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GFI vs HMY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Gold Fields Limited (GFI) vs. Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Gold Fields Limited (GFI) has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at +14.98% compared to Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY)'s +8.53%.
- GFI boasts a larger market capitalization of $43.63 billion versus HMY's $11.58 billion, reflecting greater scale in gold production.
- Both stocks benefit from elevated gold prices in recent market activity, but GFI offers a higher dividend yield of 4.76% compared to HMY's 2.19%.
- GFI has significantly outperformed over the past year with +108% returns versus HMY's +3.6%.
- Tickeron's AI trading bots include portfolios featuring both tickers, such as one focused on large gold producers with a +30.43% annualized return.
- HMY trades at a slightly lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.61 versus GFI's 12.38, suggesting potential value.
Introduction
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) and Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) are prominent South African gold producers listed on the NYSE via American Depositary Receipts (ADRs). This stock comparison evaluates their relative performance amid a robust gold market driven by geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns. Investors seeking exposure to precious metals through mining equities, particularly those balancing growth, dividends, and sector momentum, will find insights into business models, recent trends, and market positioning. With gold prices supporting producer profitability, understanding contrasts in scale, diversification, and sentiment aids informed relative performance analysis.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is a multinational gold producer with operations across South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile, focusing on gold alongside copper and silver exploration. In recent market activity, GFI's shares have exhibited strong upward momentum, trading around $48.78 with a 52-week range of $19.35 to $61.64. Year-to-date gains stand at +14.98%, bolstered by elevated gold prices and positive analyst sentiment, including a consensus price target of $59.03. Key influences include operational stability and production updates, contributing to a one-year return exceeding 108%. Trading volume remains robust at over 2 million shares daily, reflecting heightened investor interest in its diversified portfolio.
HMY Overview and Recent Performance
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) engages in gold, uranium, silver, and copper extraction, primarily from underground and surface operations in South Africa, Papua New Guinea, and Australia. Recently, HMY shares have traded near $18.34 within a 52-week range of $12.58 to $26.06, supported by gold price tailwinds despite South African operational challenges. YTD performance is +8.53%, with a one-year return of +3.62%, influenced by interim results showing revenue growth and analyst upgrades like Morgan Stanley's to Equal Weight. Elevated daily volume above 5 million shares indicates active trading, driven by sector sentiment and expansion plans.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the top 25 performers from over 351 AI trading bots that analyze thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. These bots employ diverse strategies like swing trading, trend following, and multi-agent systems with technical and fundamental analysis, often featuring risk controls such as 2-3% take-profit and 2-10% stop-loss levels. Top bots show annualized returns from +15.50% to +167.82%, win rates of 54-88%, profit factors up to 11.70, and profit-to-drawdown ratios exceeding 20. Notably, gold-focused bots include one trading large producers like NEM, GFI, HMY, and AU with +30.43% return and 55% win rate. Explore these bots for real-time signals tailored to current volatility.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Both GFI and HMY operate in gold mining with heavy South African exposure, but GFI offers broader geographic diversification across six countries, mitigating country-specific risks like power outages and labor issues more effectively than HMY's focus on South Africa and Papua New Guinea. Growth drivers include rising gold prices, yet GFI benefits from higher production scale and EPS of $3.94 versus HMY's $1.58. Recent momentum favors GFI with superior returns, while HMY presents a value trade-off via lower P/E. Risk factors involve commodity volatility and operational costs for both, with market sentiment leaning positive amid gold's safe-haven appeal. Sector exposure remains tightly aligned to precious metals.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors GFI over HMY based on stronger trend consistency, larger scale, higher dividend yield, and superior relative performance in recent weeks. Observable catalysts like diversified operations and elevated analyst targets position GFI with greater probability of outperformance in the prevailing gold market environment, though both benefit from sector tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GFI is a StrongBuy and HMY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GFI’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileHMY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GFI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- HMY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GFI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HMY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GFI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- HMY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GFI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -0.37% price change this week, while HMY (@Precious Metals) price change was +10.82% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +3.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +18.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +98.96%.
Reported Earning Dates
GFI is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
HMY is expected to report earnings on Apr 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+3.91% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| GFI | HMY | GFI / HMY | |
| Capitalization | 45.1B | 12B | 376% |
| EBITDA | 6.34B | 20B | 32% |
| Gain YTD | 14.981 | -7.839 | -191% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.38 | 11.58 | 107% |
| Revenue | 8.75B | 67.1B | 13% |
| Total Cash | 1.78B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 3.22B | N/A | - |
GFI | HMY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 7 Undervalued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 44 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (7) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (16). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (44). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (20) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (35). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (49). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's P/E Growth Rating (87) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as HMY (93). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to HMY’s over the last 12 months.
| GFI | HMY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 81% | 5 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 75% | 9 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 79% |
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GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.