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JCI vs TT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Johnson Controls (JCI) vs. Trane Technologies (TT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both JCI and TT operate in the building efficiency and climate control sectors, with exposure to HVAC demand and energy efficiency trends.
- JCI stock has delivered approximately 20% year-to-date returns as of late July 2026, supported by analyst expectations for 25.7% year-over-year EPS growth in its upcoming fiscal Q3 report.
- TT has posted stronger year-to-date performance of about 24%, with its upcoming Q2 earnings anticipated to show 10.1% EPS growth amid robust HVAC sector fundamentals.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks trading near multi-month highs, reflecting positive sentiment tied to earnings visibility and sector tailwinds.
- Key contrasts include JCI's broader building solutions portfolio versus TT's specialized focus on commercial and industrial climate systems.
- Relative positioning favors stability in established demand patterns for both, with limited differentiation in risk factors during the recent period.
Introduction
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) and Trane Technologies plc (TT) represent two established players in the industrial and building technologies space. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, business models, and market positioning to assist investors evaluating relative performance within the climate control and energy efficiency sectors. The analysis is particularly relevant for those monitoring earnings catalysts, sector rotation dynamics, and momentum in large-cap industrial equities. By focusing on verifiable developments over recent weeks, the review provides a factual basis for understanding how these stocks have responded to broader market conditions and company-specific factors.
JCI Overview and Recent Performance
Johnson Controls International plc delivers building technologies and solutions, including HVAC systems, controls, and integrated building management platforms. In recent market activity, JCI shares have exhibited steady appreciation, closing near $143.37 in late July 2026 with year-to-date gains of approximately 20%. Performance has been influenced by consistent analyst coverage highlighting the company's earnings trajectory ahead of its fiscal third-quarter report scheduled for July 29. Expectations for a 25.7% year-over-year increase in earnings per share to $1.32 have contributed to constructive sentiment. Broader sector interest in energy-efficient building upgrades has also supported trading patterns, with the stock maintaining proximity to recent highs amid generally favorable industrial equity flows.
TT Overview and Recent Performance
Trane Technologies plc specializes in climate control solutions for commercial, industrial, and residential applications, with a strong emphasis on HVAC equipment and related services. During recent market activity, TT shares have advanced to close around $480.99 in late July 2026, reflecting year-to-date returns of approximately 24%. The stock has benefited from sustained demand in the HVAC market and positive analyst commentary regarding upcoming second-quarter results, expected on July 30 with projected 10.1% year-over-year earnings per share growth. Recent weeks have seen the shares trade within a resilient range following earlier highs, supported by the company's positioning in energy-efficient and data-center cooling applications. Overall sentiment remains aligned with sector strength in climate innovation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In terms of business models, JCI offers a wider array of integrated building solutions, while TT maintains deeper specialization in climate and thermal management systems. Growth drivers for both center on HVAC demand and efficiency upgrades, though TT has shown relatively stronger recent revenue momentum tied to commercial and industrial applications. Recent momentum favors TT on a year-to-date basis, yet JCI displays higher anticipated near-term earnings expansion. Risk factors remain comparable, with both exposed to cyclical industrial spending and supply-chain considerations. Sector exposure overlaps substantially in building technologies, producing similar sensitivity to macroeconomic sentiment. Market positioning reflects balanced interest from institutional flows, with neither exhibiting pronounced outperformance differentials beyond modest return variances in the recent period.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as earnings growth expectations, trend consistency, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic edge to JCI due to its higher projected EPS expansion ahead of the imminent earnings release. However, TT demonstrates comparable stability and sector resilience, suggesting outcomes could remain closely contested depending on actual results and broader market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is JCI is a StrongBuy and TT is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JCI’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- JCI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JCI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TT’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JCI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TT’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
JCI (@Building Products) experienced а +0.94% price change this week, while TT (@Building Products) price change was -0.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -3.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.91%.
Reported Earning Dates
JCI is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
TT is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-3.55% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
| JCI | TT | JCI / TT | |
| Capitalization | 93.1B | 106B | 88% |
| EBITDA | 3.7B | 4.34B | 85% |
| Gain YTD | 29.052 | 23.960 | 121% |
| P/E Ratio | 43.28 | 35.78 | 121% |
| Revenue | 25B | 22.2B | 113% |
| Total Cash | 641M | 1.32B | 49% |
| Total Debt | 9.48B | 4.62B | 205% |
JCI | TT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 11 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 40 | 28 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 28 | 45 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
JCI's Valuation (63) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as TT (79) in the null industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
TT's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the null industry is in the same range as JCI (12) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that TT’s stock grew similarly to JCI’s over the last 12 months.
TT's SMR Rating (28) in the null industry is in the same range as JCI (40) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that TT’s stock grew similarly to JCI’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's Price Growth Rating (33) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as TT (52) in the null industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
JCI's P/E Growth Rating (28) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as TT (45) in the null industry. This means that JCI’s stock grew similarly to TT’s over the last 12 months.
| JCI | TT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 61% | 11 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 55% |
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JCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JCI has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JCI jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCI | 100% | +1.45% | ||
| IR - JCI | 77% Closely correlated | -1.12% | ||
| TT - JCI | 73% Closely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| CARR - JCI | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| SPXC - JCI | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| TREX - JCI | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
More | ||||
TT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TT has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TT jumps, then IR could also see price increases.