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CARR vs JCI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) vs. Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CARR and JCI operate in the building technologies and HVAC sectors, with exposure to energy efficiency, data center demand, and intelligent building solutions.
- JCI has demonstrated stronger recent momentum, with shares trading near $143 and year-to-date gains exceeding 20%, supported by consistent earnings beats and robust backlog growth.
- CARR shares have traded in the $68–$72 range amid volatility, with positive year-to-date performance but tempered by upcoming earnings and integration of recent acquisitions.
- Both companies are positioned ahead of quarterly earnings releases in late July 2026, with analysts highlighting data center and commercial building trends as key growth drivers.
- Sector sentiment remains constructive for both due to decarbonization and smart infrastructure tailwinds, though relative performance reflects differences in order momentum and valuation multiples.
- Market positioning favors stability and backlog visibility for JCI versus execution on software and acquisition synergies for CARR.
Introduction
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) and Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) are leading players in the global building technologies and climate control industries. This comparison examines their relative performance, operational momentum, and market positioning in the current environment. The analysis is relevant for institutional investors, portfolio managers, and active traders seeking exposure to secular trends in energy-efficient infrastructure, data centers, and intelligent buildings. By contrasting business models, recent price behavior, and catalysts, readers can assess trade-offs between the two names without reliance on forward projections.
CARR Overview and Recent Performance
Carrier Global Corporation provides heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, and building automation solutions worldwide. In recent weeks, CARR shares have fluctuated within a range influenced by broader market rotation and anticipation of its second-quarter 2026 earnings report scheduled for July 28. The stock has posted solid year-to-date gains despite periodic pullbacks, supported by the company’s acceleration into intelligent building technologies following the acquisition of 75F. Sentiment has been shaped by data center order strength and commercial segment resilience, though short-term price action reflects typical pre-earnings positioning and sector rotation dynamics.
JCI Overview and Recent Performance
Johnson Controls International plc delivers building efficiency, security, and integrated solutions with a focus on energy management and mission-critical environments. Over recent weeks, JCI shares have maintained upward momentum, trading near $143 with year-to-date advances exceeding 20%. Performance has been bolstered by strong order growth, a record backlog, and repeated earnings beats. Investor attention centers on the fiscal third-quarter 2026 results expected July 29, amid favorable positioning in data center cooling and decarbonization projects that have sustained positive sentiment through the latest market activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business model terms, both companies emphasize HVAC and building controls, yet JCI maintains a broader portfolio that includes fire and security systems, while CARR retains a larger refrigeration exposure. Growth drivers converge on data center demand and energy efficiency mandates, though JCI has reported more pronounced organic order acceleration and backlog expansion in recent periods. Recent momentum favors JCI, evidenced by steadier price appreciation and analyst commentary on execution consistency. Risk factors for CARR include acquisition integration and earnings variability, while JCI faces typical cyclical exposure in commercial construction. Sector exposure is nearly identical, centered on industrials and technology-enabled infrastructure. Market sentiment currently reflects greater visibility around JCI’s backlog metrics versus CARR’s software transition narrative.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, backlog visibility, and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to JCI over CARR. Stronger recent order momentum and earnings track record provide a more stable foundation amid shared industry tailwinds, though both names remain sensitive to macroeconomic and earnings outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CARR is a Hold and JCI is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CARR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileJCI’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CARR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- JCI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CARR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JCI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CARR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- JCI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CARR (@Building Products) experienced а -1.92% price change this week, while JCI (@Building Products) price change was +0.94% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -3.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.91%.
Reported Earning Dates
CARR is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
JCI is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-3.55% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
| CARR | JCI | CARR / JCI | |
| Capitalization | 51.8B | 93.1B | 56% |
| EBITDA | 3.08B | 3.7B | 83% |
| Gain YTD | 20.177 | 29.052 | 69% |
| P/E Ratio | 44.84 | 43.28 | 104% |
| Revenue | 22.1B | 25B | 88% |
| Total Cash | 1.34B | 641M | 210% |
| Total Debt | 12.4B | 9.48B | 131% |
CARR | JCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 33 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 28 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CARR's Valuation (28) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for JCI (63) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew somewhat faster than JCI’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CARR (67) in the null industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than CARR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's SMR Rating (40) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CARR (75) in the null industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew somewhat faster than CARR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's Price Growth Rating (33) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as CARR (61) in the null industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew similarly to CARR’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's P/E Growth Rating (28) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as CARR (31) in the null industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew similarly to CARR’s over the last 12 months.
| CARR | JCI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 65% | 11 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 64% |
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JCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JCI has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JCI jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCI | 100% | +1.45% | ||
| IR - JCI | 77% Closely correlated | -1.12% | ||
| TT - JCI | 73% Closely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| CARR - JCI | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| SPXC - JCI | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| TREX - JCI | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
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