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IDA vs NEE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? IDACORP (IDA) vs. NextEra Energy (NEE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IDA is a focused, regulated electric utility serving southern Idaho and eastern Oregon, benefiting from an extraordinary 16.7% rate base CAGR (compound annual growth rate) and strong customer growth of 2.3% in 2025.
- NEE is a diversified energy giant combining America's largest regulated utility (FPL) with a world-leading renewables development business, targeting 8%+ adjusted EPS growth through 2035.
- IDA delivers lower volatility (beta of 0.48) and a reliable dividend yield of approximately 2.37%, while NEE offers higher growth ambitions but carries greater complexity and execution risk.
- NEE's net profit margin compressed from 28.1% to 24.9% over the trailing twelve months, raising questions about profitability quality despite robust revenue expansion to $27.4 billion in 2025.
- Both stocks are well-positioned in the utility sector, but their risk-reward profiles cater to meaningfully different investor temperaments.
Introduction
The regulated utility and clean energy sectors continue to command investor attention as electricity demand surges across the United States, fueled by data center expansion, industrial reshoring, and electrification trends. Within this landscape, IDA (IDACORP, Inc.) and NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) represent two distinct approaches to capitalizing on America's growing energy needs. IDA is a disciplined, regional pure-play utility with a concentrated growth story in the Intermountain West. NEE, by contrast, is a sprawling energy infrastructure enterprise that blends a massive regulated Florida utility with the nation's largest renewable energy development pipeline. This comparison examines how these two names stack up across performance, risk, and strategic positioning, offering clarity for investors evaluating their sector allocations.
IDA Overview and Recent Performance
IDA, through its primary subsidiary Idaho Power, serves approximately 664,000 retail customers across southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. The company operates a diversified generation portfolio that includes hydropower, natural gas, coal, and battery storage assets, supported by over 4,730 pole miles of high-voltage transmission lines. In recent weeks, IDA shares have traded near the upper end of their 52-week range, hovering around the $149 level with a market capitalization of roughly $8.24 billion. The company delivered diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $5.90 for full-year 2025, marking its 18th consecutive year of EPS growth, and has initiated 2026 guidance in the range of $6.25 to $6.45 per diluted share. Q1 2026 results showed continued momentum, with EPS of $1.21 supported by robust industrial load growth. Key catalysts include the Boardman-to-Hemingway (B2H) transmission line, the Micron semiconductor facility expansion, and Meta's operational data center, all of which underpin IDA's projected 16.7% rate base CAGR through 2030 — one of the strongest growth profiles in the utility sector.
NEE Overview and Recent Performance
NEE is one of the largest electric power and energy infrastructure companies in North America, headquartered in Juno Beach, Florida. Its regulated utility, Florida Power & Light (FPL), serves approximately 12 million people and is the largest electric utility in the United States. Its competitive energy arm, NextEra Energy Resources, is the world's largest generator of renewable energy from wind and solar. In recent market activity, NEE shares have traded around the $91 level, recovering from earlier lows but still reflecting some investor caution following a fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted EPS miss ($0.54 vs. $0.56 consensus). For the full year 2025, NEE reported adjusted EPS of $3.71, up approximately 8.2% year-over-year, and set 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.92 to $4.02. The company added roughly 13.5 gigawatts (GW) of new generation and storage projects to its backlog in 2025 — a new record — bringing its total backlog to approximately 30 GW. However, net profit margins have compressed from 28.1% to 24.9% on a trailing basis, and some analysts have flagged interest coverage ratios and dividend sustainability as areas warranting close monitoring.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both IDA and NEE operate in the electric utility sector, their investment profiles diverge significantly across several dimensions. Scale and Diversification: NEE is a behemoth with $27.4 billion in annual revenue, a 30 GW development backlog, and operations spanning regulated and competitive markets. IDA is a focused regional utility with $1.78 billion in trailing revenue and a concentrated growth story in Idaho and Oregon. Growth Drivers: IDA's growth is anchored in tangible infrastructure expansion and industrial customer commitments from names like Micron and Meta. NEE's growth is broader, encompassing FPL's regulatory capital deployment alongside Energy Resources' vast renewables origination. Risk Profile: IDA carries a beta of just 0.48, reflecting significantly lower market sensitivity, while NEE's beta is considerably higher, exposing it more directly to interest rate swings, commodity dynamics, and regulatory uncertainty in markets like PJM (a regional transmission organization covering parts of the Eastern U.S.). Profitability Trends: IDA has delivered consistent, compounding EPS growth with improving margins, whereas NEE's net margin compression from 28.1% to 24.9% warrants attention. Valuation: IDA trades at a forward P/E (price-to-earnings multiple) of approximately 23, while NEE trades at roughly 24-25x forward earnings — a premium that reflects market confidence in its long-duration growth story but leaves less room for error. Income Orientation: IDA offers a well-covered dividend yield of approximately 2.37% with a payout ratio near 60%, while NEE's dividend, though growing rapidly at a target 10% rate, is not fully covered by free cash flow.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable market data, trend consistency, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI analytical framework would likely tilt toward IDA in the current environment — particularly for risk-conscious investors and those prioritizing trend stability. IDA's combination of an 18-year EPS growth streak, a sector-leading 16.7% rate base CAGR, declining regulatory uncertainty, and a low-beta profile presents a compelling case for algorithmic models that weigh consistency and favorable risk-reward ratios heavily. NEE's growth ambitions are undeniably impressive, and its 30 GW backlog signals enormous long-term potential, but the recent margin compression, tighter interest coverage, and higher sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts introduce variables that AI-driven analysis may view as headwinds against a near-term preference. That said, models optimized for growth and momentum could still favor NEE depending on time horizon and strategy parameters. The divergence between these two names underscores the value of a data-driven, probabilistic approach — precisely what AI-powered tools are designed to provide.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IDA is a Hold and NEE is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IDA’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNEE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- IDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NEE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IDA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEE’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NEE’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
IDA (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -1.27% price change this week, while NEE (@Electric Utilities) price change was +0.95% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -1.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.56%.
Reported Earning Dates
IDA is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
NEE is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-1.42% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| IDA | NEE | IDA / NEE | |
| Capitalization | 8.24B | 185B | 4% |
| EBITDA | 773M | 17.1B | 5% |
| Gain YTD | 19.008 | 12.183 | 156% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.75 | 22.54 | 110% |
| Revenue | 1.78B | 27.9B | 6% |
| Total Cash | 338M | 2B | 17% |
| Total Debt | 4.01B | 104B | 4% |
IDA | NEE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 91 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 66 Overvalued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 64 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 56 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 73 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NEE's Valuation (58) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (66). This means that NEE’s stock grew similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
IDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEE (64). This means that IDA’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEE’s over the last 12 months.
NEE's SMR Rating (56) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as IDA (74). This means that NEE’s stock grew similarly to IDA’s over the last 12 months.
IDA's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as NEE (49). This means that IDA’s stock grew similarly to NEE’s over the last 12 months.
IDA's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEE (73). This means that IDA’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEE’s over the last 12 months.
| IDA | NEE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 51% | 6 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 42% | 11 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 37% | 3 days ago 53% |
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IDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IDA has been closely correlated with LNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IDA jumps, then LNT could also see price increases.
NEE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEE has been loosely correlated with BKH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NEE jumps, then BKH could also see price increases.