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BKH vs NEE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Black Hills Corporation (BKH) vs. NextEra Energy (NEE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both BKH and NEE operate in the utilities sector, but NEE shows stronger year-to-date gains of around 21% compared to BKH's 9%.
- NEE boasts a larger market cap of approximately $201 billion versus BKH's $5.6 billion, reflecting greater scale in renewables and infrastructure.
- Recent momentum favors NEE with 50% one-year returns, outpacing BKH's 26-30%, driven by Q1 earnings beats and data center demand.
- BKH offers a higher dividend yield of about 3.7-3.8%, appealing to income investors, supported by 56 years of increases.
- Both stocks exhibit low betas around 0.7, indicating defensive positioning amid market volatility.
- Merger progress for BKH with NorthWestern Energy and NEE's renewables backlog signal growth catalysts.
Introduction
Black Hills Corporation (BKH) and NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) represent key players in the U.S. utilities sector, offering stability through regulated electric and gas operations amid rising energy demand from data centers and electrification. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning in the current environment of interest rate pressures and AI-driven power needs. Investors seeking defensive income with growth potential, or traders eyeing relative performance in utilities, will find value in understanding contrasts in scale, renewables exposure, and momentum. Both have outperformed broader indices over the past year, but differing strategies highlight trade-offs in risk and reward.
BKH Overview and Recent Performance
Black Hills Corporation (BKH), headquartered in Rapid City, South Dakota, operates electric and natural gas utilities serving about 1.35 million customers across eight states, including Colorado, Montana, and Wyoming. Through its Electric Utilities and Gas Utilities segments, it generates, transmits, and distributes power from a mix of wind, natural gas, and coal assets, with 1,386 MW capacity and extensive pipeline networks.
In recent market activity, BKH shares have traded around $74, near the upper end of a 52-week range of $55 to $79, reflecting a year-to-date gain of about 9% and 26-30% over one year. Sentiment has been bolstered by a quarterly dividend increase to $0.703 per share—extending a 56-year streak—and shareholder approval of a $15.4 billion merger with NorthWestern Energy, expected by late 2026, promising scale and EPS growth from data center demand. Recent weeks saw modest pullbacks amid broader sector rotation, but low beta (0.73) underscores stability, with analysts noting a buy rating and $84 target.
NEE Overview and Recent Performance
NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE), based in Juno Beach, Florida, is North America's largest electric power and infrastructure company, operating through Florida Power & Light (FPL) and NextEra Energy Resources (NEER). It generates electricity from wind, solar, nuclear, and natural gas, with 36 GW capacity, serving 12 million people via extensive transmission networks.
Recent performance has been robust, with shares around $96, posting 21% year-to-date and 50% one-year returns, surpassing the S&P 500. Q1 2026 results showed adjusted EPS up 9-10% year-over-year, fueled by renewables origination (3.2 GW backlog additions) and nuclear license extensions for St. Lucie units through 2063. Data center and AI demand, plus gas projects, have driven sentiment, though elevated valuations prompt caution. Low beta (0.72) supports its defensive appeal, with investor meetings underscoring growth through 2027.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BKH and NEE share regulated utility models providing stable cash flows but diverge in scale and growth drivers. BKH focuses on regional gas and electric distribution with mining assets, yielding higher dividends (3.7%) but lower revenue ($2.3B) and growth visibility. NEE leverages global renewables leadership and FPL's rate base expansion for superior momentum and EBITDA ($17B), though with higher P/E (24x vs. 19x).
Risk factors include BKH's merger regulatory hurdles and capex strain, versus NEE's debt load ($96B) amid rising rates. Sector exposure tilts NEE toward clean energy catalysts like AI/data centers, while BKH emphasizes traditional utilities. Market sentiment favors NEE's scale, but BKH trades at a discount for income seekers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NEE due to superior trend consistency, renewables backlog, and positioning in high-demand AI infrastructure, evidenced by stronger relative performance and analyst targets up to $112. BKH offers stability via dividends and merger upside, but NEE aligns better with observable growth catalysts in recent market activity.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BKH is a StrongBuy and NEE is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BKH’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNEE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BKH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NEE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BKH’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BKH’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NEE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BKH (@Gas Distributors) experienced а -0.05% price change this week, while NEE (@Electric Utilities) price change was -0.62% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was -0.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.49%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
BKH is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
NEE is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Gas Distributors (-0.07% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
@Electric Utilities (+0.78% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| BKH | NEE | BKH / NEE | |
| Capitalization | 5.54B | 179B | 3% |
| EBITDA | 837M | 17.1B | 5% |
| Gain YTD | 6.854 | 8.444 | 81% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.95 | 21.79 | 87% |
| Revenue | 2.29B | 27.9B | 8% |
| Total Cash | 23.6M | 2B | 1% |
| Total Debt | 4.66B | 104B | 4% |
BKH | NEE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 29 Undervalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 56 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 29 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BKH's Valuation (29) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NEE (57). This means that BKH’s stock grew similarly to NEE’s over the last 12 months.
BKH's Profit vs Risk Rating (60) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NEE (66). This means that BKH’s stock grew similarly to NEE’s over the last 12 months.
NEE's SMR Rating (56) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as BKH (80). This means that NEE’s stock grew similarly to BKH’s over the last 12 months.
BKH's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NEE (57). This means that BKH’s stock grew similarly to NEE’s over the last 12 months.
BKH's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEE (71). This means that BKH’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEE’s over the last 12 months.
| BKH | NEE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 47% | 4 days ago 50% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 51% | 8 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 44% | 4 days ago 49% |
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BKH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BKH has been closely correlated with D. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BKH jumps, then D could also see price increases.
NEE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEE has been loosely correlated with BKH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NEE jumps, then BKH could also see price increases.