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BLK vs BX
BlackRock (BLK) vs Blackstone (BX) Earnings Preview: Q1 Expectations and Key Metrics
Key Takeaways
- BlackRock (BLK) reports Q1 2026 earnings on April 14, with consensus EPS of $12.01-$12.40 and revenue around $6.55-$6.60 billion, driven by record $14 trillion AUM (assets under management).
- Blackstone (BX) Q1 earnings expected April 16 (release) or April 23 (call), consensus EPS $1.38 and revenue $3.45 billion, supported by $1.27 trillion AUM.
- BLK's scale in ETFs and index funds provides stable fee growth; BX excels in alternatives with higher growth potential but volatility from performance fees.
- Both firms saw strong Q4 2025 results: BLK AUM up 22% YoY to $14T, BX inflows $71B in Q4.
- Analysts project BLK revenue growth ~24% YoY for Q1; BX focuses on perpetual capital AUM at 48% of fee-earning assets.
- Dividend yields competitive: BLK ~2.3%, BX ~4.0%.
Earnings Context and Why This Comparison Matters
BlackRock (BLK) and Blackstone (BX) dominate asset management, with BLK leading in passive ETFs and index strategies via its iShares platform, while BX pioneers alternatives like private equity, real estate, and credit. Their Q1 2026 earnings, due mid-April, highlight divergent models: BLK's recurring base fees from massive AUM versus BX's mix of management fees and variable performance allocations. This comparison matters as investors weigh stability against growth amid market rallies boosting AUM for both, with BLK at $14 trillion and BX at $1.3 trillion entering 2026.
BlackRock Focus
BlackRock (BLK) will release Q1 2026 earnings on April 14 before market open, followed by a conference call at 7:30 a.m. ET. Analysts expect EPS of $12.01-$12.40, up ~6-10% YoY from $11.30, and revenue of $6.55-$6.60 billion, reflecting ~24% growth. Key drivers include elevated AUM from Q4 2025's record $14.04 trillion (up 22% YoY), fueled by $698 billion full-year net inflows. Investment advisory fees, ~80% of revenue, benefit from 12% annualized organic base fee growth in Q4. Technology services (Aladdin platform) and private markets expansion add upside. Risks include market volatility impacting AUM; consensus eyes $14.21 trillion AUM.
Blackstone Context
Blackstone (BX) plans its Q1 2026 investor call on April 23 at 9:00 a.m. ET, with earnings release likely April 16. Consensus forecasts EPS $1.38 and revenue $3.45 billion. Building on Q4 2025 strength—distributable EPS $1.75 (up 4% YoY), revenues $4.36 billion (up 41%), AUM $1.275 trillion (up 13%)—focus is on $239 billion full-year inflows and perpetual capital AUM at $524 billion (48% of fee-earning AUM). Management fees hit record $8 billion in 2025; Q1 realizations exceeded $680 million through late March. BX's alternatives exposure offers growth but ties to deployment ($138 billion in 2025) and realizations ($126 billion).
Head-to-Head Earnings and Market Comparison
BLK's Q4 2025 adjusted EPS $13.16 beat estimates, revenues $7.01 billion up 23%, showcasing scale with stable NII (net interest income). BX's Q4 distributable EPS $1.75 topped forecasts, driven by realized performance revenues up 22%. Growth: BLK's AUM CAGR ~9% (5 years); BX inflows stronger in alts. Risks: BLK faces ETF fee pressure; BX performance fees volatile. Sentiment favors BLK for consistency (ROE ~10-12%), BX for yield and upside (ROE ~36%). BLK trades ~28x earnings; BX ~23x forward, reflecting BX's cyclicality.
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Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron AI currently favors BLK with 65% probability over the next 12 months, citing superior earnings stability, trend strength from ETF inflows, and massive AUM positioning amid public market rallies, despite BX's alternatives growth edge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BLK is a Hold and BX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BLK’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileBX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BLK’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- BX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BLK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BX’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BLK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- BX’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BLK (@Investment Managers) experienced а -5.42% price change this week, while BX (@Investment Managers) price change was -2.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -2.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.17%.
Reported Earning Dates
BLK is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
BX is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-2.33% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| BLK | BX | BLK / BX | |
| Capitalization | 158B | 140B | 113% |
| EBITDA | 10.6B | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -4.270 | -23.886 | 18% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.65 | 29.46 | 87% |
| Revenue | 25.6B | 12.6B | 203% |
| Total Cash | 13.1B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 15B | 14.2B | 106% |
BLK | BX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 72 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | 28 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 80 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 35 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BX's Valuation (14) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BLK (71). This means that BX’s stock grew somewhat faster than BLK’s over the last 12 months.
BLK's Profit vs Risk Rating (60) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BX (72). This means that BLK’s stock grew similarly to BX’s over the last 12 months.
BX's SMR Rating (28) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BLK (66). This means that BX’s stock grew somewhat faster than BLK’s over the last 12 months.
BLK's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BX (61). This means that BLK’s stock grew similarly to BX’s over the last 12 months.
BLK's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BX (80). This means that BLK’s stock grew somewhat faster than BX’s over the last 12 months.
| BLK | BX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 7 days ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 59% | 14 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 68% |
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BLK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BLK has been closely correlated with PFG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BLK jumps, then PFG could also see price increases.
BX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BX has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BX jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.