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CCL vs EXPE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carnival Corporation (CCL) vs. Expedia Group (EXPE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CCL, the world's largest cruise operator, trades at a lower P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 11.74 compared to EXPE's 25.65, suggesting better value in recent market activity.
- Both stocks show positive YTD gains around 11-12%, but EXPE has outperformed over the past month with an 8.24% rise versus CCL's 0.64%.
- CCL benefits from record bookings and strong Q1 results, though rising fuel costs pose headwinds.
- EXPE gains momentum from partnerships like Uber's in-app hotel bookings and expected earnings growth.
- Market caps are comparable at $37B for CCL and $30B for EXPE, reflecting similar scale in the travel sector.
- Both face high debt levels, but EXPE exhibits lower volatility with a beta of 1.30 versus CCL's 2.33.
Introduction
Carnival Corporation (CCL) and Expedia Group (EXPE) operate in the recovering travel and leisure sector, where sustained demand for vacations drives performance amid fluctuating economic conditions. CCL focuses on cruise operations, while EXPE dominates online travel bookings. This comparison suits traders eyeing relative performance in consumer discretionary stocks and investors assessing sector exposure to travel trends, interest rates, and geopolitical risks. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum and valuation, aiding decisions on positioning in a volatile environment.
CCL Overview and Recent Performance
Carnival Corporation (CCL) is the global leader in cruise vacations, operating brands like Carnival Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, and Holland America Line. With a market cap of approximately $37 billion and trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of $27 billion, the company has leveraged post-pandemic travel demand. In recent weeks, CCL shares have shown resilience, trading around $26.66 amid a 52-week range of $19.06 to $34.03. Positive sentiment stems from strong Q1 2026 results, record pricing, and bookings, boosted by competitor Royal Caribbean's earnings beat. However, rising fuel costs and geopolitical tensions in regions like the Middle East have pressured margins, contributing to modest monthly gains of 0.64% while YTD returns stand at 12.3%.
EXPE Overview and Recent Performance
Expedia Group (EXPE) is a leading online travel platform, encompassing brands such as Expedia.com, Hotels.com, and Vrbo, with a market cap near $30 billion and TTM revenue of $14.7 billion. Shares recently closed at $251.84, within a 52-week range of $148.55 to $303.80. Recent market activity reflects upward momentum, with a monthly gain of 8.24% and YTD return of 10.92%, driven by strategic partnerships including Uber's integration of hotel bookings via Expedia technology. Anticipated earnings growth, with EPS expected to rise 252.5% year-over-year, has bolstered investor confidence, though competition in digital travel remains intense.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CCL and EXPE share travel sector exposure but differ in business models: CCL's capital-intensive cruise operations contrast EXPE's asset-light digital platform. Growth drivers include leisure demand for CCL and tech-enabled bookings for EXPE. Recent momentum favors EXPE with stronger short-term gains, while CCL offers value via a lower P/E. Risk factors encompass high debt/equity ratios (204% for CCL, 255% for EXPE) and sector sensitivities—fuel and itineraries for cruises, competition for online platforms. Market sentiment leans positive for both amid travel recovery, but EXPE's lower beta signals relative stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors EXPE over CCL based on superior recent trend consistency, including an 8% monthly gain and partnerships signaling catalysts, alongside lower volatility. While CCL's valuation appeals probabilistically in value rotations, EXPE's momentum and positioning offer higher near-term probability of outperformance in the travel sector.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CCL is a StrongBuy and EXPE is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CCL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileEXPE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CCL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- EXPE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CCL’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXPE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CCL’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- EXPE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
CCL (@Consumer Sundries) experienced а -4.34% price change this week, while EXPE (@Consumer Sundries) price change was -2.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Consumer Sundries industry was +0.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.92%.
Reported Earning Dates
CCL is expected to report earnings on Jun 30, 2026.
EXPE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Consumer Sundries (+0.77% weekly)Consumer sundries companies make products that usually do not have another classification, such as lawn and garden products, pest-control products, pet food and pet products like leashes, collars, and harnesses. Central Garden & Pet Company and Dogness (International) Corporation are examples of companies operating in this industry.
| CCL | EXPE | CCL / EXPE | |
| Capitalization | 36B | 26.3B | 137% |
| EBITDA | 7.22B | 3.08B | 234% |
| Gain YTD | -13.981 | -22.389 | 62% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.45 | 19.34 | 59% |
| Revenue | 27B | 15.2B | 178% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 5.79B | - |
| Total Debt | 26.6B | 4.71B | 565% |
CCL | EXPE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 31 Undervalued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 95 | 73 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 9 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 48 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CCL's Valuation (31) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EXPE (85) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that CCL’s stock grew somewhat faster than EXPE’s over the last 12 months.
EXPE's Profit vs Risk Rating (73) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as CCL (95) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that EXPE’s stock grew similarly to CCL’s over the last 12 months.
EXPE's SMR Rating (9) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as CCL (35) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that EXPE’s stock grew similarly to CCL’s over the last 12 months.
CCL's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as EXPE (52) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that CCL’s stock grew similarly to EXPE’s over the last 12 months.
EXPE's P/E Growth Rating (58) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as CCL (79) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that EXPE’s stock grew similarly to CCL’s over the last 12 months.
| CCL | EXPE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 76% | 7 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 9 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 59% |
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EXPE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXPE has been closely correlated with BKNG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXPE jumps, then BKNG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EXPE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPE | 100% | -5.25% | ||
| BKNG - EXPE | 67% Closely correlated | -2.04% | ||
| CCL - EXPE | 50% Loosely correlated | -6.27% | ||
| CUK - EXPE | 49% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| ABNB - EXPE | 47% Loosely correlated | -1.71% | ||
| TRIP - EXPE | 44% Loosely correlated | -3.14% | ||
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