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CUK vs EXPE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carnival Corporation & plc (CUK) vs. Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CUK and EXPE have delivered approximately 60% returns over the past year, reflecting robust recovery in the travel sector.
- CUK shows slightly stronger year-to-date performance at 12.75% compared to EXPE's 10.92%.
- Recent market activity indicates modest gains for CUK over the past month, around 3-4%, amid positive Q1 revenue of $6.17 billion.
- EXPE benefits from new partnerships like Uber's in-app hotel bookings powered by Expedia, boosting sentiment in recent weeks.
- Analyst price targets suggest greater upside potential for CUK at around 31% versus 13% for EXPE.
- Market caps are comparable at roughly $37 billion for CUK and $30 billion for EXPE.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CUK and EXPE, two prominent players in the leisure travel industry. Carnival Corporation & plc operates global cruise lines, while Expedia Group, Inc. dominates online travel bookings. Investors and traders focused on consumer discretionary and travel sector recovery will find value here, as both stocks have navigated post-pandemic demand surges and economic shifts. Recent market activity highlights their relative positioning amid fluctuating travel sentiment and broader economic indicators.
CUK Overview and Recent Performance
Carnival Corporation & plc (CUK), the world's largest cruise operator, manages brands like Carnival Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, and Holland America Line across North America, Europe, and Australia. The company reported Q1 FY26 revenue of $6.17 billion, reflecting sustained booking strength and onboard spending. In recent weeks, CUK shares have traded around $26.61, with a 52-week range of $17.39 to $33.72. Performance has shown modest gains over the past month, up approximately 3%, supported by year-to-date returns of 12.75%. Sentiment has been influenced by steady demand recovery and operational efficiencies, though sensitivity to fuel costs and geopolitical factors persists.
EXPE Overview and Recent Performance
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE), a leading online travel agency (OTA), operates platforms like Expedia.com, Hotels.com, and Vrbo, serving B2C and B2B segments globally. Recent Q4 FY25 revenue reached $3.55 billion, with trailing twelve-month EPS at $9.82. Shares recently closed at $251.84, within a 52-week range of $148.55 to $303.80. Over recent market activity, the stock has experienced volatility but posted year-to-date gains of 10.92%. Positive developments, including a partnership with Uber for in-app hotel bookings, have driven sentiment shifts, countering broader sector pressures from economic uncertainty.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CUK focuses on experiential leisure via cruises, with growth tied to destination demand and fleet utilization, while EXPE leverages digital platforms for broader accommodations and flights, benefiting from metasearch and partnerships. Recent momentum favors CUK's YTD edge, but EXPE shows partnership-driven catalysts. Risk factors differ: CUK faces fuel price volatility and capacity constraints, whereas EXPE contends with online competition and advertising reliance. Both exhibit strong sector exposure to travel rebound, with comparable 1-year returns around 60%, though CUK trades at lower multiples.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward CUK based on superior year-to-date trend consistency, higher analyst-implied upside to $35 targets, and resilient Q1 revenue growth amid travel demand. While EXPE offers stability through digital diversification, CUK's relative positioning suggests greater near-term probability of outperformance in a recovering leisure market.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CUK is a Hold and EXPE is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CUK’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileEXPE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CUK’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- EXPE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CUK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXPE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CUK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 2 bearish.
- EXPE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
CUK (@Consumer Sundries) experienced а 0.00% price change this week, while EXPE (@Consumer Sundries) price change was -1.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Consumer Sundries industry was +1.90%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
CUK is expected to report earnings on Jun 30, 2026.
EXPE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Consumer Sundries (+1.90% weekly)Consumer sundries companies make products that usually do not have another classification, such as lawn and garden products, pest-control products, pet food and pet products like leashes, collars, and harnesses. Central Garden & Pet Company and Dogness (International) Corporation are examples of companies operating in this industry.
| CUK | EXPE | CUK / EXPE | |
| Capitalization | 36.9B | 27B | 137% |
| EBITDA | 7.22B | 3.08B | 234% |
| Gain YTD | -9.007 | -20.279 | 44% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.10 | 19.87 | 61% |
| Revenue | 27B | 15.2B | 178% |
| Total Cash | 1.42B | 5.79B | 25% |
| Total Debt | 26.6B | 4.71B | 565% |
CUK | EXPE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 49 Fair valued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 72 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 9 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 48 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CUK's Valuation (49) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EXPE (86) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that CUK’s stock grew somewhat faster than EXPE’s over the last 12 months.
EXPE's Profit vs Risk Rating (72) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as CUK (86) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that EXPE’s stock grew similarly to CUK’s over the last 12 months.
EXPE's SMR Rating (9) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as CUK (35) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that EXPE’s stock grew similarly to CUK’s over the last 12 months.
CUK's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as EXPE (52) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that CUK’s stock grew similarly to EXPE’s over the last 12 months.
CUK's P/E Growth Rating (50) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as EXPE (51) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that CUK’s stock grew similarly to EXPE’s over the last 12 months.
| CUK | EXPE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 12 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 5 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 63% |
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EXPE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXPE has been closely correlated with BKNG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXPE jumps, then BKNG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EXPE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPE | 100% | +0.10% | ||
| BKNG - EXPE | 67% Closely correlated | +0.83% | ||
| CCL - EXPE | 50% Loosely correlated | +3.77% | ||
| CUK - EXPE | 49% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| ABNB - EXPE | 47% Loosely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| TRIP - EXPE | 44% Loosely correlated | +4.20% | ||
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