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BLK vs KKR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BlackRock (BLK) vs. KKR & Co. (KKR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BlackRock oversees more than $14 trillion in assets under management (AUM), making it the world's largest asset manager, while KKR manages approximately $744 billion in AUM with a focus on alternative investments such as private equity, credit, and infrastructure.
- Both companies posted record-breaking years in 2025, but their growth engines differ sharply: BlackRock benefits from massive ETF inflows and technology services, while KKR thrives on fundraising momentum and carried interest from private markets.
- BlackRock offers lower volatility, a long track record of dividend increases, and broad-based organic fee growth, whereas KKR presents higher upside potential tied to monetizations of embedded gains and strategic acquisitions like Arctos.
- KKR carries a higher forward growth trajectory but also greater sensitivity to market dislocations and realization cycles; BlackRock's diversified, fee-based model provides more predictable earnings.
- Recent market sentiment has favored BlackRock's stability, while KKR's stock has faced headwinds from earnings variability and broader macro uncertainty, though analysts remain bullish on both names.
Introduction
Investors navigating the asset management space often encounter two distinct archetypes: the scale-driven, diversified giant and the high-growth alternative investment leader. This comparison between BLK (BlackRock, Inc.) and KKR (KKR & Co. Inc.) captures precisely that dynamic. BlackRock, with its dominant ETF franchise and technology platform, represents breadth and stability. KKR, with its private equity, credit, infrastructure, and growing insurance operations, represents depth and higher-return potential. For traders and long-term investors alike, understanding how these two financial sector heavyweights stack up against each other is essential when considering sector exposure, risk tolerance, and growth expectations in a shifting macroeconomic landscape.
BLK Overview and Recent Performance
BlackRock is the world's largest asset manager, overseeing a record $14.04 trillion in AUM as of the end of 2025. The firm's scale is anchored by its iShares ETF business, which alone attracted $527 billion in net inflows over the course of 2025, reflecting 12% organic asset growth. BlackRock's full-year 2025 revenue reached $24.2 billion, up 19% year over year, while adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) rose 10% to $48.09. The fourth quarter was particularly strong, with 12% annualized organic base fee growth and $342 billion in net inflows. In recent months, BlackRock's stock has benefited from the market's flight to quality, with its diversified revenue mix — spanning ETFs, active strategies, private markets, and technology services via its Aladdin platform and the Preqin acquisition — providing resilience. The company has also been integrating major acquisitions, including Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP) and HPS Investment Partners, further expanding its alternatives footprint. A 10% dividend increase and a $1.8 billion share repurchase plan for 2026 underscore management's confidence in sustained cash flow generation.
KKR Overview and Recent Performance
KKR & Co. is a leading global alternative asset manager with approximately $744 billion in AUM as of year-end 2025, spanning private equity, real assets, credit, and a substantial insurance business through its Global Atlantic subsidiary. KKR raised a firm-record $129 billion in new capital during 2025, nearly double the amount raised just two years prior, with credit strategies contributing $68 billion of that total. Fee-related earnings (FRE), a key measure of recurring revenue, reached $972 million in the fourth quarter alone, maintaining a healthy 68% margin. The firm deployed $95 billion of capital across its platform in 2025, another record, and ended the year with $118 billion in dry powder (uninvested committed capital). However, recent stock performance has been more volatile than BlackRock's. KKR shares faced downward pressure following a fourth-quarter earnings miss and the disclosure of a $350 million carried interest refund related to an underperforming Asia private equity fund. The firm also announced the acquisition of Arctos, a sports and GP solutions investor, for $1.4 billion, signaling ambitious expansion into new verticals. While embedded gains of $19 billion point to significant future earnings potential, near-term sentiment has been shaped by macro uncertainty and concerns around the monetization timeline.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both BlackRock and KKR operate within the broad asset management industry, their business models diverge significantly. BlackRock generates the bulk of its revenue from management fees tied to its enormous AUM base, with technology and advisory fees adding a growing subscription-style income stream. The firm's gross profit margin exceeds 80%, reflecting the capital-light nature of its core operations. KKR, by contrast, derives a larger share of its economics from performance-based carried interest (a share of investment profits) and balance sheet investment income, making its earnings more variable but also more explosive during strong realization cycles.
From a risk standpoint, BlackRock's lower beta and fortress balance sheet — with approximately $15 billion in total debt against a $160 billion market capitalization — make it the more defensive holding. KKR's higher beta and $54 billion debt load introduce greater sensitivity to interest rate shifts and credit market conditions. On valuation, BlackRock trades at a lower trailing P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio of approximately 25–26x, while KKR's ratio hovers above 30x, reflecting the market's expectation of faster earnings growth tied to its embedded gains pipeline. Both companies have strong analyst support: 16 of 17 analysts rate BlackRock a Buy, and 20 of 21 analysts rate KKR a Buy, suggesting Wall Street sees merit in both stories despite their different risk-reward profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI analysis currently assigns a modest edge to BLK over KKR in the current market environment. BlackRock's combination of record AUM, double-digit organic base fee growth, diversified revenue streams, and disciplined capital return program provides a more consistent trend profile that algorithmic models tend to favor. KKR's $19 billion in embedded gains and record fundraising momentum present a compelling upside case, but the firm's earnings remain more dependent on monetization windows that can be disrupted by external shocks. In probabilistic terms, BlackRock's steadier trajectory and lower sensitivity to any single catalyst give it a slight advantage in AI-driven comparative assessments. This does not imply KKR is unattractive — only that its return path is currently seen as less linear and more dependent on market conditions aligning favorably for exit activity.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BLK is a Buy and KKR is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BLK’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileKKR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BLK’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KKR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BLK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KKR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BLK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KKR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BLK (@Investment Managers) experienced а +5.90% price change this week, while KKR (@Investment Managers) price change was +5.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was +0.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.90%.
Reported Earning Dates
BLK is expected to report earnings on Oct 09, 2026.
KKR is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (+0.83% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| BLK | KKR | BLK / KKR | |
| Capitalization | 170B | 90.7B | 187% |
| EBITDA | 10.6B | 9.89B | 107% |
| Gain YTD | 3.772 | -20.488 | -18% |
| P/E Ratio | 26.32 | 34.35 | 77% |
| Revenue | 25.6B | 20.4B | 125% |
| Total Cash | 13.1B | 132B | 10% |
| Total Debt | 15B | 54.6B | 27% |
BLK | KKR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 68 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BLK's Valuation (73) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as KKR (82). This means that BLK’s stock grew similarly to KKR’s over the last 12 months.
BLK's Profit vs Risk Rating (54) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as KKR (68). This means that BLK’s stock grew similarly to KKR’s over the last 12 months.
BLK's SMR Rating (66) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as KKR (70). This means that BLK’s stock grew similarly to KKR’s over the last 12 months.
BLK's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as KKR (58). This means that BLK’s stock grew similarly to KKR’s over the last 12 months.
BLK's P/E Growth Rating (53) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KKR (93). This means that BLK’s stock grew somewhat faster than KKR’s over the last 12 months.
| BLK | KKR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 58% | 12 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 60% |
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BLK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BLK has been closely correlated with IVZ. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BLK jumps, then IVZ could also see price increases.
KKR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KKR has been closely correlated with BX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KKR jumps, then BX could also see price increases.