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BBVA vs HSBC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) vs. HSBC Holdings plc (HSBC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both BBVA and HSBC have delivered strong annual gains exceeding 50% over the past year, reflecting resilience in the banking sector.
- HSBC has shown superior short-term momentum with approximately 11-16% gains in recent weeks, compared to BBVA's more modest 2-8% rise.
- BBVA trades at a lower P/E ratio of around 11.8, suggesting better value, while HSBC offers a higher dividend yield near 5%.
- Both maintain robust CET1 (Common Equity Tier 1, a measure of core capital strength) ratios above 12%, with HSBC at 14.9% providing greater buffer.
- Emerging market exposure drives BBVA's growth, while HSBC benefits from Asia-Pacific dominance.
- Recent catalysts include BBVA's share buyback and HSBC's steady earnings growth.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits BBVA, a leading Spanish bank with strong emerging market presence, against HSBC, the UK-based global giant anchored in Asia. Both offer exposure to international banking amid shifting interest rates and geopolitical tensions. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye recent price action, while long-term investors could value dividend stability and capital strength. In today's volatile market, understanding their relative performance, growth drivers, and risks helps inform portfolio decisions in a sector sensitive to economic cycles and regulatory changes.
BBVA Overview and Recent Performance
BBVA (Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria) operates as a diversified multinational bank, with significant franchises in Spain, Mexico, Turkey, and South America. Its business emphasizes retail banking, corporate finance, and digital innovation, supported by robust NII (Net Interest Income) from higher rates. In recent market activity, the stock has climbed modestly, posting gains of 2-8% over the past month around $22 per share. Sentiment has been bolstered by a Q4 net profit increase of 4.1% and a $4.6 billion share buyback announcement following a failed takeover bid for rival Sabadell. A CET1 ratio near 13% underscores capital strength, though exposure to volatile emerging markets like Turkey tempers upside amid currency fluctuations.
HSBC Overview and Recent Performance
HSBC (HSBC Holdings plc) is one of the world's largest banks by assets, with core operations in Asia, Europe, and North America, focusing on wealth management, global banking, and commercial operations. Recent weeks have seen stronger price momentum, with shares advancing 11-16% to near $92, driven by resilient earnings and a RoTE (Return on Tangible Common Equity) of 13.3%. Key influences include a stable CET1 ratio of 14.9% at year-end 2025 and consistent dividend payouts. Positive sentiment stems from disciplined cost control and Asia-Pacific growth, offsetting pressures from regulatory scrutiny and slower global loan demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BBVA and HSBC share multinational footprints but diverge in focus: BBVA's emerging market tilt offers higher growth potential via Mexico and Turkey, contrasted with HSBC's mature Asia exposure for stability. Recent momentum favors HSBC, with double-digit gains versus BBVA's steadier climb, reflecting differing sensitivities to rate environments. Valuation trade-offs include BBVA's attractive P/E under 12 and 5% yield, against HSBC's pricier multiple but superior ROTCE. Risks for BBVA center on geopolitical volatility, while HSBC faces China-related uncertainties. Market sentiment leans positive for both amid buybacks and dividends, positioning them as defensive plays in banking.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward HSBC based on stronger trend consistency in recent weeks, elevated CET1 buffer for resilience, and superior short-term relative performance. While BBVA offers compelling value metrics, HSBC's catalysts like high RoTE and global diversification provide a probabilistic edge in the prevailing environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BBVA is a Hold and HSBC is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BBVA’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileHSBC’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BBVA’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- HSBC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BBVA’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HSBC’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BBVA’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- HSBC’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BBVA (@Major Banks) experienced а -5.00% price change this week, while HSBC (@Major Banks) price change was -3.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Major Banks industry was +1.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
BBVA is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
HSBC is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Major Banks (+1.30% weekly)Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.
| BBVA | HSBC | BBVA / HSBC | |
| Capitalization | 125B | 313B | 40% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -1.699 | 19.326 | -9% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.52 | 15.01 | 70% |
| Revenue | 40.7B | 67.6B | 60% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 243B | - |
| Total Debt | 87.6B | 256B | 34% |
BBVA | HSBC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 89 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 24 Undervalued | 44 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 4 | 4 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BBVA's Valuation (24) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as HSBC (44). This means that BBVA’s stock grew similarly to HSBC’s over the last 12 months.
HSBC's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BBVA (9). This means that HSBC’s stock grew similarly to BBVA’s over the last 12 months.
HSBC's SMR Rating (4) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BBVA (4). This means that HSBC’s stock grew similarly to BBVA’s over the last 12 months.
HSBC's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BBVA (43). This means that HSBC’s stock grew similarly to BBVA’s over the last 12 months.
BBVA's P/E Growth Rating (22) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as HSBC (23). This means that BBVA’s stock grew similarly to HSBC’s over the last 12 months.
| BBVA | HSBC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 43% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 48% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 72% | 11 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 68% |
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BBVA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BBVA has been closely correlated with SAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BBVA jumps, then SAN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BBVA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBVA | 100% | -2.67% | ||
| SAN - BBVA | 78% Closely correlated | -2.57% | ||
| ING - BBVA | 69% Closely correlated | -3.20% | ||
| BCS - BBVA | 66% Closely correlated | -2.96% | ||
| HSBC - BBVA | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.97% | ||
| NWG - BBVA | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.47% | ||
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