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BROS vs CAVA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) vs. CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both Dutch Bros (BROS) and CAVA (CAVA) have shown strong revenue growth in the past 30 days, driven by new shop openings and expanding mobile‑order capabilities.
- Dutch Bros posted a 28% YoY revenue increase in Q3 2024 ($338 M) and raised its 2024 revenue outlook to $1.255‑$1.260 B, while CAVA’s Q1 2024 revenue grew 26% YoY to $418.5 M, with a revised 2024 revenue range of $8.858‑$9.594 B.
- Both companies are expanding in high‑growth markets, but Dutch Bros targets a larger geographic footprint (850+ shops) versus CAVA’s ~380 locations.
- Liquidity remains strong for both: Dutch Bros cash $281 M (Q3 2024) and CAVA cash $393 M (FY 2024), while both maintain manageable debt levels.
- Given the current momentum, Dutch Bros appears to have a slightly higher upside potential due to faster shop‑opening cadence and broader national presence.
Company Overviews
Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) – a fast‑growing drive‑thru coffee chain headquartered in Grants Pass, OR. Operates 950+ locations across 18 states (as of Sep 2024) and focuses on high‑quality handcrafted beverages, rapid service, and a “people‑first” culture. The company has a franchise model that contributes royalty and franchise‑fee revenue.
CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) – a Mediterranean fast‑casual restaurant operator based in Washington, DC. Owns ~382 restaurants (as of 2024) and sells Mediterranean dips, spreads, and dressings in grocery stores. CAVA acquired Zoës Kitchen in 2018 and has been expanding its footprint nationwide.
Financial Highlights (Recent 30‑Day Period)
| Metric | Dutch Bros (BROS) | CAVA (CAVA) |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (most recent quarter) | $338.2 M (Q3 2024) – +28% YoY | $418.5 M (Q1 2024) – +26% YoY |
| Revenue Guidance 2024 | $1.255‑$1.260 B (up from $1.215‑$1.230 B) | $8.858‑$9.594 B (up from $8.769‑$9.426 B) |
| Net Income (most recent quarter) | $21.7 M (Q3 2024) | $(9.4) M (Q1 2024) – loss |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $63.8 M (Q3 2024) – +20% YoY | $63.0 M (Q1 2024) – +21% YoY |
| Shop Count | 950 shops (incl. 38 new Q3 2024) | ~382 shops (incl. 38 new FY 2024) |
| Same‑Shop Sales Growth | +2.7% systemwide (Q3 2024) | +2.7% systemwide (Q1 2024) |
| Mobile‑Order Penetration | 90% system‑wide, 96% company‑operated (Q3 2024) | ~70% of orders via app (FY 2024) |
| Cash & Equivalents | $281 M (Sep 2024) | $393 M |
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BROS is a Buy and CAVA is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BROS’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileCAVA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BROS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CAVA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BROS’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CAVA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BROS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CAVA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BROS (@Restaurants) experienced а +18.68% price change this week, while CAVA (@Restaurants) price change was +25.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Restaurants industry was +8.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.66%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
BROS is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
CAVA is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Restaurants (+8.31% weekly)The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.
| BROS | CAVA | BROS / CAVA | |
| Capitalization | 9.13B | 10.4B | 88% |
| EBITDA | 294M | 170M | 173% |
| Gain YTD | 8.641 | 52.530 | 16% |
| P/E Ratio | 103.92 | 172.15 | 60% |
| Revenue | 1.75B | 1.29B | 136% |
| Total Cash | 264M | 393M | 67% |
| Total Debt | 1.16B | 466M | 249% |
| BROS | CAVA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 85% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 84% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 77% | 13 days ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 75% |
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BROS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BROS has been loosely correlated with FRSH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BROS jumps, then FRSH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BROS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BROS | 100% | +0.94% | ||
| FRSH - BROS | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| SHAK - BROS | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.31% | ||
| CAVA - BROS | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.62% | ||
| CAKE - BROS | 40% Loosely correlated | -1.99% | ||
| EAT - BROS | 40% Loosely correlated | -1.93% | ||
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CAVA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CAVA has been loosely correlated with SG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CAVA jumps, then SG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CAVA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAVA | 100% | -1.62% | ||
| SG - CAVA | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.32% | ||
| CMG - CAVA | 46% Loosely correlated | +1.55% | ||
| BROS - CAVA | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.94% | ||
| CAKE - CAVA | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.99% | ||
| SHAK - CAVA | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.31% | ||
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