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BBVA vs HSBC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) vs. HSBC Holdings (HSBC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BBVA delivered record second-quarter 2026 profit supported by strong lending growth and announced an additional share buyback program.
- HSBC has posted robust year-to-date returns of approximately 39 percent, outpacing its benchmark FTSE 100 index.
- Both banks exhibit strong capital generation and elevated return on tangible equity (RoTE) metrics in recent reporting periods.
- BBVA benefits from significant exposure to high-growth markets including Spain and Mexico.
- HSBC maintains a diversified global footprint with particular strength in Asia and wealth management segments.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks outperforming broader banking sector benchmarks amid favorable interest rate environments.
Introduction
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) and HSBC Holdings (HSBC) represent two major European-headquartered banks with substantial international operations. This comparison examines their relative performance, business models, and recent market positioning for institutional and retail investors seeking exposure to the global banking sector. Traders and portfolio managers evaluating cross-border financial institutions may find the analysis relevant when assessing diversification opportunities or sector allocation decisions in the current macroeconomic environment.
BBVA Overview and Recent Performance
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) operates as a diversified financial services group with core activities in retail and commercial banking, primarily across Spain, Mexico, and other Latin American markets. In recent weeks, the stock has shown strong upward momentum following the release of second-quarter 2026 results that highlighted record net profit and resilient net interest income. Robust loan growth and effective cost management contributed to elevated profitability levels, while management announced a new extraordinary share buyback program. These developments supported positive investor sentiment and helped the shares outperform key European banking indices during the period.
HSBC Overview and Recent Performance
HSBC Holdings (HSBC) provides a broad range of banking and financial services worldwide, with significant operations in Asia, the United Kingdom, and global corporate and institutional segments. Recent market activity reflects continued strength, with the stock delivering approximately 39 percent year-to-date returns that substantially exceeded the FTSE 100 benchmark. The company has maintained solid capital positions and is preparing to report second-quarter 2026 results in early August. Favorable momentum in wealth management and transaction banking has underpinned performance amid stable interest rate conditions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) and HSBC Holdings (HSBC) differ in geographic emphasis and revenue drivers. BBVA derives substantial growth from emerging markets with higher lending yields, while HSBC leverages its established Asia-Pacific network and wealth management franchise for more stable fee income. Recent momentum favors BBVA following earnings beats and capital return announcements, whereas HSBC has delivered steadier benchmark outperformance over longer intervals. Risk considerations include BBVA’s sensitivity to regional economic cycles in Mexico and HSBC’s exposure to global trade flows and regulatory developments in multiple jurisdictions. Sector exposure remains comparable within diversified banking, though market sentiment currently reflects greater optimism around BBVA’s near-term catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including recent earnings consistency, capital return activity, and relative price momentum, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term positioning to Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA). The stock’s post-earnings reaction and buyback program provide measurable support for trend continuation, though HSBC Holdings (HSBC) maintains competitive stability across its diversified operations. Any assessment remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BBVA is a StrongBuy and HSBC is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BBVA’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileHSBC’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BBVA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- HSBC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BBVA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HSBC’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BBVA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- HSBC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BBVA (@Major Banks) experienced а +1.96% price change this week, while HSBC (@Major Banks) price change was -4.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Major Banks industry was +0.92%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.02%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
BBVA is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
HSBC is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Major Banks (+0.92% weekly)Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.
| BBVA | HSBC | BBVA / HSBC | |
| Capitalization | 156B | 348B | 45% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 24.491 | 34.781 | 70% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.91 | 14.65 | 88% |
| Revenue | 42.5B | 67.6B | 63% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 243B | - |
| Total Debt | 106B | 102B | 104% |
BBVA | HSBC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 88 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 41 Fair valued | 44 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 4 | 4 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BBVA's Valuation (41) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as HSBC (44). This means that BBVA’s stock grew similarly to HSBC’s over the last 12 months.
HSBC's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BBVA (4). This means that HSBC’s stock grew similarly to BBVA’s over the last 12 months.
HSBC's SMR Rating (4) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BBVA (4). This means that HSBC’s stock grew similarly to BBVA’s over the last 12 months.
BBVA's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as HSBC (40). This means that BBVA’s stock grew similarly to HSBC’s over the last 12 months.
BBVA's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as HSBC (32). This means that BBVA’s stock grew similarly to HSBC’s over the last 12 months.
| BBVA | HSBC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 46% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 74% | 12 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 39% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 68% |
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BBVA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BBVA has been closely correlated with SAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BBVA jumps, then SAN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BBVA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBVA | 100% | +0.25% | ||
| SAN - BBVA | 81% Closely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| ING - BBVA | 73% Closely correlated | -0.58% | ||
| BCS - BBVA | 70% Closely correlated | -0.98% | ||
| HSBC - BBVA | 67% Closely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| NWG - BBVA | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.94% | ||
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HSBC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HSBC has been closely correlated with BCS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HSBC jumps, then BCS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HSBC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSBC | 100% | -0.12% | ||
| BCS - HSBC | 77% Closely correlated | -0.98% | ||
| SAN - HSBC | 73% Closely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| ING - HSBC | 70% Closely correlated | -0.58% | ||
| BBVA - HSBC | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.25% | ||
| UBS - HSBC | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.36% | ||
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