing market conditions and commodity dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a Hold and HMY is a StrongBuy.
| AU | HMY | AU / HMY | |
| Capitalization | 52.8B | 12.8B | 413% |
| EBITDA | 6.37B | 31.8B | 20% |
| Gain YTD | 26.812 | 7.835 | 342% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.00 | 7.15 | 196% |
| Revenue | 11.8B | 81.2B | 15% |
| Total Cash | 2.78B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.79B | N/A | - |
AU | HMY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 82 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | 11 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 20 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 85 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (6) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (11). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (34). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
HMY's SMR Rating (20) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (22). This means that HMY’s stock grew similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
HMY's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (39). This means that HMY’s stock grew similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (65) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (85). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | HMY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 83% | 10 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 74% | 5 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 83% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while HMY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- HMY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HMY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- HMY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -4.26% price change this week, while HMY (@Precious Metals) price change was +1.83% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -3.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
HMY is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-3.23% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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HMY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HMY has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HMY jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.