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BBVA vs BCS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) vs. Barclays (BCS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BBVA commands a larger market capitalization of approximately $122 billion, surpassing BCS's $79 billion, reflecting greater scale in operations.
- Both stocks exhibit similar trailing P/E ratios around 10-11 (price-to-earnings, a valuation metric), but BBVA offers a higher dividend yield of nearly 5% compared to BCS's 2%.
- BBVA demonstrates superior return on equity (ROE, a measure of profitability relative to shareholders' equity) at 18.3% versus BCS's 9.6%.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks gaining around 8-9% over the past month, with year-to-date performance favoring BCS slightly at 8.5% over BBVA's 2.6%.
- BBVA benefits from emerging market exposure in Mexico and Turkey, while BCS leverages strengths in UK retail and US investment banking.
Introduction
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) and Barclays (BCS) represent prominent European banking giants traded as ADRs on US exchanges, offering investors exposure to international financial services amid shifting global interest rates and economic recovery signals. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders seeking relative performance insights in the banking sector, where dividend yields, profitability metrics, and regional growth drivers influence positioning. Investors monitoring European banks may find value in evaluating their recent momentum, valuation multiples, and exposure to diverse markets like Latin America for BBVA versus the UK and US for BCS, aiding decisions on stock rotation or portfolio diversification.
BBVA Overview and Recent Performance
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA), a Spanish multinational bank headquartered in Bilbao, operates retail, commercial, and investment banking across Spain, Mexico, Turkey, South America, and beyond. It generates significant revenue from its Mexican subsidiary (about half of profits) and Turkish operations (around 15%), complemented by digital banking innovations. In recent market activity, BBVA shares have risen approximately 8% over the past month, trading near $22 with a 52-week range of $13.47 to $26.20. Sentiment has been bolstered by recognitions as the world's most innovative bank in 2026 and best trade finance provider in Latin America, alongside a $500 million financing deal with Envision Energy for renewables. Analyst target raises and solid Q4 profit growth have supported resilience amid volatility, with a market cap of $122 billion underscoring its scale.
BCS Overview and Recent Performance
Barclays PLC (BCS), a British universal bank founded in 1690 and based in London, delivers consumer, corporate, and investment banking through segments like Barclays UK, Investment Bank, and US Consumer Bank. It emphasizes wealth management, credit cards, and securities in the UK, Europe, Americas, and Asia. Shares have advanced about 9% in recent weeks, hovering around $23 within a 52-week span of $15.52 to $27.70, with a market cap of $79 billion. Performance reflects steady revenue from its diversified model, though year-to-date gains stand at 8.5%. Influences include ongoing analyst coverage with buy ratings and price target uplifts, amid broader sector tailwinds from interest rate dynamics, despite pressures from regulatory scrutiny in core markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both BBVA and BCS operate as multinational banks with retail and investment arms, but BBVA leans toward emerging markets growth via Mexico and Turkey, driving higher ROE and profit margins, while BCS emphasizes investment banking and UK stability. Recent momentum is comparable with monthly gains, though BCS edges YTD returns. Valuation is tight on P/E, but BBVA's superior dividend and scale contrast BCS's lower beta (0.86 vs. 0.92, indicating less market sensitivity). Risks include currency fluctuations for BBVA and UK regulatory pressures for BCS; sentiment favors BBVA on innovation catalysts versus BCS's breadth.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward BBVA with higher probability in the near term, citing consistent trend strength, elevated ROE, robust dividend yield, and positive catalysts like innovation awards and financing pacts. While BCS offers solid YTD momentum and diversification, BBVA's relative profitability and emerging market positioning provide a stability edge in current conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BBVA is a Hold and BCS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BBVA’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileBCS’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BBVA’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- BCS’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BBVA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BCS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BBVA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- BCS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BBVA (@Major Banks) experienced а +5.75% price change this week, while BCS (@Major Banks) price change was +6.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Major Banks industry was +3.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
BBVA is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
BCS is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Major Banks (+3.42% weekly)Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.
| BBVA | BCS | BBVA / BCS | |
| Capitalization | 136B | 89.9B | 151% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 8.299 | 5.845 | 142% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.59 | 11.29 | 103% |
| Revenue | 40.7B | 29.6B | 138% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 87.6B | 137B | 64% |
BBVA | BCS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 4 | 6 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BBVA's Valuation (30) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BCS (49). This means that BBVA’s stock grew similarly to BCS’s over the last 12 months.
BBVA's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BCS (16). This means that BBVA’s stock grew similarly to BCS’s over the last 12 months.
BBVA's SMR Rating (4) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BCS (6). This means that BBVA’s stock grew similarly to BCS’s over the last 12 months.
BBVA's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BCS (41). This means that BBVA’s stock grew similarly to BCS’s over the last 12 months.
BBVA's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BCS (29). This means that BBVA’s stock grew similarly to BCS’s over the last 12 months.
| BBVA | BCS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 29 days ago 52% | 12 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 68% |
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BBVA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BBVA has been closely correlated with SAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BBVA jumps, then SAN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BBVA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBVA | 100% | +0.04% | ||
| SAN - BBVA | 78% Closely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| ING - BBVA | 70% Closely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| BCS - BBVA | 68% Closely correlated | -0.08% | ||
| HSBC - BBVA | 62% Loosely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| NWG - BBVA | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.06% | ||
More | ||||
BCS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BCS has been closely correlated with HSBC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BCS jumps, then HSBC could also see price increases.