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IDA vs NEE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) vs. NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IDA and NEE are both regulated electric utilities with recent dividend increases and exposure to growing electricity demand.
- IDA reported Q2 2026 earnings in line with expectations, raised its full-year guidance range to $6.30–$6.45 per share, and increased its quarterly dividend to $0.90 per share.
- NEE beat Q2 2026 profit estimates, highlighted a 35.1 GW renewables and storage backlog, and advanced its proposed merger with Dominion Energy.
- IDA offers a more regionally focused business in Idaho and Oregon with lower volatility, while NEE provides broader scale through its Florida utility and national renewable development platform.
- Recent market activity shows IDA trading near $131–$133 with analyst price targets in the $143–$158 range, compared with NEE near $80 amid elevated valuations tied to growth catalysts.
- Sector sentiment for both remains constructive on data-center-driven load growth, though NEE faces additional regulatory scrutiny from its merger.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare utility stocks such as IDA and NEE when seeking stable income, regulated returns, and exposure to secular electricity demand trends. Both companies operate in the electric utilities sector and have demonstrated consistent dividend growth, yet they differ in scale, geographic focus, and growth drivers. This comparison is relevant for income-oriented investors, sector allocators evaluating relative performance, and those assessing how regional versus national platforms respond to rising power needs from data centers and electrification. The analysis draws on recent earnings releases, regulatory filings, and analyst commentary to highlight observable contrasts in business models and market positioning.
IDA Overview and Recent Performance
IDA, the holding company for Idaho Power, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity primarily in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. The utility operates a mix of hydropower, natural gas, and coal-fired facilities serving approximately 664,000 retail customers. In recent weeks, IDA reported second-quarter 2026 earnings per share of $1.79, in line with estimates, and raised the lower end of its full-year 2026 guidance to a range of $6.30–$6.45 per share. The company also announced a quarterly dividend increase to $0.90 per share, continuing a streak of annual raises since 2011. Stock performance has reflected steady institutional interest, with shares trading near $131–$133 amid analyst price targets generally in the $143–$158 range and predominantly Buy or Overweight ratings. Sentiment has been supported by regulatory mechanisms that allow recovery of costs and tax credits, though equity issuance plans introduce some dilution considerations.
NEE Overview and Recent Performance
NEE, through its Florida Power & Light subsidiary and NextEra Energy Resources unit, generates, transmits, and distributes electricity across Florida and develops renewable and storage projects nationwide. The company serves millions of customers and maintains one of the largest clean-energy development platforms in North America. Recent market activity includes second-quarter 2026 results that exceeded profit estimates, driven by higher demand and a renewables backlog that reached 35.1 GW. Management reaffirmed 2026 adjusted earnings guidance of $3.92–$4.02 per share while advancing a proposed merger with Dominion Energy valued at approximately $67 billion. Shares have traded near $80, with some price targets adjusted modestly lower yet retaining Overweight or Buy recommendations. Positive sentiment stems from data-center load growth and infrastructure investments, tempered by the regulatory timeline associated with the merger and elevated valuation multiples.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
IDA operates a compact, regionally regulated utility with significant hydropower exposure, resulting in lower beta and more predictable earnings under established rate mechanisms. In contrast, NEE combines a large Florida regulated utility with a national renewable development arm, offering greater scale and growth optionality from contracted clean-energy projects. Recent momentum favors NEE on data-center demand visibility and backlog expansion, while IDA has demonstrated steady guidance raises and dividend consistency with less exposure to merger-related regulatory risk. Sector exposure is similar, yet NEE carries higher valuation multiples justified by its diversified platform, whereas IDA trades at a comparatively modest premium with emphasis on regional load stability. Risk factors include equity dilution for IDA and integration or approval hurdles for NEE’s proposed combination.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in earnings guidance, stability of regulated returns, and positioning within data-center-driven demand growth, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to NEE. Its larger renewables backlog and merger-related expansion potential provide broader catalysts compared with IDA’s more contained regional profile, though execution risks remain. This assessment reflects relative momentum and positioning rather than any guarantee of future results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IDA is a Hold and NEE is a Hold.
IDA | NEE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 99 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 51 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 83 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NEE's Valuation (41) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (56). This means that NEE’s stock grew similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
IDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Electric Utilities industry is significantly better than the same rating for NEE (99). This means that IDA’s stock grew significantly faster than NEE’s over the last 12 months.
NEE's SMR Rating (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (73). This means that NEE’s stock grew similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
IDA's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NEE (61). This means that IDA’s stock grew similarly to NEE’s over the last 12 months.
IDA's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEE (83). This means that IDA’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEE’s over the last 12 months.
| IDA | NEE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 50% | about 1 month ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 43% | 9 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 43% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IDA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while NEE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- IDA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NEE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IDA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NEE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IDA (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +3.27% price change this week, while NEE (@Electric Utilities) price change was +0.97% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.56%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
IDA is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
NEE is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.56% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
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IDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IDA has been closely correlated with LNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IDA jumps, then LNT could also see price increases.
NEE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEE has been loosely correlated with BKH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NEE jumps, then BKH could also see price increases.