AVUS
Price
$128.62Alerts
Change
+$1.55 (+1.22%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
14.33B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SPY
Price
$760.28Alerts
Change
+$0.47 (+0.06%)
Updated
Nov 12, 02:07 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
773.74B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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AVUS vs SPY

AVUS vs SPY Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 06, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Avantis U.S. Equity ETF (AVUS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

Key Takeaways

  • AVUS is a systematically managed, actively tilted U.S. equity ETF offering broad exposure across roughly 1,900 holdings, while SPY is a passive unit investment trust (UIT) tracking the S&P 500 index with about 500 large-cap stocks.
  • SPY carries a lower expense ratio (0.0945% vs. 0.15%), but AVUS provides meaningfully greater diversification and reduced single-stock concentration.
  • SPY is more concentrated in mega-cap technology, with its top 10 holdings near 38% of assets, whereas AVUS caps that concentration near 28–29% and adds a value and profitability tilt.
  • Both funds share dominant positions in NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon, but AVUS underweights these names relative to SPY.
  • SPY offers unmatched liquidity as the first and most heavily traded U.S.-listed ETF, making it a preferred vehicle for institutional trading and hedging.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: AVUS is the favored ticker for investors seeking broader diversification, a value-oriented factor tilt, and lower single-stock risk in the current market environment.

Introduction

Avantis U.S. Equity ETF (AVUS) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) both provide broad exposure to U.S. equities, but they achieve that goal through fundamentally different designs. SPY is the benchmark large-cap index fund that most investors use as a market proxy, while AVUS is a rules-based, actively tilted strategy that seeks to outperform by emphasizing cheaper, more profitable companies. Comparing the two is timely because concentration in a handful of mega-cap technology names has reshaped how index products behave, prompting many investors to weigh pure index replication against factor-aware alternatives. This ETF comparison examines structural differences, sector exposure, and relative positioning to clarify which vehicle better suits distinct goals.

Avantis U.S. Equity ETF (AVUS) Overview

AVUS is a systematically managed, actively tilted ETF that invests across the full U.S. large-, mid-, and small-cap universe while overweighting stocks with attractive valuations and strong profitability. It is not a pure index fund; instead, it applies a disciplined quantitative process that targets higher expected returns relative to a market-cap-weighted benchmark. The fund holds roughly 1,900 securities, substantially more than the S&P 500, and its largest positions carry lower weights than a typical index product.

Top holdings include NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, META, and MU, with the top 10 names representing roughly 28–29% of assets. Sector allocation skews toward technology (around 29–31%), followed by financials and consumer cyclical, but the fund maintains meaningful exposure across the broader market. Its net expense ratio is 0.15%, modest for an actively tilted strategy. The defining feature is a value and profitability emphasis that systematically tilts away from the most richly valued mega-cap growth stocks.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Overview

SPY is the oldest and most recognizable U.S.-listed ETF, launched in 1993 as a unit investment trust (UIT) that fully replicates the S&P 500 index. As a UIT, it must hold the index securities in proportion to their index weights and cannot engage in securities lending or reinvest intra-quarter dividends, a structure that creates minor cash drag. The fund holds approximately 500 large-cap stocks, weighted by market capitalization.

Top holdings include NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO, GOOG, META, and TSLA, with the top 10 positions near 38% of assets. Technology dominates at roughly 39–41% of the portfolio, followed by financials, healthcare, and communication services. Its expense ratio is 0.0945%, among the lowest for large-cap equity exposure, and it offers exceptional liquidity with extraordinarily tight bid-ask spreads.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within a U.S. equity market whose performance has been increasingly driven by a narrow set of mega-cap technology and semiconductor companies, particularly amid sustained enthusiasm for artificial intelligence infrastructure. This concentration has lifted index-level returns but also raised questions about diversification and valuation risk. Interest-rate expectations continue to influence the relative appeal of growth versus value stocks, while earnings cycles among top holdings such as NVDA and MSFT remain a key swing factor. Broader macro themes—including resilient corporate profitability, moderating inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty—shape capital flows across both vehicles. For investors, the central question is whether to accept market-cap concentration or diversify toward systematically cheaper, more profitable segments of the market.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, SPY has benefited directly from the outsized gains of its largest mega-cap holdings, delivering strong returns when growth and technology leadership prevail. AVUS, by design, holds many of the same top names at lower weights and spreads capital across thousands of additional mid- and small-cap stocks, which tends to moderate both upside participation and downside concentration risk. When markets broaden beyond mega-cap growth, AVUS's value and profitability tilts have historically provided a relative tailwind, while SPY's concentrated exposure can lag. On volatility, AVUS's wider holding base and factor diversification may reduce single-name drawdown sensitivity compared with SPY's heavier top-10 weighting. Cost-conscious, liquidity-focused investors tend to favor SPY, while those emphasizing diversification and factor exposure lean toward AVUS.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and emerging market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to surface ideas aligned with your own strategy and risk tolerance.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI currently favors AVUS. While SPY offers superior cost efficiency and liquidity, AVUS's broader diversification, lower top-10 concentration, and systematic value and profitability tilt provide a more balanced risk profile in a market heavily weighted toward a handful of mega-cap names. AVUS reduces single-stock sensitivity while retaining exposure to core market leaders, a combination that may offer more resilient relative positioning if market leadership broadens or concentration risk reasserts itself. This assessment reflects probabilistic analysis of diversification, factor exposure, and concentration risk rather than a forecast of short-term returns and should not be interpreted as personalized investment advice.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
AVUS vs. SPY commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AVUS is a Buy and SPY is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AVUS with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

AVUS's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for AVUS moved out of oversold territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 27 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 46 cases where AVUS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Following a +2.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVUS advanced for three days, in 272 of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

AVUS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AVUS as a result. In 61 of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AVUS turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 77%.

AVUS moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AVUS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVUS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The Aroon Indicator for AVUS entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SPY with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

SPY sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

On November 10, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for SPY moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 37 of the 44 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 84%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +2.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in 291 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

SPY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPY as a result. In 60 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.

SPY moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SPY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPY entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AVUSSPY
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
78%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
82%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
71%
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
76%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
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AVUS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVUS has been loosely correlated with JPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AVUS jumps, then JPM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AVUS
1D Price
Change %
AVUS100%
+1.22%
JPM - AVUS
58%
Loosely correlated
+0.39%
AAPL - AVUS
52%
Loosely correlated
+2.04%
META - AVUS
49%
Loosely correlated
-1.97%
AMZN - AVUS
48%
Loosely correlated
-1.74%
MSFT - AVUS
47%
Loosely correlated
-2.26%
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