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GFI vs HMY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Gold Fields Limited (GFI) vs. Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Gold Fields Limited (GFI) has significantly outperformed Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) over the past 12 months, with GFI delivering approximately +70% returns compared to HMY's -5%.
- Both stocks have experienced pullbacks in recent weeks amid flat year-to-date gold prices, with GFI trading around $42 and HMY near $15.60.
- GFI benefits from geographic diversification across Ghana, Australia, and the Americas, while HMY is more focused on South African operations.
- Recent earnings show strength for both: GFI reported full-year 2025 results with EPS beats, and HMY saw half-year FY2026 revenue up 20% and EBITDA up 39%.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight potential in gold miners amid sector volatility.
Introduction
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) and Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) are prominent South African gold producers listed as American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) on the NYSE. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors seeking exposure to gold amid fluctuating commodity prices and geopolitical tensions in mining regions. Traders monitoring precious metals may find value in evaluating their relative momentum, operational resilience, and sensitivity to gold price movements. With both stocks showing volatility in recent market activity, understanding their business models, performance drivers, and risk profiles aids informed decision-making in the gold mining sector.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is a multinational gold producer with key operations in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, and Chile. The company focuses on sustainable mining and exploration to support long-term production growth. In recent weeks, GFI shares have traded around $42, reflecting a pullback from April highs near $52 amid broader gold mining sector pressures and flat gold prices year-to-date. Sentiment has been influenced by the company's full-year 2025 earnings release in February 2026, which featured earnings per share (EPS) beats, and a reaffirmed commitment to South Africa via a R1.7 billion investment pledge. These factors, alongside gold price stability, have supported relative outperformance over the past year.
HMY Overview and Recent Performance
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) operates primarily in South Africa, with major assets including the Mponeng and Moab Khotsong mines, emphasizing underground gold production. Recent market activity has seen HMY shares fluctuate around $15.60, down from January 2026 peaks above $25 and within a 52-week range of $12.58 to $26.06. Performance reflects heightened volatility tied to South African operational challenges and gold price dynamics. The half-year FY2026 results in March 2026 highlighted revenue growth of 20% to ZAR 44 billion and EBITDA up 39% to ZAR 18 billion, boosting operational sentiment despite recent stock declines.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both GFI and HMY derive core revenue from gold mining, exposing them to commodity price swings and South African regulatory risks. However, GFI's diversified portfolio across multiple countries mitigates single-region dependency compared to HMY's concentrated South African focus. Growth drivers include GFI's international expansions and HMY's high-grade underground assets. Recent momentum favors GFI with superior 12-month gains, while HMY shows higher short-term volatility. Risk factors encompass labor issues and energy costs in South Africa for both, with market sentiment leaning toward GFI for stability amid flat gold prices.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward GFI based on its consistent trend strength, superior relative performance over the past year, geographic diversification, and positive catalysts like recent investment pledges. While HMY offers robust earnings growth, its higher volatility positions it as a higher-risk play in the current environment.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GFI is a StrongBuy and HMY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GFI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileHMY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GFI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- HMY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GFI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HMY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GFI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HMY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GFI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -0.33% price change this week, while HMY (@Precious Metals) price change was +0.95% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
GFI is expected to report earnings on Aug 21, 2026.
HMY is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.32% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| GFI | HMY | GFI / HMY | |
| Capitalization | 32.4B | 9.86B | 328% |
| EBITDA | 6.34B | 31.8B | 20% |
| Gain YTD | -13.965 | -17.138 | 81% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.26 | 10.23 | 91% |
| Revenue | 8.75B | 81.2B | 11% |
| Total Cash | 1.78B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 3.22B | N/A | - |
GFI | HMY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 9 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 48 | 52 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 25 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 93 | 86 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (5) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (9). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's Profit vs Risk Rating (48) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (52). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (20) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (25). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
HMY's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (62). This means that HMY’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
HMY's P/E Growth Rating (86) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (93). This means that HMY’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| GFI | HMY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 84% |
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HMY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HMY has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HMY jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.